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18631 Margareta St
B- Composite 67.94
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.0/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,000

18631 Margareta St · Detroit, MI 48219
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 958 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1949 4,792 sqft lot $72/sqft · at area comps Est $67k · at est. ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A fantastic opportunity in a highly coveted location! This home - featuring 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, a kitchen, a living room, a dining room, a basement, and a parking space for one vehicle - boasts a comfortable layout. Don't let this opportunity slip away!

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1949

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 car) with side-facing garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Brick exterior
  • Construction: Block foundation; Home warranty included
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 39 x 125 (0.11 acre); Pets not allowed

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Hot water heating; Natural gas fuel; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Ground-level entry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $614 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.0% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 308 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $67,965 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.00%
Cap rate
16.97%
Cash-on-cash
38.11%
DSCR
2.70
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$66,736
List price
$69,000
Delta
3.39%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
18631 Margareta St 0.00mi 3/1.0 950 (-1%) 0mo $62,000 $65 98
18494 Ashton Ave 0.31mi 3/1.0 943 (-2%) 2mo $95,000 $101 81
18555 Edinborough Rd 0.44mi 3/1.0 950 (-1%) 2mo $70,000 $74 76
18937 Lindsay St 0.64mi 3/1.0 951 (-1%) 2mo $59,000 $62 68
19352 Margareta St 0.35mi 3/1.0 1,060 (+11%) 3mo $105,000 $99 64
19365 Fenmore St 0.60mi 3/1.0 912 (-5%) 1mo $94,900 $104 63
19455 Avon Ave 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,023 (+7%) 2mo $72,000 $70 61
17706 Stahelin Ave 0.31mi 3/1.0 818 (-15%) 0mo $106,000 $130 61
18926 Ashton Ave 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,095 (+14%) 3mo $125,000 $114 59
17511 Westmoreland Rd 0.72mi 3/2.0 939 (-2%) 1mo $100,000 $106 58
18217 Archdale St 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,085 (+13%) 0mo $82,000 $76 54
18418 Heyden St 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 865 (-10%) 3mo $17,000 $20 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.8%
Equity multiple
2.82×
Total profit
$35,218
Equity at exit
$10,288
10-year hold
IRR
48.5%
Equity multiple
6.92×
Total profit
$114,281
Equity at exit
$5,966

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48219

Home prices YoY
-10.3%
Rents YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
308
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,380 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax est. 1.5%
$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$290
Net cashflow
$614

Break-even live

Break-even rent $604
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $661 -5% $637 +0% $614 +5% $590 +10% $566
Rent -10% $505 -5% $559 +0% $614 +5% $668 +10% $723
Rate -1.0pp $648 -0.5pp $631 base $614 +0.5pp $596 +1.0pp $578

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18452 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 927 $1,500 $1.62 18d 1 0.23mi
18659 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 763 $1,323 $1.73 0d 1 0.29mi
18699 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,000 $1.25 45d 1 0.30mi
18494 Ashton Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 18d 1 0.30mi
17654 Sunderland Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 45d 1 0.34mi
18450 Edinborough Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 45d 1 0.41mi
19329 Stahelin Ave Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 833 $1,250 $1.50 45d 1 0.45mi
19176 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 941 $1,300 $1.38 6d 1 0.46mi
19445 Avon Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,550 $1.52 45d 1 0.57mi
19372 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 733 $1,025 $1.40 0d 1 0.58mi
18276 Oakfield St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 726 $1,175 $1.62 45d 1 0.60mi
18134 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1060 $1,150 $1.08 18d 1 0.73mi
19307 Lindsay St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 0d 1 0.73mi
18461 Heyden St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 6d 1 0.76mi
18191 Heyden St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 917 $1,100 $1.20 25d 1 0.78mi
18556 Kentfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 952 $1,250 $1.31 4d 1 0.79mi
19818 Fenmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 902 $1,275 $1.41 45d 1 0.86mi
19457 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 45d 1 0.88mi
19918 Southfield Fwy Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 915 $1,375 $1.50 16d 1 0.88mi
18205 Stout St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 901 $1,078 $1.20 25d 1 0.90mi
20011 Avon Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 6d 1 0.90mi
18274 Fielding St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,200 $1.71 18d 1 0.92mi
19970 Ashton Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 45d 1 0.92mi
17573 Asbury Park Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 990 $1,400 $1.41 0d 1 0.92mi
20068 Faust Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 25d 1 0.96mi
19736 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 696 $995 $1.43 14d 1 0.97mi
20043 Fenmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1030 $1,423 $1.38 0d 1 1.02mi
18268 Mansfield St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 18d 1 1.04mi
18400 Rutherford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,400 $1.33 5d 1 1.09mi
20271 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1010 $1,550 $1.53 25d 1 1.14mi
20527 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 2.0 975 $1,528 $1.57 45d 1 1.18mi
19781 Fielding St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,294 $1.29 6d 1 1.18mi
20259 Oakfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1056 $1,250 $1.18 18d 1 1.20mi
19467 Rutherford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1002 $1,200 $1.20 18d 1 1.21mi
20203 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1031 $1,250 $1.21 6d 1 1.21mi
18437 Trinity St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 875 $1,364 $1.56 16d 1 1.22mi
19440 Rutherford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 25d 1 1.22mi
20210 Biltmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1033 $1,350 $1.31 25d 1 1.27mi
17165 Prevost St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1060 $2,400 $2.26 3d 1 1.30mi
20314 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1042 $1,500 $1.44 6d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    price $69,000 257-char remark
    Show marketing remark (257 chars)

    A fantastic opportunity in a highly coveted location! This home - featuring 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, a kitchen, a living room, a dining room, a basement, and a parking space for one vehicle - boasts a comfortable layout. Don't let this opportunity slip away!

  2. 2026-05-11
    price $69,000 265-char remark
  3. 2026-05-04
    listed $75,000 Active 257-char remark
    Show marketing remark (257 chars)

    A fantastic opportunity in a highly coveted location! This home - featuring 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, a kitchen, a living room, a dining room, a basement, and a parking space for one vehicle - boasts a comfortable layout. Don't let this opportunity slip away!

  4. 2026-05-04
    listed $75,000 Active 265-char remark
    Show marketing remark (257 chars)

    A fantastic opportunity in a highly coveted location! This home - featuring 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, a kitchen, a living room, a dining room, a basement, and a parking space for one vehicle - boasts a comfortable layout. Don't let this opportunity slip away!

  5. 2026-04-29
    historical
  6. 2026-04-29
    historical
  7. 2026-04-28
    listed $1,300
  8. 2026-04-27
    listed $59,900 Active
  9. 2026-04-27
    listed $59,900 Active
  10. 2026-03-20
    historical
  11. 2026-03-20
    historical
  12. 2025-08-02
    listed $85,000 Active
  13. 2025-08-02
    listed $85,000 Active
  14. 2021-03-15
    soldstatus $78,900
  15. 2021-02-10
    soldstatus $69,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,564
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$1,035
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,325
− Management
−$1,325
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$6,662
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,599
After-tax cash flow
$5,765/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
47,208
Household income
$43,655
Rent vs Own
45.1% rent · 54.9% own
Severe rent burden
3584.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.06%
Current HPI
563.3263
Rent YoY
▲ 8.04%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.3% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Sold (MLS) $62,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-11 Sold (MLS) $62,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-21 Rental Removed $1,300 REALSOURCE
  • 2026-05-21 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-21 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $69,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $69,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-29 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed for Rent $1,300 REALSOURCE
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-02 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-02 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $78,900 Public Records
  • 2021-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,626 · +97.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…