212 Antiquity Cir · Perry, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +8.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.8/30.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.4/10.0
- DSCR +0.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$274,100
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Move in Ready November 2026! The Lawson plan by Smith Douglas Homes in the new community Avalon. Welcome to this beautifully designed 3 bedroom, 2.5bath home where modern comfort meets thoughtful functionality across two inviting levels. Step through the foyer into an open concept layout that seamlessly connects the family room and kitchen, creating an airy, welcoming space ideal for everyday living. A sleek linear fireplace anchors the living area, adding warmth and contemporary style. Just off the kitchen, a private patio extends the living space outdoors that is perfect for morning coffee, grilling, or unwinding at the end of the day.
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Private patio
- Linear fireplace
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $274k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-546 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $195k (28.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (36.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $175k (36.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#149 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Houston County (urban): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #23 of 174 in GA (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Morningside Elementary School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #582 of 1,228 statewide, top 50%, 503 students, 84% FRL); Perry Middle School (math 53% / reading 51%, grade C+, #60 of 470 statewide, top 13%, 1,070 students, 51% FRL); Perry High School (math 31% / reading 39%, grade F, #84 of 424 statewide, top 20%, 1,478 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 46% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 772 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,545 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Houston County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($249k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.64% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.54%
- DSCR
- 0.62
- GRM
- 13.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $280,316
- List price
- $274,100
- Delta
- -2.22%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204 Antiquity Cir Lot 235 | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 | 1,501 (-9%) | 0mo | $262,400 | $175 | 82 |
| 202 Farmland Cir Lot 2 | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 | 1,851 (+12%) | 8mo | $336,900 | $182 | 71 |
| 120 Bramblewood Way | 0.03mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,756 (+6%) | 12mo | $295,339 | $168 | 71 |
| 405 Otter's Ridge Dr | 0.03mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,766 (+7%) | 23mo | $302,900 | $172 | 61 |
| 801 Carey St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (-12%) | 19mo | $151,000 | $104 | 53 |
| 202 Martin Luther King Jr Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,496 (-9%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $110 | 51 |
| 1306 North Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,717 (+4%) | 23mo | $204,000 | $119 | 44 |
| 1218 Main St | 0.44mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,508 (-9%) | 20mo | $212,000 | $141 | 40 |
| 206 Hill Ln | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,518 (-8%) | 15mo | $260,000 | $171 | 38 |
| 800 Ball St | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,416 (-14%) | 19mo | $155,000 | $109 | 34 |
| 1100 Creekwood Dr | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,455 (-12%) | 12mo | $103,000 | $71 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -31.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.03×
- Total profit
- $-79,145
- Equity at exit
- $40,869
- IRR
- -34.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.48×
- Total profit
- $-113,507
- Equity at exit
- $23,699
Cash invested: $76,748 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 23 active · 14 under contract
- Months of supply
- 12.5 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $273,650 ($149/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 106 d
- This list price
- 52% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +14.1% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 31069
- Active inventory
- 772
- Price-to-rent
- 13.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,748 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,437
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$343 /mo · $4,112/yr
- Insurance
- −$114
- HOA
- −$33
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$367
- Net cashflow
- $-546
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-357 | -5% $-451 | +0% $-546 | +5% $-641 | +10% $-735 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-684 | -5% $-615 | +0% $-546 | +5% $-477 | +10% $-408 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-408 | -0.5pp $-476 | base $-546 | +0.5pp $-617 | +1.0pp $-689 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,525
- Closing costs
- $8,223
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1108 Washington St Perry, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,575 | $1.32 | 0d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 1108 Washington St Perry, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1136 | $1,600 | $1.41 | 184d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 1129 Macon Rd Perry, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 0d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 100 Ashley St Perry, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 850 | $1,100 | $1.29 | 0d | 6 | 0.23mi |
| 705 Charlse Dr Perry, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1761 | $1,600 | $0.91 | 0d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1215 Macon Rd Perry, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1768 | $1,450 | $0.82 | 7d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1215 Macon Rd Perry, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $1,200 | $0.83 | 0d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1112 3rd St Unit B Perry, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 184d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 705 Evergreen St Perry, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1489 | $1,400 | $0.94 | 162d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1304 Georgia Ave Perry, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1485 | $3,500 | $2.36 | 5d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1304 Georgia Ave Perry, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1485 | $3,500 | $2.36 | 184d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1311 Georgia Ave Perry, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1716 | $1,400 | $0.82 | 36d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1334 Parkway Dr Perry, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1131 | $1,200 | $1.06 | 40d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1218 Creekwood Dr Perry, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1545 | $1,900 | $1.23 | 184d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1218 Creekwood Dr Perry, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1545 | $1,695 | $1.10 | 0d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1301 Tucker Rd Perry, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1852 | $1,700 | $0.92 | 22d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 613 Cooper St Perry, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $1,395 | $1.15 | 0d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 304 Spring Creek Dr Perry, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,500 | $1.18 | 12d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1115 Kingston Rd Perry, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1740 | $2,000 | $1.15 | 162d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 118 Kingston Village Dr Perry, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,325 | $1.21 | 9d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1501 Main St Perry, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,750 | $1.40 | 184d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 528 Ansley Ave Perry, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1862 | $1,700 | $0.91 | 8d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1001 Morningside Dr Apt C Perry, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1346 | $1,200 | $0.89 | 38d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 200 Bristol St Perry, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 942 | $1,160 | $1.23 | 154d | 7 | 1.20mi |
| 1100 Kenwood Dr Perry, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $3,950 | $3.04 | 184d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1100 Kenwood Dr Perry, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $3,950 | $3.04 | 0d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1100 Kenwood Dr Perry, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $3,950 | $3.04 | 12d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 105 Sherwood Rd Perry, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1418 | $1,350 | $0.95 | 0d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 304 Christopher Luke Cir Perry, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1769 | $2,095 | $1.18 | 184d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1739 Houston Lake Rd Perry, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2163 | $1,895 | $0.88 | 184d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1726 Greenwood Cir Perry, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1647 | $3,990 | $2.42 | 0d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1726 Greenwood Cir Perry, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1647 | $3,490 | $2.12 | 184d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Address: 212 Antiquity Cir, Perry, GA 31069
- Financial info
- List price available (listing is a spec home)
Exterior
- Parking
- 2 parking spaces
- Utilities
- Natural gasElectricCentral air
- Home design
- Single-family spec homeListed as Active
Interior
- Kitchen
- Plan: The Lawson (spec home)
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Natural gas heatingElectric heatingHeat pumpCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Open living area (1,650 sq ft living space total)
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-11-08days on market $274,100 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-11-07days on market $274,100 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-11-06days on market $274,100 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-11-05days on market $274,100 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-11-04days on market $274,100 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-11-02days on market $274,100 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-11-01days on market $274,100 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-10-31days on market $274,100 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-10-30days on market $274,100 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-10-29days on market $274,100 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-10-28days on market $274,100 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-10-27days on market $274,100 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-10-26days on market $274,100 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-10-25days on market $274,100 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-10-24days on market $274,100 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-10-23days on market $274,100 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-10-22days on market $274,100 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-10-21days on market $274,100 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-10-21days on market $274,100 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-10-20days on market $274,100 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-10-19days on market $274,100 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-10-18days on market $274,100 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-10-17days on market $274,100 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-10-16days on market $274,100 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-10-15days on market $274,100 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-10-14days on market $274,100 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-10-13days on market $274,100 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-10-12days on market $274,100 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-10-11days on market $274,100 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-10-10days on market $274,100 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-10-09days on market $274,100 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-10-08days on market $274,100 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-10-07days on market $274,100 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-10-06days on market $274,100 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-10-05days on market $274,100 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-10-04days on market $274,100 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-10-03days on market $274,100 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-10-02days on market $274,100 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-10-01days on market $274,100 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-09-30days on market $274,100 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-09-29days on market $274,100 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-09-28days on market $274,100 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-09-27days on market $274,100 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-09-26days on market $274,100 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-09-25days on market $274,100 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $274,100 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $274,100 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $274,100 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $274,100 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $274,100 Active 108 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,981
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,354
- − Property taxes
- −$4,112
- − Insurance
- −$1,370
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,678
- − Management
- −$1,678
- − HOA
- −$396
- − Depreciation
- −$7,974
- Taxable loss
- −$11,582
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,780
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,772/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 14 photos
This move-in-ready home is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. Minor updates to the interior walls and landscaping could further enhance its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting interior walls and trim — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers. ↑
- Rental Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can increase the home's rental value by making it more appealing to tenants. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston County
- NCES district ID
- 1302880
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,823
- Composite
- 38.68/100
- National rank
- #4144
- State rank
- #23 of 174 in GA
Livability — Perry
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #149
- US rank
- #9757
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Perry, GA
- County
- Houston County · 169,502 people
- City population
- 22,953
- Metro
- Warner Robins, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,953
- Household income
- $74,501
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 19% of renters
Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 169,502 people
- By 2030
- 178,486 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 194,642 · +14.8%
- By 2050
- 207,119 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 231,480 · +36.6%
- By 2100
- 235,034 · +38.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3% Two or more races 3%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Houston
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.3) · D 44.0% · R 55.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: -20.2pp · 2024: -11.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.3 2020: R+12.4 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+20.7 2008: R+20.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -162.01%
- Current HPI
- 240.9327
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Warner Robins, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…