Duplex
7602 Blake Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 67.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$699,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Investor Opportunity – Legal 2-Family with Additional First-Floor Unit (Public Record Indicates 3-Family) | 40x100 Lot | R4 Zoning | Built 1899 Excellent investment opportunity in a prime location. Public records show this property as a 3-family, currently configured as a legal 2-family with a bonus first-floor walk-out unit offering strong potential for additional income (buyer to verify use). This property offers room for value-add improvements or future expansion possibilities. Perfect for investors or end users seeking rental income. Property sold as-is. Great potential—bring your vision! Layout: • 1st Floor: 1 bedroom, 1 bath with private walk-out access • 2nd F
Key facts
- R4 zoning
- Legal 2-family
- 40x100 lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 4-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $700k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive. Per door: $930/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $700k).
- Recommended offer: $637k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Is 227 Louis Armstrong (math 52% / reading 69%, grade B+, #153 of 729 statewide, top 21%, 1,528 students, 68% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: 262 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,887/mo this rent would consume 100% of the median local household income ($95k/yr) (locally 985% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $196k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($637k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1899 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1899 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.79%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,144,572
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7602 Blake Ave | 0.00mi | 7/3.0 (-1) | 3,036 (0%) | 1mo | $640,000 | $211 | 94 |
| 9735 77th St | 0.56mi | 8/2.0 | 2,984 (-2%) | 8mo | $1,450,000 | $486 | 60 |
| 80-10 95th Ave | 0.74mi | 8/3.0 | 2,820 (-7%) | 4mo | $1,240,000 | $440 | 50 |
| 306 Sheridan Ave | 0.37mi | 8/5.0 | 2,652 (-13%) | 19mo | $1,000,000 | $377 | 38 |
| 80-14 95th Ave | 0.74mi | 8/3.0 | 2,640 (-13%) | 8mo | $950,000 | $360 | 37 |
| 97-09 82 St | 0.68mi | 7/3.0 (-1) | 2,650 (-13%) | 10mo | $1,280,000 | $483 | 34 |
| 15016 89th St | 0.74mi | 7/4.0 (-1) | 3,388 (+12%) | 13mo | $950,000 | $280 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $4,807
- Equity at exit
- $104,371
- IRR
- 10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $155,969
- Equity at exit
- $60,522
Cash invested: $195,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11414
- Active inventory
- 262
- Price-to-rent
- 14.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,887 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,671
- Tax from tax record
- −$343 /mo · $4,113/yr
- Insurance
- −$292
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,656
- Net cashflow
- $1,859
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,255 | -5% $2,057 | +0% $1,859 | +5% $1,661 | +10% $1,463 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,236 | -5% $1,547 | +0% $1,859 | +5% $2,171 | +10% $2,482 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,212 | -0.5pp $2,037 | base $1,859 | +0.5pp $1,678 | +1.0pp $1,493 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 4 | — | $7,888 |
| #1 | 4 | — | $3,944 |
| #2 | 4 | — | $3,944 |
| Total (2 units) | $7,887 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $174,998
- Closing costs
- $21,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-03-11status Pending
-
2025-12-05$699,990 Active
-
2017-04-26historical
-
2016-05-11status Under Contract
-
2016-04-14status Back On Market
-
2016-03-03status Under Contract
-
2016-02-26$250,000 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,113 · $343/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,971 · $664/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,858/yr (+$322/mo · 93.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $94,644
- − Mortgage interest
- −$39,210
- − Property taxes
- −$4,113
- − Insurance
- −$4,297
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,572
- − Management
- −$7,572
- − Depreciation
- −$20,363
- Taxable income
- $11,517
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,764
- After-tax cash flow
- $19,544/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,308
- Household income
- $95,051
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 985.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 13% Black 5% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 11% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -227.02%
- Current HPI
- 206.6334
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+180.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-11 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-05 Listed $699,990 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-04-26 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-11 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-04-14 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-03-03 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-02-26 Listed $250,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $4,113 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…