🏷️ Likely Rental
528 E Allison St · Nevada, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
:Home For Sale Nevada Mo Welcome to this character-filled home in Nevada MO. Built around 1900, this 4-bedroom, 2-bath traditional residence spans approximately 1,448 sq ft. Inside, the layout flows nicely between the living room, dining area, and kitchen, while upstairs you'll find three well-sized bedrooms and a full bath. Home For Sale Vernon County Mo Located in Nevada MO this home offers, a ample backyard giving the opportunity for outdoor living, gardening, or entertaining. With its sizable lot, this property has both presence and potential. This home is listed as a ''fixer-upper, '' so it's perfect for buyers looking to invest sweat equity. The home is currently rented for $850.00 per month. Priced to reflect its condition, this is a rare opportunity to bring new life to a vintage home in Nevada, MO.
Key facts
- Ample backyard
- Vintage home
- Sizable lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $163 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $98k (2.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.9% in Nevada — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#519 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Nevada R-V (town): math 33% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #180 of 324 in MO (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 104 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 57 units permitted in Vernon County in 2024 (38 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Vernon County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 245 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $100k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 245 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.98%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $133,300
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- -24.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 503 E Locust St | 0.06mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,418 (-2%) | 6mo | $129,900 | $92 | 82 |
| 504 E Lee St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,384 (-4%) | 6mo | $27,000 | $20 | 72 |
| 505 E Lee St | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,288 (-11%) | 3mo | $169,900 | $132 | 71 |
| 311 S Lynn St | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,370 (-5%) | 5mo | $149,900 | $109 | 62 |
| 221 W Allison St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,587 (+10%) | 3mo | $154,900 | $98 | 62 |
| 229 S Main St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,479 (+2%) | 2mo | $24,900 | $17 | 61 |
| 505 W Allison St | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,480 (+2%) | 10mo | $1 | — | 57 |
| 600 W Hunter St | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,339 (-8%) | 4mo | $100,000 | $75 | 50 |
| 411 N Adams St | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (-10%) | 4mo | $108,000 | $83 | 48 |
| 520 W Hunter St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,265 (-13%) | 3mo | $199,000 | $157 | 46 |
| 329 E Atlantic St | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 | 1,264 (-13%) | 7mo | $115,000 | $91 | 40 |
| 524 W Cherry St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,260 (-13%) | 0mo | $144,999 | $115 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-5,864
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $8,110
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64772
- Active inventory
- 104
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $977 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $513/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$205
- Net cashflow
- $163
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 317 E Hickory St Nevada, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,050 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 404 E Ashland St Nevada, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1041 | $875 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 926 W Sycamore St Nevada, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $850 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 515 N Tower St Nevada, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1305 | $1,025 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $100,000 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $100,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2025-10-16$100,000 Active 818-char remark
Show marketing remark (818 chars)
:Home For Sale Nevada Mo Welcome to this character-filled home in Nevada MO. Built around 1900, this 4-bedroom, 2-bath traditional residence spans approximately 1,448 sq ft. Inside, the layout flows nicely between the living room, dining area, and kitchen, while upstairs you'll find three well-sized bedrooms and a full bath. Home For Sale Vernon County Mo Located in Nevada MO this home offers, a ample backyard giving the opportunity for outdoor living, gardening, or entertaining. With its sizable lot, this property has both presence and potential. This home is listed as a ''fixer-upper, '' so it's perfect for buyers looking to invest sweat equity. The home is currently rented for $850.00 per month. Priced to reflect its condition, this is a rare opportunity to bring new life to a vintage home in Nevada, MO.
-
2025-10-11$100,000 Active 815-char remark
Show marketing remark (815 chars)
Home For Sale Nevada MoWelcome to this character‑filled home in Nevada MO. Built around 1900, this 4-bedroom, 2-bath traditional residence spans approximately 1,448 sq ft. Inside, the layout flows nicely between the living room, dining area, and kitchen, while upstairs you'll find three well‑sized bedrooms and a full bath. Home For Sale Vernon County MoLocated in Nevada MO this home offers, a ample backyard giving the opportunity for outdoor living, gardening, or entertaining. With its sizable lot, this property has both presence and potential. This home is listed as a ''fixer-upper, '' so it's perfect for buyers looking to invest sweat equity. The home is currently rented for $850.00 per month. Priced to reflect its condition, this is a rare opportunity to bring new life to a vintage home in Nevada, MO.
-
2021-12-28soldstatus Closed
-
2021-12-04historical
-
2021-12-02$24,900
-
2003-04-11soldstatus $52,500
-
1995-04-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $513 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $970 · $81/mo
- Expected delta
- +$457/yr (+$38/mo · 88.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,723
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$513
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$938
- − Management
- −$938
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $323
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$78
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,877/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nevada R-V
- NCES district ID
- 2921840
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,804
- Composite
- 32.14/100
- National rank
- #5792
- State rank
- #180 of 324 in MO
Livability — Nevada
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #519
- US rank
- #19644
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Nevada, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,930
Population outlook (Vernon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,169 people
- By 2030
- 19,639 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 18,551 · -8.0%
- By 2050
- 17,549 · -13.0%
- By 2075
- 15,314 · -24.1%
- By 2100
- 13,132 · -34.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Portuguese 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Vernon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.5) · D 19.8% · R 79.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.5pp toward R · 2008: -22.0pp · 2024: -59.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.5 2020: R+57.2 2016: R+56.2 2012: R+37.3 2008: R+22.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -84.21%
- Current HPI
- 150.7283
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+90.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-16 Listed $100,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-11 Listed $100,000 SOMO
- 2021-12-28 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-04 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-02 Listed $24,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records
- 1995-04-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $513 · +13.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…