844 N US Highway 183 · Breckenridge, TX 76424

$110,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,827 sqft · SingleFamily · 96 Days on market

Fair condition 0.57 ac lot $60/sqft · 28% below area Est $152k · 28% under ↓ 39% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.6/10.0
• Appreciation +5.9/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Schools +2.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.2/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

Desirable location in Breckenridge, TX, on the corner of Highway 183 N and FM 287. This versatile property sits on 0.57 acres, spanning four city lots, and includes a 1,827 sq. ft. home with three bedrooms, two bathrooms, plus a 560 sq. ft. workshop. Inside, you’ll find a large kitchen and dining area, a spacious living room, and nicely sized bedrooms. A bonus room offers the perfect space for an office or second living area, and the carport provides convenient access to the mudroom-laundry room. Several updates were completed in 2023, including new windows, flooring, and siding. Zoned for both commercial and residential use, this property offers endless potential—whether as a comfortable home, a commercial headquarters, or a space with room for additional outbuildings. The possibilities are truly limitless.

Key facts

• Bonus room
• Carport
• Large kitchen

Tags

• 560 SQ FT WORKSHOP
• LARGE KITCHEN
• SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM
• BONUS ROOM
• CARPORT
• NEW WINDOWS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $425 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
• Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 3.7% in Breckenridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#695 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, schools D-, amenities F.
• Breckenridge ISD (town): math 36% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #551 of 826 in TX (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 119 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2 units permitted in Stephens County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.8% local appreciation)).
• Stephens County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $65k (37%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $100,100 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.36% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.93%
• Cash-on-cash: 16.55%
• DSCR: 1.74
• GRM: 6.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $152,430
• List price: $110,000
• Delta: -27.84%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 12 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
600 W 4th Street St	0.54mi	3/2.0	1,797 (-2%)	8mo	$250,000	$139	66
115 E 1st St	0.60mi	3/1.0	1,596 (-13%)	10mo	$128,000	$80	38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.8% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 20.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.09×
• Total profit: $33,517
• Equity at exit: $42,212

10-year hold

• IRR: 22.6%
• Equity multiple: 3.93×
• Total profit: $90,353
• Equity at exit: $59,897

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 76424

• Home prices YoY: 1.6%
• Active inventory: 119
• Price-to-rent: 6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,500 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$577
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
• Insurance: −$46
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$315
• Net cashflow: $425

Break-even live

Break-even rent $962

Max offer price $110,000

Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $501	-5% $463	+0% $425	+5% $387	+10% $349
Rent	-10% $306	-5% $366	+0% $425	+5% $484	+10% $543
Rate	-1.0pp $480	-0.5pp $453	base $425	+0.5pp $396	+1.0pp $367

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $27,500
• Closing costs: $3,300
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
901 N Parks St Breckenridge, TX	4.0	1.5	1810	$1,500	$0.83	22d	1	0.62mi
901 N Parks St Breckenridge, TX	4.0	1.5	1810	$1,500	$0.83	14d	1	0.62mi

Listing history 20 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $110,000 Active 96 DOM
2. 2026-06-21
   days on market $110,000 Active 95 DOM
3. 2026-06-18
   days on market $110,000 Active 93 DOM
4. 2026-06-17
   days on market $110,000 Active 92 DOM
5. 2026-06-16
   days on market $110,000 Active 91 DOM
6. 2026-06-15
   days on market $110,000 Active 90 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $110,000 Active 88 DOM
8. 2026-06-12
   days on market $110,000 Active 87 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $110,000 Active 84 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 83 DOM
11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 82 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $110,000 Active 80 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 78 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 77 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 76 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 75 DOM
17. 2026-03-16
    listed $175,000 Active 831-char remark

    Show marketing remark (831 chars)

    Desirable location in Breckenridge, TX, on the corner of Highway 183 N and FM 287. This versatile property sits on 0.57 acres, spanning four city lots, and includes a 1,827 sq. ft. home with three bedrooms, two bathrooms, plus a 560 sq. ft. workshop. Inside, you’ll find a large kitchen and dining area, a spacious living room, and nicely sized bedrooms. A bonus room offers the perfect space for an office or second living area, and the carport provides convenient access to the mudroom-laundry room. Several updates were completed in 2023, including new windows, flooring, and siding. Zoned for both commercial and residential use, this property offers endless potential—whether as a comfortable home, a commercial headquarters, or a space with room for additional outbuildings. The possibilities are truly limitless.

18. 2026-01-23
    price $249,000
19. 2025-10-30
    price $269,000
20. 2025-10-06
    listed $289,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,000
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,162
• − Property taxes: −$1,650
• − Insurance: −$550
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,440
• − Management: −$1,440
• − Depreciation: −$3,200
• Taxable income: $3,558
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$854
• After-tax cash flow: $4,244/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This property requires moderate rehabilitation, including new flooring, paint, and cabinets, to improve its condition and value.

Repairs flagged

• Major Exposed plywood and missing cabinet doors in kitchen and bathrooms — Structural damage and safety hazard
• Major Weathered siding — Structural damage and aesthetic appeal
• Major Worn hardwood flooring — Safety hazard and aesthetic appeal
• Major Worn paint and exposed plywood — Safety hazard and aesthetic appeal

Value-add opportunities

• Both New flooring and paint — Improves safety and aesthetic appeal
• Both New kitchen and bathroom cabinets — Improves safety and aesthetic appeal
• Both Landscaping and yard maintenance — Improves aesthetic appeal and curb appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair item	Severity	Est. cost
Exposed plywood and missing cabinet doors in kitchen and bathrooms · Structural damage and safety hazard	Major	$15,000–50,000
Weathered siding · Structural damage and aesthetic appeal	Major	$15,000–50,000
Worn hardwood flooring · Safety hazard and aesthetic appeal	Major	$15,000–50,000
Worn paint and exposed plywood · Safety hazard and aesthetic appeal	Major	$15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items		$60,000–200,000

Value-add ROI direction

• Both New flooring and paint — Improves safety and aesthetic appeal ↑
• Both New kitchen and bathroom cabinets — Improves safety and aesthetic appeal ↑
• Both Landscaping and yard maintenance — Improves aesthetic appeal and curb appeal ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Breckenridge ISD
• NCES district ID: 4811220
• Math proficiency: 36% ▬ 0.00%
• Reading proficiency: 32% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $40,744
• Composite: 28.66/100
• National rank: #6700
• State rank: #551 of 826 in TX

Livability — Breckenridge

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #695
• US rank: #12987

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 8,626

Population outlook (Stephens County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 10,625 people
• By 2030: 11,029 · +3.8%
• By 2040: 11,827 · +11.3%
• By 2050: 12,609 · +18.7%
• By 2075: 13,855 · +30.4%
• By 2100: 13,067 · +23.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (67%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 67% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 12% Black 3% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 25%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada
• Languages at home: 82% English-only · Spanish 17%

Political lean MEDSL · Stephens

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+79.3) · D 10.2% · R 89.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -15.7pp toward R · 2008: -63.6pp · 2024: -79.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+79.3 2020: R+78.6 2016: R+77.8 2012: R+70.9 2008: R+63.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 1.80%
• Current HPI: 110.8496
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-39.4% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-16 Listed $175,000 NTREIS
• 2026-01-23 Price Changed $249,000 NTREIS
• 2025-10-30 Price Changed $269,000 NTREIS
• 2025-10-06 Listed $289,000 NTREIS