411 N Lawndale Ave · Kansas City, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.4/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.6/15.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming and updated 1.5-story home in Clifton Heights, ideal for both investors and owner-occupants! This property offers a move-in ready feel with fresh paint and new LVT flooring throughout the main level. The inviting layout features a spacious living room that flows into a versatile great room - perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen includes wood cabinetry, plenty of natural light, and comes equipped with appliances, making it ready for immediate use. A convenient main-floor laundry room adds to the functionality. Two bedrooms and a full bath are located on the main level, while the upper level offers a large third bedroom that spans the entire floor - ideal for a primary suite, home office, or bonus space. Outside, enjoy a level front yard with chain link fencing and a covered front porch. Off-street parking provides added convenience. Whether you're looking to add to your rental portfolio or settle into a comfortable home with updates already in place, this property offers excellent potential and value.
Key facts
- 6,346 sq ft lot
- Built 1910
- Listed 83 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $422 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $122k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- Kansas City 33 (urban): math 12% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #308 of 324 in MO (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.92%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $133,136
- List price
- $130,000
- Delta
- -2.36%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 345 N Denver Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,306 (-1%) | 5mo | $129,900 | $99 | 74 |
| 315 N Oakley Ave | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,396 (+6%) | 6mo | $75,000 | $54 | 74 |
| 423 N Drury Ave | 0.13mi | 4/1.5 | 1,436 (+9%) | 8mo | $189,900 | $132 | 70 |
| 336 N Brighton Ave | 0.47mi | 4/1.5 | 1,368 (+4%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $150 | 68 |
| 320 N Oakley Ave | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,452 (+10%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $96 | 67 |
| 5217 Wilburn Ct | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,248 (-5%) | 8mo | $189,900 | $152 | 65 |
| 300 N Oakley Ave | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,454 (+10%) | 6mo | $194,000 | $133 | 60 |
| 110 N Brighton Ave | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,350 (+3%) | 8mo | $240,000 | $178 | 56 |
| 5202 Saida Ave | 0.33mi | 4/1.0 | 1,133 (-14%) | 9mo | $140,000 | $124 | 54 |
| 410 N Lawn Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,230 (-6%) | 8mo | $190,000 | $154 | 46 |
| 421 Hardesty Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,172 (-11%) | 2mo | $99,500 | $85 | 44 |
| 409 N Elmwood Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,214 (-8%) | 7mo | $215,000 | $177 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $5,799
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.09×
- Total profit
- $39,569
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64123
- Home prices YoY
- -8.3%
- Active inventory
- 59
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,568 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$81 /mo · $970/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$329
- Net cashflow
- $422
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 441 N Hardesty Ave Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1511 | $1,550 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 5213 Wilburn Ct Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1274 | $1,375 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 216 N Wheeling Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,495 | $1.01 | 16d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 216 N Wheeling Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,495 | $1.01 | 20d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 135 Lawndale Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $1,500 | $1.63 | 8d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 218 N Elmwood Ave Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $1,500 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 4405 Norledge Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1510 | $1,600 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 815 Elmwood Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1302 | $1,600 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 6011 E 11th St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 16d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3523 Saint John Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $995 | $0.66 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3429 Morrell Ave Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1800 | $1,650 | $0.92 | 8d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3510 Garner Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1536 | $1,400 | $0.91 | 3d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $130,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-03-27$130,000 Active 1037-char remark
Show marketing remark (1037 chars)
Charming and updated 1.5-story home in Clifton Heights, ideal for both investors and owner-occupants! This property offers a move-in ready feel with fresh paint and new LVT flooring throughout the main level. The inviting layout features a spacious living room that flows into a versatile great room - perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen includes wood cabinetry, plenty of natural light, and comes equipped with appliances, making it ready for immediate use. A convenient main-floor laundry room adds to the functionality. Two bedrooms and a full bath are located on the main level, while the upper level offers a large third bedroom that spans the entire floor - ideal for a primary suite, home office, or bonus space. Outside, enjoy a level front yard with chain link fencing and a covered front porch. Off-street parking provides added convenience. Whether you're looking to add to your rental portfolio or settle into a comfortable home with updates already in place, this property offers excellent potential and value.
-
2026-03-24historical $130,000 1037-char remark
Show marketing remark (1037 chars)
Charming and updated 1.5-story home in Clifton Heights, ideal for both investors and owner-occupants! This property offers a move-in ready feel with fresh paint and new LVT flooring throughout the main level. The inviting layout features a spacious living room that flows into a versatile great room - perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen includes wood cabinetry, plenty of natural light, and comes equipped with appliances, making it ready for immediate use. A convenient main-floor laundry room adds to the functionality. Two bedrooms and a full bath are located on the main level, while the upper level offers a large third bedroom that spans the entire floor - ideal for a primary suite, home office, or bonus space. Outside, enjoy a level front yard with chain link fencing and a covered front porch. Off-street parking provides added convenience. Whether you're looking to add to your rental portfolio or settle into a comfortable home with updates already in place, this property offers excellent potential and value.
-
2022-11-15soldstatus
-
2022-11-14soldstatus Closed 741-char remark
Show marketing remark (741 chars)
Great home for First time home buyers. It fall is the MHDC target area which qualifies for special financing. This newly remodeled home needs your personal touches. Durable flooring throughout the main level and cozy carpet upstairs with bonus room to be used as a fourth bedroom or an enormous walk in closet. Oversized galley kitchen with room for a small bar top table to overlook the backyard. The utility room located off the kitchen with access to the off street parking and private back yard. Come and imagine yourself sitting on the covered front porch enjoying evenings on this quiet one way street. So close to River market, Downtown, and the future Currant Stadium. Investors estimated rent $1000-1200/month. Approx 10.4 cap rate
-
2022-11-02status Pending 741-char remark
Show marketing remark (741 chars)
Great home for First time home buyers. It fall is the MHDC target area which qualifies for special financing. This newly remodeled home needs your personal touches. Durable flooring throughout the main level and cozy carpet upstairs with bonus room to be used as a fourth bedroom or an enormous walk in closet. Oversized galley kitchen with room for a small bar top table to overlook the backyard. The utility room located off the kitchen with access to the off street parking and private back yard. Come and imagine yourself sitting on the covered front porch enjoying evenings on this quiet one way street. So close to River market, Downtown, and the future Currant Stadium. Investors estimated rent $1000-1200/month. Approx 10.4 cap rate
-
2022-10-06$119,000 Active 741-char remark
Show marketing remark (741 chars)
Great home for First time home buyers. It fall is the MHDC target area which qualifies for special financing. This newly remodeled home needs your personal touches. Durable flooring throughout the main level and cozy carpet upstairs with bonus room to be used as a fourth bedroom or an enormous walk in closet. Oversized galley kitchen with room for a small bar top table to overlook the backyard. The utility room located off the kitchen with access to the off street parking and private back yard. Come and imagine yourself sitting on the covered front porch enjoying evenings on this quiet one way street. So close to River market, Downtown, and the future Currant Stadium. Investors estimated rent $1000-1200/month. Approx 10.4 cap rate
-
2022-09-30historical
-
2022-08-22price $129,950
-
2022-07-21$134,000 Active
-
2022-06-09soldstatus
-
2022-05-05historical
-
2022-04-29status Active
-
2022-04-24status Pending
-
2022-04-20status Active
-
2022-04-15historical
-
2022-04-07status Pending
-
2022-04-04$69,900 Active
-
2016-08-06historical
-
2016-01-15$42,000 Active
-
2004-08-17soldstatus
-
2004-05-19soldstatus
-
1974-02-13soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $970 · $81/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,261 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- +$292/yr (+$24/mo · 30.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,819
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$970
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,506
- − Management
- −$1,506
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $3,125
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$750
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,317/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kansas City 33
- NCES district ID
- 2916400
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,227
- Composite
- 14.8/100
- National rank
- #9387
- State rank
- #308 of 324 in MO
Livability — Kansas City
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #2671
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kansas City, MO
- County
- Jackson County · 687,798 people
- City population
- 439,467
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,833
- Household income
- $54,443
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 338.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 719,589 people
- By 2030
- 731,456 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 746,689 · +3.8%
- By 2050
- 749,289 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 736,227 · +2.3%
- By 2100
- 668,210 · -7.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 48% White 34% Two or more races 25% Black 10% Asian 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 37% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Arab 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 58% English-only · Spanish 35% Arabic 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -35.35%
- Current HPI
- 392.4402
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
Price history
+209.5% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-27 Listed $130,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-24 Coming Soon $130,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-11-14 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-02 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-06 Listed $119,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-30 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-22 Price Changed $129,950 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-21 Listed $134,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-05-05 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-29 Relisted — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-24 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-20 Relisted — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-15 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-07 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-04 Listed $69,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-08-06 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-01-15 Listed $42,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-08-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-05-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1974-02-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2025): $970 · -37.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…