1432 Tamerton Ave · University City, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.6/30.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- ARV discount +1.2/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great bungalow home with three bedrooms! Home features an eat-in kitchen, large back yard, and storage space in the basement. Don’t wait, schedule a showing today! This property is offered in its current AS IS condition; all utilities are turned off, Use caution when showing. Case #292-419263.
Key facts
- 6,625 sq ft lot
- Built 1931
- Listed 34 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $179 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (8.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $169k (8.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.7% in University City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#84 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living B; Watch: amenities D-, commute D-, health & safety F.
- University City (suburban): math 15% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #297 of 324 in MO (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Barbara Jordan Elem. (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #982 of 1,115 statewide, top 89%, 310 students, 100% FRL); University City Sr. High (math 5% / reading 52%, grade F, #409 of 521 statewide, top 79%, 726 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 67% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 53 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $185k implies a 185% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.14%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $162,432
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8450 Kempland Pl | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,266 (-0%) | 5mo | $70,000 | $55 | 85 |
| 8308 Archer Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 1,300 (+2%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $115 | 83 |
| 8354 Orchard Ave | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,281 (+1%) | 10mo | $50,000 | $39 | 72 |
| 8251 Montreal Dr | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,138 (-10%) | 8mo | $144,900 | $127 | 66 |
| 8410 Richard Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,188 (-6%) | 13mo | $190,000 | $160 | 61 |
| 8609 Mayflower Ct | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,307 (+3%) | 1mo | $359,900 | $275 | 60 |
| 8452 Braddock Dr | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,450 (+14%) | 11mo | $184,900 | $128 | 58 |
| 1280 Hafner Pl | 0.38mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,350 (+6%) | 11mo | $110,000 | $81 | 55 |
| 7870 Trenton Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,136 (-10%) | 11mo | $170,000 | $150 | 51 |
| 8003 Briar Ct | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,134 (-11%) | 7mo | $199,900 | $176 | 51 |
| 8346 Archer Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 1,082 (-15%) | 17mo | $99,000 | $91 | 48 |
| 1545 78th St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,228 (-3%) | 18mo | $235,000 | $191 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.64% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-12,228
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $32,179
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63132
- Rents YoY
- 6.6%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,689 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,304/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$355
- Net cashflow
- $179
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $284 | -5% $231 | +0% $179 | +5% $126 | +10% $74 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $45 | -5% $112 | +0% $179 | +5% $246 | +10% $312 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $272 | -0.5pp $226 | base $179 | +0.5pp $131 | +1.0pp $82 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8449 Atherton Dr St. Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,245 | $1.38 | 4d | 2 | 0.64mi |
| 1150 N Price Rd St. Louis, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 999 | $3,731 | $3.73 | 2d | 151 | 0.86mi |
| 8669 Old Towne Dr St. Louis, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1335 | $2,151 | $1.61 | 2d | 9 | 0.89mi |
| 9150 Olive Xing St. Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1084 | $3,575 | $3.30 | 2d | 3 | 0.91mi |
| 910 N McKnight Rd St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,500 | $1.79 | 2d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 7720 Ahern Ave University City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,350 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1086 Wilshire Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,306 | $1.21 | 5d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1351 N Hanley Rd Saint Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 911 | $1,575 | $1.73 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 978 Warder Ave University City, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,145 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 7737 Wild Plum Ln University City, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 7430 Canton Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,450 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 7386 Milan Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,400 | $1.46 | 5d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1108 N Hanley Rd St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,795 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 7361 Melrose Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $2,095 | $1.64 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 8241 Delmar Blvd Apt 2E St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,175 | $1.07 | 15d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1535 N Jackson Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,450 | $1.47 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 8400 Delmar Blvd St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1006 | $3,800 | $3.78 | 2d | 8 | 1.39mi |
| 8701 Delmar Blvd Unit 8701-4C Delmar St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,750 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 8701 Delmar Blvd Unit 8701-3D Delmar St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,595 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 8680 Delmar Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 910 | $3,325 | $3.65 | 2d | 14 | 1.44mi |
| 2452 Ashland Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1028 | $1,350 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 8342 Delcrest Dr Saint Louis, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1089 | $2,986 | $2.74 | 2d | 16 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2025-08-31status Pending
-
2025-08-29status Active
-
2025-08-29price $185,000
-
2025-07-15status Pending
-
2025-07-15price $200,000
-
2025-06-13$210,000 Active
-
2025-06-05historical $210,000
-
2014-08-25soldstatus 300-char remark
Show marketing remark (300 chars)
Great bungalow home with three bedrooms! Home features an eat-in kitchen, large back yard, and storage space in the basement. Don’t wait, schedule a showing today! This property is offered in its current AS IS condition; all utilities are turned off, Use caution when showing. Case #292-419263.
-
2013-12-17$24,800 300-char remark
Show marketing remark (300 chars)
Great bungalow home with three bedrooms! Home features an eat-in kitchen, large back yard, and storage space in the basement. Don’t wait, schedule a showing today! This property is offered in its current AS IS condition; all utilities are turned off, Use caution when showing. Case #292-419263.
-
2002-07-17soldstatus $65,000
-
1990-12-28soldstatus
-
1990-12-28soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,304 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,794 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- +$491/yr (+$41/mo · 37.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,274
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$1,304
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,622
- − Management
- −$1,622
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$944
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$227
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,372/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- University City
- NCES district ID
- 2930660
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,927
- Composite
- 18.57/100
- National rank
- #8910
- State rank
- #297 of 324 in MO
Livability — University City
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #84
- US rank
- #5618
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- University City, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 28,910
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,283
- Household income
- $87,385
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 644.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 27% Asian 16% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · China, Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Chinese 9% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -482.68%
- Current HPI
- 255.4778
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.64%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+184.6% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2025-08-31 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-29 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-29 Price Changed $185,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-15 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-15 Price Changed $200,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-13 Listed $210,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-05 Coming Soon $210,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-08-25 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-12-17 Listed $24,800 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 1990-12-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1990-12-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2022): $1,304 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…