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2179 Williams Rd
B- Composite 66.78
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$185,000

2179 Williams Rd · Elkland, PA 14801
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1966 6.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

BEAUTIFUL VIEW WITH 6 ACRES. POND. NEW ROOF 2000 . FRESHLY PAINTED INSIDE. . HOT WATER BASEBOARD HEAT. CARPORT.

Key facts

  • Own pond
  • Open space
  • Plenty of storage

Tags

PEACEFUL VIEWSOPEN SPACEOWN PONDHARDWOOD FLOORSSKYLIGHTSPLENTY OF STORAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-story home; Existing construction
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Attic/crawl hatchway(s) insulated; Block and slab foundation; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Open porch; Gravel driveway; Leased propane tank; Secluded, rural and irregular lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Baseboard heat; Window and wall cooling units
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Pantry; Bedroom on main level; Main level primary
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $332 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#1,171 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Jasper-Troupsburg Central School District (rural): math 61% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #319 of 755 in NY (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Jasper-Troupsburg Elementary School (math 62% / reading 57%, grade B-, #745 of 2,108 statewide, top 39%, 213 students, 57% FRL); Jasper-Troupsburg Junior-Senior High School (math 67% / reading 64%, grade B, #766 of 1,100 statewide, top 70%, 158 students, 52% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 196 units permitted in Steuben County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Steuben County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $67k; list at $185k implies a 177% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $185,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.45%
Cash-on-cash
7.69%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.9%
Equity multiple
3.35×
Total profit
$121,873
Equity at exit
$166,663
10-year hold
IRR
25.9%
Equity multiple
7.61×
Total profit
$342,226
Equity at exit
$359,414

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 14801

Home prices YoY
3.3%
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,931 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$146 /mo · $1,752/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$405
Net cashflow
$332

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,510
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $437 -5% $384 +0% $332 +5% $280 +10% $227
Rent -10% $179 -5% $256 +0% $332 +5% $408 +10% $484
Rate -1.0pp $425 -0.5pp $379 base $332 +0.5pp $284 +1.0pp $235

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $185,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $185,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $185,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $185,000 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    remarks 687-char remark
  6. 2026-06-17
    listed $185,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,752 · $146/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,338 · $195/mo
Expected delta
+$585/yr (+$49/mo · 33.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,168
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$1,752
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,853
− Management
−$1,853
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable income
$1,039
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$249
After-tax cash flow
$3,734/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jasper-Troupsburg Central School District
NCES district ID
3600007
Math proficiency
61% ▲ 9.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 8.00%
Median HH income
$41,266
Composite
50.68/100
National rank
#3935
State rank
#319 of 755 in NY

Livability — Elkland

Score
65/100
State rank
#1171
US rank
#13602

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,415

Population outlook (Steuben County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
93,062 people
By 2030
89,793 · -3.5%
By 2040
82,353 · -11.5%
By 2050
74,286 · -20.2%
By 2075
55,589 · -40.3%
By 2100
37,587 · -59.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Polish 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
91% English-only · German/W. Germanic 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Steuben

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.8) · D 34.1% · R 65.9%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -31.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.8 2020: R+29.6 2016: R+36.2 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+16.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.75%
Current HPI
332.2296
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+193.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $185,000 UNYREIS
  • 2002-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $66,900 Public Records
  • 2002-06-07 Sold (MLS) $66,900 UNYREIS
  • 2002-03-13 Listed $69,900 UNYREIS
  • 2001-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
  • 2001-03-27 Sold (MLS) $61,000 UNYREIS
  • 2000-09-05 Listed $63,000 UNYREIS

Property tax history

-5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,752 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…