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20495 Meyers Rd
B Composite 73.18
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$50,000

20495 Meyers Rd · Detroit, MI 48235
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 735 sqft · Townhouse public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1942 3,049 sqft lot $68/sqft · 25% above area Est $56k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 bedroom brick home with full basement, hardwood floors, and more. Located near schools, shopping public transportation and more.

Key facts

  • 3,049 sq ft lot
  • Built 1942
  • Listed 42 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level with ground-level entry
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Above-grade finished area of 735 square feet; Below-grade finished area of 300 square feet
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.07 acres (31 x 99.99)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement; Total of 4 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $539 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.2% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 283 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $48,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.31%
Cap rate
19.23%
Cash-on-cash
46.22%
DSCR
3.06
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$56,132
List price
$50,000
Delta
-10.92%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
43.8%
Equity multiple
2.90×
Total profit
$26,565
Equity at exit
$7,455
10-year hold
IRR
49.9%
Equity multiple
5.91×
Total profit
$68,693
Equity at exit
$4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48235

Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
283
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,155 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$90 /mo · $1,080/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$242
Net cashflow
$539

Break-even live

Break-even rent $472
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
20830 Westview Ave Unit 2 Ferndale, MI 1.0 1.0 450 $900 $2.00 43d 1 0.83mi
21860 Coolidge Hwy #107 Oak Park, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $1,100 $1.57 24d 1 0.92mi
12800 W 9 Mile Rd Oak Park, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 775 $1,250 $1.61 24d 1 1.13mi
8775 W Nine Mile Rd Oak Park, MI 1.0 1.0 552 $1,295 $2.35 12d 2 1.23mi
18637 James Couzens Fwy Unit C103 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 630 $835 $1.33 43d 1 1.27mi
18637 James Couzens Fwy Apt 103A Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 630 $835 $1.33 1d 1 1.27mi
18461 Washburn St Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 690 $775 $1.12 43d 1 1.29mi
13600 Kenwood St Oak Park, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 770 $1,649 $2.14 2d 26 1.47mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $50,000 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $50,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $50,000 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $50,000 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $50,000 Active 37 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $50,000 Active 34 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $50,000 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $50,000 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $50,000 Active 29 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $50,000 Active 28 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $50,000 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $50,000 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $50,000 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-05-07
    listed $50,000 Active 130-char remark
    Show marketing remark (130 chars)

    2 bedroom brick home with full basement, hardwood floors, and more. Located near schools, shopping public transportation and more.

  15. 2026-05-07
    listed $50,000 Active 130-char remark
    Show marketing remark (130 chars)

    2 bedroom brick home with full basement, hardwood floors, and more. Located near schools, shopping public transportation and more.

  16. 2026-05-04
    historical $50,000 130-char remark
    Show marketing remark (130 chars)

    2 bedroom brick home with full basement, hardwood floors, and more. Located near schools, shopping public transportation and more.

  17. 2026-04-21
    historical
  18. 2026-04-21
    historical
  19. 2025-11-24
    listed $50,000 Active
  20. 2025-11-24
    listed $50,000 Active
  21. 2025-11-22
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,080 · $90/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,080 · $90/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,856
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$1,080
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,108
− Management
−$1,108
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$6,054
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,453
After-tax cash flow
$5,017/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
45,600
Household income
$39,265
Rent vs Own
46.5% rent · 53.5% own
Severe rent burden
3064.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -153.02%
Current HPI
263.6326
Rent YoY
▲ 3.25%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $50,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-04 Coming Soon $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-24 Listed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-24 Listed $50,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-22 Coming Soon MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,080 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…