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502 W 9th St
B- Composite 66.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$54,900

502 W 9th St · West Frankfort, IL 62896
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · Other · 10 Days on market
Built 1950 8,276 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nicely updated 2 bed 1 bath. Newer roof, carport, corner lot. Central heat and air.

Key facts

  • A/c
  • Gas heat
  • Large back yard

Tags

CORNER LOTVINYL SIDINGLARGE BACK YARDA/CGAS HEAT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $320 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($871 rent vs $55k).
  • Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 5.8% in West Frankfort — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,210 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Frankfort CUSD 168 (town): math 6% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Denning Elementary School (467 students, 0% FRL); Central Jr High School (math 4% / reading 24%, grade F, #529 of 665 statewide, top 80%, 219 students, 0% FRL); Frankfort Comm High School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #511 of 693 statewide, top 75%, 434 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 55% district-wide (55 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 17 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Franklin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $54,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.59%
Cap rate
13.29%
Cash-on-cash
24.97%
DSCR
2.11
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$11,485
Equity at exit
$8,186
10-year hold
IRR
26.8%
Equity multiple
3.36×
Total profit
$36,263
Equity at exit
$4,747

Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62896

Active inventory
90
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$871 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax from tax record
$58 /mo · $694/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$183
Net cashflow
$320

Break-even live

Break-even rent $467
Max offer price $54,900
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $351 -5% $335 +0% $320 +5% $304 +10% $289
Rent -10% $251 -5% $285 +0% $320 +5% $354 +10% $389
Rate -1.0pp $348 -0.5pp $334 base $320 +0.5pp $306 +1.0pp $291

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,725
Closing costs
$1,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5 Razer Dr Unit 1 West Frankfort, IL 2.0 1.5 1100 $900 $0.82 45d 1 0.78mi
403 E Poplar St West Frankfort, IL 3.0 1.0 1200 $900 $0.75 45d 1 0.85mi
411 N Cochran St West Frankfort, IL 2.0 1.0 960 $795 $0.83 45d 1 1.20mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-04-10
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-30
    listed $54,900 Active
  3. 2024-03-08
    soldstatus $73,000 83-char remark
    Show marketing remark (83 chars)

    Nicely updated 2 bed 1 bath. Newer roof, carport, corner lot. Central heat and air.

  4. 2024-03-08
    soldstatus $73,000 Closed 83-char remark
    Show marketing remark (83 chars)

    Nicely updated 2 bed 1 bath. Newer roof, carport, corner lot. Central heat and air.

  5. 2024-01-12
    historical Under Contract 83-char remark
    Show marketing remark (83 chars)

    Nicely updated 2 bed 1 bath. Newer roof, carport, corner lot. Central heat and air.

  6. 2024-01-02
    price $72,000 83-char remark
    Show marketing remark (83 chars)

    Nicely updated 2 bed 1 bath. Newer roof, carport, corner lot. Central heat and air.

  7. 2023-10-30
    listed $72,000 83-char remark
    Show marketing remark (83 chars)

    Nicely updated 2 bed 1 bath. Newer roof, carport, corner lot. Central heat and air.

  8. 2023-10-30
    listed $82,000 Active 83-char remark
    Show marketing remark (83 chars)

    Nicely updated 2 bed 1 bath. Newer roof, carport, corner lot. Central heat and air.

  9. 2009-11-19
    soldstatus $22,000 18-char remark
    Show marketing remark (18 chars)

    Great starter home

  10. 2009-11-16
    listed $22,000 18-char remark
    Show marketing remark (18 chars)

    Great starter home

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$694 · $58/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$970 · $81/mo
Expected delta
+$276/yr (+$23/mo · 39.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,458
− Mortgage interest
−$3,075
− Property taxes
−$694
− Insurance
−$274
− Repairs & maintenance
−$837
− Management
−$837
− Depreciation
−$1,597
Taxable income
$3,144
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$755
After-tax cash flow
$3,084/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Frankfort CUSD 168
NCES district ID
1741580
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$34,447
Composite
8.93/100
National rank
#9886
State rank
#577 of 620 in IL

Livability — West Frankfort

Score
56/100
State rank
#1210
US rank
#22742

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Frankfort, IL
City population
10,691
Population (ZIP)
10,691

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,954 people
By 2030
36,828 · -3.0%
By 2040
34,452 · -9.2%
By 2050
31,855 · -16.1%
By 2075
25,171 · -33.7%
By 2100
18,462 · -51.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.6) · D 24.1% · R 74.6% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-47.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -50.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.6 2020: R+47.5 2016: R+45.3 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+2.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -94.00%
Current HPI
86.36
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+149.5% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $54,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-08 Sold (MLS) $73,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-08 Sold (MLS) $73,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-01-12 Contingent RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-01-02 Price Changed $72,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-30 Listed $82,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-30 Listed $72,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-11-19 Sold (MLS) $22,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-11-16 Listed $22,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $694 · +8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…