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528 E Allison St 🏷️ Likely Rental
C+ Composite 60.24
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

528 E Allison St · Nevada, MO 64772
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,448 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 245 Days on market
Built 1900 7,405 sqft lot $69/sqft · 25% below area Est $133k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

:Home For Sale Nevada Mo Welcome to this character-filled home in Nevada MO. Built around 1900, this 4-bedroom, 2-bath traditional residence spans approximately 1,448 sq ft. Inside, the layout flows nicely between the living room, dining area, and kitchen, while upstairs you'll find three well-sized bedrooms and a full bath. Home For Sale Vernon County Mo Located in Nevada MO this home offers, a ample backyard giving the opportunity for outdoor living, gardening, or entertaining. With its sizable lot, this property has both presence and potential. This home is listed as a ''fixer-upper, '' so it's perfect for buyers looking to invest sweat equity. The home is currently rented for $850.00 per month. Priced to reflect its condition, this is a rare opportunity to bring new life to a vintage home in Nevada, MO.

Key facts

  • Ample backyard
  • Vintage home
  • Sizable lot

Tags

AMPLE BACKYARDSIZABLE LOTOUTDOOR LIVINGVINTAGE HOME

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $100,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$133,300) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $163 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $98k (2.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.9% in Nevada — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#519 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Nevada R-V (town): math 33% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #180 of 324 in MO (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 104 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 57 units permitted in Vernon County in 2024 (38 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Vernon County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 245 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $52k; list at $100k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 245 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
8.25%
Cash-on-cash
6.98%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$133,300
List price
$100,000
Delta
-24.98%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
503 E Locust St 0.06mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,418 (-2%) 6mo $129,900 $92 82
504 E Lee St 0.14mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,384 (-4%) 6mo $27,000 $20 72
505 E Lee St 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,288 (-11%) 3mo $169,900 $132 71
311 S Lynn St 0.41mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,370 (-5%) 5mo $149,900 $109 62
221 W Allison St 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,587 (+10%) 3mo $154,900 $98 62
229 S Main St 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,479 (+2%) 2mo $24,900 $17 61
505 W Allison St 0.64mi 3/1.5 1,480 (+2%) 10mo $1 57
600 W Hunter St 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,339 (-8%) 4mo $100,000 $75 50
411 N Adams St 0.58mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,300 (-10%) 4mo $108,000 $83 48
520 W Hunter St 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,265 (-13%) 3mo $199,000 $157 46
329 E Atlantic St 0.67mi 3/2.5 1,264 (-13%) 7mo $115,000 $91 40
524 W Cherry St 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,260 (-13%) 0mo $144,999 $115 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.6%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-5,864
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
4.0%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$8,110
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64772

Active inventory
104
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$977 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $513/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$205
Net cashflow
$163

Break-even live

Break-even rent $771
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
317 E Hickory St Nevada, MO 3.0 1.0 1296 $1,050 $0.81 44d 1 0.18mi
404 E Ashland St Nevada, MO 2.0 1.0 1041 $875 $0.84 44d 1 0.24mi
926 W Sycamore St Nevada, MO 3.0 1.0 1100 $850 $0.77 44d 1 1.04mi
515 N Tower St Nevada, MO 3.0 1.0 1305 $1,025 $0.79 44d 1 1.21mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 245 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 244 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 243 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 242 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 240 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $100,000 Active 239 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 236 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 235 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 234 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 233 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $100,000 Active 230 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 229 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 228 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 227 DOM
  15. 2025-10-16
    listed $100,000 Active 818-char remark
    Show marketing remark (818 chars)

    :Home For Sale Nevada Mo Welcome to this character-filled home in Nevada MO. Built around 1900, this 4-bedroom, 2-bath traditional residence spans approximately 1,448 sq ft. Inside, the layout flows nicely between the living room, dining area, and kitchen, while upstairs you'll find three well-sized bedrooms and a full bath. Home For Sale Vernon County Mo Located in Nevada MO this home offers, a ample backyard giving the opportunity for outdoor living, gardening, or entertaining. With its sizable lot, this property has both presence and potential. This home is listed as a ''fixer-upper, '' so it's perfect for buyers looking to invest sweat equity. The home is currently rented for $850.00 per month. Priced to reflect its condition, this is a rare opportunity to bring new life to a vintage home in Nevada, MO.

  16. 2025-10-11
    listed $100,000 Active 815-char remark
    Show marketing remark (815 chars)

    Home For Sale Nevada MoWelcome to this character‑filled home in Nevada MO. Built around 1900, this 4-bedroom, 2-bath traditional residence spans approximately 1,448 sq ft. Inside, the layout flows nicely between the living room, dining area, and kitchen, while upstairs you'll find three well‑sized bedrooms and a full bath. Home For Sale Vernon County MoLocated in Nevada MO this home offers, a ample backyard giving the opportunity for outdoor living, gardening, or entertaining. With its sizable lot, this property has both presence and potential. This home is listed as a ''fixer-upper, '' so it's perfect for buyers looking to invest sweat equity. The home is currently rented for $850.00 per month. Priced to reflect its condition, this is a rare opportunity to bring new life to a vintage home in Nevada, MO.

  17. 2021-12-28
    soldstatus Closed
  18. 2021-12-04
    historical
  19. 2021-12-02
    listed $24,900
  20. 2003-04-11
    soldstatus $52,500
  21. 1995-04-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$513 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$970 · $81/mo
Expected delta
+$457/yr (+$38/mo · 88.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,723
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$513
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$938
− Management
−$938
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$323
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$78
After-tax cash flow
$1,877/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nevada R-V
NCES district ID
2921840
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$38,804
Composite
32.14/100
National rank
#5792
State rank
#180 of 324 in MO

Livability — Nevada

Score
59/100
State rank
#519
US rank
#19644

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Nevada, MO
Population (ZIP)
12,930

Population outlook (Vernon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,169 people
By 2030
19,639 · -2.6%
By 2040
18,551 · -8.0%
By 2050
17,549 · -13.0%
By 2075
15,314 · -24.1%
By 2100
13,132 · -34.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Portuguese 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Vernon

2024 margin
Solid R (+59.5) · D 19.8% · R 79.3%
2008→2024 swing
-37.5pp toward R · 2008: -22.0pp · 2024: -59.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+59.5 2020: R+57.2 2016: R+56.2 2012: R+37.3 2008: R+22.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -84.21%
Current HPI
150.7283
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+90.5% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-16 Listed $100,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-11 Listed $100,000 SOMO
  • 2021-12-28 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-12-04 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-12-02 Listed $24,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records
  • 1995-04-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $513 · +13.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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