432 S Harbor Blvd #143 · Santa Ana, CA
Flood risk 2/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.03%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.9/15.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BRING YOUR BEST OFFERS! Welcome to Bali Hi, a 55+ Gated Community in the city of Santa Ana. Gated Community; amenities include a club house and two pools. Close to markets, church, temple, & shopping; LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION. Please Don't miss this perfect opportunity to get into a Gorgeous 2 Bedroom 2 Bathroom Manufactured Home in Desirable Bali Hi 55+/45 Mobile Home Park. This Incredible Home waiting for its new owner. (INCLUDES 1 YEAR HOME WARRANTY) Outside you can sit and relax on your Covered Patio and there is a Storage Shed and Covered Parking for one car because it has wheelchair ramp OR 2 cars if the ramp is removed. The Master Bedroom Suite also offers a ensuite. MAKE THIS YOUR HOME! Bali Hi is a Premium Senior (55+/45) Mobile Home Community located in Santa Ana close to shopping, restaurants, and activities. Enjoy the Sparkling Community Pool and Spa or Clubhouse to enjoy activities. SERIAL# 651200435
Key facts
- Fresh paint
- New flooring
- Updated lighting
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Manager approval required for residency; Pets: contact manager
- Financial info: Monthly land lease of $1,350 (park); Rent includes: see remarks
- HOA & community: Senior community; Park-managed land lease
Exterior
- Parking: Located in Bali Hi park
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/Public water
- Home design: Single-story mobile home (12 x 60) with expando; Front entry
- Construction: Mobile home remains on lot; Living area per public records; Year built per public records
- Exterior features: Community pool; Close to clubhouse; Curbs and street lighting (community)
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Water purifier; Freezer; Dishwasher
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Front entry
- Laundry & utility: Washer included; Dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $125k).
- Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 2.5% in Santa Ana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#871 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A; Watch: schools D, crime D-, amenities F.
- Garden Grove Unified (suburban): math 38% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #132 of 517 in CA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 78 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($100k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.74%
- DSCR
- 2.72
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $126,000
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4117 W Mc Fadden #313 | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 800 (+11%) | 8mo | $140,000 | $175 | 67 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.16% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.42×
- Total profit
- $49,597
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- 40.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.64×
- Total profit
- $127,414
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92704
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,522 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,874/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$530
- Net cashflow
- $1,129
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,215 | -5% $1,172 | +0% $1,129 | +5% $1,086 | +10% $1,043 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $930 | -5% $1,029 | +0% $1,129 | +5% $1,229 | +10% $1,328 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,192 | -0.5pp $1,161 | base $1,129 | +0.5pp $1,097 | +1.0pp $1,064 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4200 W 1st St Santa Ana, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 714 | $2,929 | $4.10 | 0d | 5 | 0.34mi |
| 225 S Newhope St Santa Ana, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 822 | $2,288 | $2.78 | 0d | 2 | 0.37mi |
| 901 S Harbor Blvd Unit 0307 Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 516 | $2,260 | $4.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 901 S Harbor Blvd Unit 340 Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 516 | $2,180 | $4.22 | 26d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 901 S Harbor Blvd Unit 0251 Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 516 | $2,185 | $4.23 | 0d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 901 S Harbor Blvd Unit 0133 Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 516 | $2,180 | $4.22 | 0d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 901 S Harbor Blvd Unit 0136 Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 516 | $2,055 | $3.98 | 0d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 901 S Harbor Blvd Apt 247 Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 516 | $2,215 | $4.29 | 13d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3900 W 5th St Santa Ana, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 780 | $2,175 | $2.79 | 14d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3200 W 5th St Santa Ana, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 769 | $3,350 | $4.36 | 0d | 9 | 0.71mi |
| 2701 W McFadden Ave Unit 84 Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 480 | $2,360 | $4.92 | 26d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2701 W McFadden Ave Unit 108 Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 480 | $2,295 | $4.78 | 26d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2701 W McFadden Ave Unit 18 Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 480 | $2,385 | $4.97 | 0d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2701 W McFadden Ave Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 480 | $2,228 | $4.64 | 16d | 3 | 1.05mi |
| 2701 W McFadden Ave Apt 107 Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 480 | $2,095 | $4.36 | 26d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 16350 S Harbor Blvd Santa Ana, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,870 | $3.59 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1500 N Harbor Blvd Santa Ana, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 780 | $2,575 | $3.30 | 16d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3630 Westminster Ave Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $2,508 | $3.60 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $124,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $124,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $124,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $124,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-08$124,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X · 3% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,262
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$1,874
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,421
- − Management
- −$2,421
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $12,292
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,950
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,599/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Garden Grove Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0614880
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,089
- Composite
- 44.89/100
- National rank
- #2715
- State rank
- #132 of 517 in CA
Livability — Santa Ana
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #871
- US rank
- #23502
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Santa Ana, CA
- County
- Orange County · 3,096,323 people
- City population
- 288,255
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 82,120
- Household income
- $99,777
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2188.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,477,456 people
- By 2030
- 3,613,117 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 3,835,945 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 3,968,736 · +14.1%
- By 2075
- 4,097,053 · +17.8%
- By 2100
- 3,903,633 · +12.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 71% Asian 18% Two or more races 17% White 9% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 65%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 44% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 22% English-only · Spanish 61% Vietnamese 13% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -991.35%
- Current HPI
- 449.8874
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.16%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
-10.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Listed $124,900 CRMLS
- 2024-03-29 Sold (MLS) $136,000 CRMLS
- 2024-03-02 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2023-01-31 Listed $140,000 CRMLS
- 2023-01-19 Coming Soon $140,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…