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18 E Montgomery St
D Composite 43.47
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

18 E Montgomery St · Hillsdale, MI 49242
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,488 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1946 0.33 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom home situated on a spacious, tree-lined lot in the heart of Hillsdale! Offering a blend of character, functionality, and opportunity, this property features a large living room with a fireplace, an updated bathroom, spacious bedrooms. The second floor also includes a non-conforming (4) bedroom, providing additional space for guests, a home office, hobby room, or other flexible uses. Outside, you'll love the detached garage, screened-in gathering area, mature shade trees, and expansive yard that provides plenty of room to relax, entertain, or enjoy nature. The newer water heater offers added peace of mind, while the home's solid layout provides an excellent canvas for your personal updates and finishing touches. Conveniently located near schools, parks, shopping, and downtown amenities, this property is ideal for owner-occupants, investors, or anyone looking to to build equity.

Key facts

  • Large living room
  • Mature shade trees
  • Updated bathroom

Tags

TREE LINED LOTLARGE LIVING ROOMUPDATED BATHROOMDETACHED GARAGESCREENED IN GATHERING AREAMATURE SHADE TREES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Natural gas connected; Cable connected; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Traditional style single-family home; Built in 1946; Living area approximately 1,488
  • Construction: Log and wood siding construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Wooded lot; Paved road access; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Garage door opener; Fireplace; Total of 8 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $68 ($821/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (11.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $133k (11.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 2.7% in Hillsdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#158 in MI, #4,063 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, commute F.
  • Hillsdale Community Schools (town): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #348 of 540 in MI (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Gier Elementary School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #923 of 1,397 statewide, top 69%, 454 students, 60% FRL); Davis Middle School (math 25% / reading 41%, grade F, #306 of 493 statewide, top 63%, 359 students, 52% FRL); Hillsdale High School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #264 of 713 statewide, top 41%, 400 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 72 units permitted in Hillsdale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hillsdale County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 10 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $86k; list at $150k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $133,124 (11.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.84%
Cash-on-cash
1.96%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$394,320
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
372 Hillsdale St 0.12mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,545 (+4%) 13mo $185,000 $120 68
389 Hillsdale St 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-10%) 8mo $356,250 $265 67

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.2%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-19,946
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
-4.3%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-11,809
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49242

Home prices YoY
-31.2%
Active inventory
80
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,331 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$135 /mo · $1,617/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$280
Net cashflow
$68

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,245
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $153 -5% $111 +0% $68 +5% $26 +10% $-16
Rent -10% $-37 -5% $16 +0% $68 +5% $121 +10% $174
Rate -1.0pp $144 -0.5pp $107 base $68 +0.5pp $30 +1.0pp $-10

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
34 Marion St Hillsdale, MI 3.0 1.0–1.5 950 $1,200 $1.26 45d 4 1.21mi
8 S Manning St Hillsdale, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 850 $1,031 $1.21 45d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $149,900 Pending 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-07
    listed $149,900 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,617 · $135/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,963 · $164/mo
Expected delta
+$346/yr (+$29/mo · 21.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,975
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$1,617
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,278
− Management
−$1,278
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$1,705
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$409
After-tax cash flow
$1,230/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hillsdale Community Schools
NCES district ID
2618390
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$38,652
Composite
26.73/100
National rank
#7143
State rank
#348 of 540 in MI

Livability — Hillsdale

Score
75/100
State rank
#158
US rank
#4063

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hillsdale, MI
County
Hillsdale County · 14,750 people
City population
14,750
Metro
Hillsdale, MI
Population (ZIP)
14,750
Household income
$61,029
Rent vs Own
26.8% rent · 73.2% own
Severe rent burden
349.0

Population outlook (Hillsdale County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
43,704 people
By 2030
41,996 · -3.9%
By 2040
38,019 · -13.0%
By 2050
34,095 · -22.0%
By 2075
25,897 · -40.7%
By 2100
18,746 · -57.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsdale

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.7% · R 75.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-39.4pp toward R · 2008: -12.0pp · 2024: -51.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.4 2020: R+47.9 2016: R+46.8 2012: R+24.2 2008: R+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -105.04%
Current HPI
231.5167
Rent YoY
Metro
Hillsdale, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+284.4% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $149,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $85,500 Public Records
  • 2018-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2018-05-11 Sold (MLS) $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-05-11 Sold (MLS) $70,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2018-05-11 Sold (MLS) $70,000 REALCOMP
  • 2018-04-27 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-04-26 Contingent SW Michigan MLS
  • 2018-04-09 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-04-09 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-04-09 Listed $79,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2018-04-09 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 2013-11-18 Sold (MLS) $40,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-11-18 Sold (MLS) $40,000 REALCOMP
  • 2013-11-18 Sold (MLS) $40,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2013-11-15 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-09-09 Listed $49,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-09-09 Listed $49,000 REALCOMP
  • 2013-09-09 Listed $49,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2008-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,617 · -15.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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