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6410 S 7th St Duplex
D Composite 43.22
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

6410 S 7th St · Phoenix, AZ 85042
4 bd · 4.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 59 Days on market
Built 1970

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Long term tenants..great investment property in south central location....

Key facts

  • Laundry hookups
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1970

Tags

WELL PERFORMING DUPLEXEXCEPTIONAL RENTAL RECORDMINI SPLIT A C SYSTEMSLAUNDRY HOOKUPSLONG TERM STABLE TENANTSSTRONG CONSISTENT RENTS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 open parking spaces (1 space per unit); 2 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: SRP electric service; Public sewer; City franchise water
  • Home design: Fee simple ownership; 1 building on the property
  • Construction: Wood-frame construction; Painted exterior; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (unit)
  • Flooring: Concrete flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 bathroom (unit)
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Window/wall cooling unit
  • Interior features: No community pool
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 1-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $172 ($2k/yr) — positive. Per door: $86/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (3.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $240k (3.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.3% in Phoenix — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#16 in AZ, #3,924 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F.
  • Roosevelt Elementary District (4279) (urban): math 8% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #234 of 249 in AZ (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: John F Kennedy Elementary School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,064 of 1,109 statewide, top 97%, 360 students, 81% FRL); C O Greenfield School (math 8% / reading 14%, grade F, #183 of 218 statewide, top 85%, 481 students, 97% FRL); South Mountain High School (math 7% / reading 15%, grade F, #292 of 381 statewide, top 77%, 2,146 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 36% district-wide (52 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.0%/yr); 235 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $147k; list at $250k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $240,500 (3.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.12%
Cash-on-cash
2.95%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.1%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-36,551
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
-12.6%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-44,792
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85042

Home prices YoY
-27.7%
Rents YoY
-4.0%
Active inventory
235
Price-to-rent
17.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,405 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax est. 1.5%
$312 /mo · $3,750/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$505
Net cashflow
$172

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,187
Max offer price $250,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $345 -5% $259 +0% $172 +5% $86 +10% $-1
Rent -10% $-18 -5% $77 +0% $172 +5% $267 +10% $362
Rate -1.0pp $298 -0.5pp $236 base $172 +0.5pp $107 +1.0pp $42

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,405

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
300 E Jessie Owens Pkwy Phoenix, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 916 $1,666 $1.82 0d 1 0.55mi
1224 E Huntington Dr Phoenix, AZ 4.0 2.0 1396 $1,849 $1.32 3d 1 0.71mi
6821 S Montezuma St Phoenix, AZ 3.0–4.0 2.5 1286 $2,295 $1.78 0d 11 0.74mi
1216 E Graham Trl Phoenix, AZ 4.0 2.5 1420 $1,900 $1.34 0d 1 0.82mi
1216 E Graham Trl Phoenix, AZ 4.0 2.5 1420 $1,900 $1.34 7d 1 0.82mi
1417 E Irwin Ave Phoenix, AZ 3.0 2.0 1408 $1,980 $1.41 13d 1 0.91mi
1417 E Irwin Ave Phoenix, AZ 3.0 2.0 1408 $1,985 $1.41 20d 1 0.91mi
358 E Roeser Rd Phoenix, AZ 3.0 1.0–2.0 698 $1,995 $2.86 0d 5 0.91mi
1516 E Bowker St Phoenix, AZ 3.0 2.0 1454 $2,145 $1.48 3d 1 1.15mi
1516 E Bowker St Phoenix, AZ 3.0 2.0 1454 $2,095 $1.44 0d 1 1.15mi
1016 W Lydia Ln Phoenix, AZ 3.0 2.0 1263 $1,875 $1.48 13d 1 1.19mi
105 W Latona Rd Phoenix, AZ 3.0 2.5 1499 $2,350 $1.57 0d 1 1.22mi
916 W Carter Rd Phoenix, AZ 3.0 2.0 1350 $2,199 $1.63 16d 1 1.22mi
6614 S 10th Dr Phoenix, AZ 3.0 2.0 1347 $2,200 $1.63 18d 1 1.23mi
6055 S 11th Ave Phoenix, AZ 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 956 $1,600 $1.67 0d 7 1.24mi
136 W Latona Rd Phoenix, AZ 3.0 2.5 1499 $2,350 $1.57 0d 1 1.26mi
8350 S Central Ave Phoenix, AZ 2.0–4.0 1.5–2.5 1167 $2,345 $2.01 0d 8 1.27mi
915 W Bowker St Phoenix, AZ 3.0 2.0 1455 $1,850 $1.27 0d 1 1.27mi
207 W Latona Rd Phoenix, AZ 3.0 2.0 1319 $2,205 $1.67 3d 1 1.31mi
5926 S 12th Ln Phoenix, AZ 4.0 2.0 1470 $2,695 $1.83 26d 1 1.36mi
5636 S 12th Ln Phoenix, AZ 4.0 2.0 1470 $2,695 $1.83 0d 1 1.41mi
8017 S 6th Dr Phoenix, AZ 3.0 2.0 1361 $2,299 $1.69 0d 1 1.41mi
825 E Euclid Ave Phoenix, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1278 $2,815 $2.20 0d 35 1.47mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-28
    status Active
  3. 2026-04-17
    status Pending
  4. 2026-03-13
    status Active
  5. 2026-03-08
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
  6. 2026-02-23
    listed $250,000 Active
  7. 2020-08-31
    soldstatus $147,000
  8. 2006-03-28
    soldstatus $143,000
  9. 2006-02-13
    soldstatus $143,000 74-char remark
    Show marketing remark (74 chars)

    Long term tenants..great investment property in south central location....

  10. 2006-01-07
    historical 74-char remark
    Show marketing remark (74 chars)

    Long term tenants..great investment property in south central location....

  11. 2005-07-14
    listed $159,900 74-char remark
    Show marketing remark (74 chars)

    Long term tenants..great investment property in south central location....

  12. 2000-11-06
    soldstatus $65,000
  13. 1982-04-20
    soldstatus $225,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,860
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$3,750
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,309
− Management
−$2,309
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$2,034
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$488
After-tax cash flow
$2,555/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Roosevelt Elementary District (4279)
NCES district ID
0407080
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
14% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$42,813
Composite
9.74/100
National rank
#9829
State rank
#234 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Phoenix

Score
75/100
State rank
#16
US rank
#3924

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Phoenix, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
1,500,198
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
45,903
Household income
$88,717
Rent vs Own
32.4% rent · 67.6% own
Severe rent burden
1624.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 50% Two or more races 29% White 25% Black 14% Asian 4% Native American 2% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 45%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 29% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.03%
Current HPI
318.0601
Rent YoY
▼ -4.00%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+11.1% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending ARMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Pending ARMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2026-03-08 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2026-02-23 Listed $250,000 ARMLS
  • 2020-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $147,000 Public Records
  • 2006-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $143,000 Public Records
  • 2006-02-13 Sold (MLS) $143,000 ARMLS
  • 2006-01-07 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2005-07-14 Listed $159,900 ARMLS
  • 2000-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 1982-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $225,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $487 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…