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4317 Cleveland Rd
D- Composite 35.69
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +9.2/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • DSCR +1.7/10.0

$149,900

4317 Cleveland Rd · Fordoche, LA 70732
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,140 sqft · Manufactured · 105 Days on market
Built 2026 0.90 ac lot $131/sqft · at area comps Est $156k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

You can not beat this value! Brand new 2026 Clayton 3 bed, 2 bath mobile home set up on nearly an acre lot in Fordoche, LA, fully move in ready. The home will be completely set up and includes a new sewer system, central HVAC, skirting, tie-downs, and runners. Everything is done for you. This is a turnkey property that offers space, peace of mind, and unbeatable affordability. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer, looking to downsize, or searching for a smart investment, this one checks all the boxes. No HOA and No restrictions! Great financing options are available to make ownership even easier. Do not miss out!

Key facts

  • Central hvac
  • Turnkey property
  • Nearly an acre lot

Tags

NEW SEWER SYSTEMCENTRAL HVACTURNKEY PROPERTYNEARLY AN ACRE LOTNO HOANO RESTRICTIONS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-179 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $124k (17.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (27.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (27.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#343 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pointe Coupee Parish (rural): math 21% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #56 of 98 in LA (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Valverda Elementary School (math 22% / reading 29%, grade F, #378 of 646 statewide, top 59%, 503 students, 70% FRL); Livonia High School (math 20% / reading 34%, grade F, #136 of 265 statewide, top 55%, 1,010 students, 66% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 60 units permitted in Pointe Coupee Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Pointe Coupee County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $108,476 (27.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
4.86%
Cash-on-cash
-5.12%
DSCR
0.77
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$155,748
List price
$149,900
Delta
-3.76%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4307 Cleveland Rd 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,140 (0%) 7mo $149,900 $131 94

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.8%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$6,676
Equity at exit
$67,402
10-year hold
IRR
6.2%
Equity multiple
1.95×
Total profit
$39,785
Equity at exit
$103,874

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70732

Active inventory
8
Price-to-rent
11.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,085 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax est. 1.5%
$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$228
Net cashflow
$-179

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,311
Max offer price $124,004
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-75 -5% $-127 +0% $-179 +5% $-231 +10% $-283
Rent -10% $-265 -5% $-222 +0% $-179 +5% $-136 +10% $-93
Rate -1.0pp $-103 -0.5pp $-141 base $-179 +0.5pp $-218 +1.0pp $-257

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-02-02
    listed $149,900 Active 621-char remark
    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    You can not beat this value! Brand new 2026 Clayton 3 bed, 2 bath mobile home set up on nearly an acre lot in Fordoche, LA, fully move in ready. The home will be completely set up and includes a new sewer system, central HVAC, skirting, tie-downs, and runners. Everything is done for you. This is a turnkey property that offers space, peace of mind, and unbeatable affordability. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer, looking to downsize, or searching for a smart investment, this one checks all the boxes. No HOA and No restrictions! Great financing options are available to make ownership even easier. Do not miss out!

  2. 2026-02-02
    listed $149,900 Active 621-char remark
    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    You can not beat this value! Brand new 2026 Clayton 3 bed, 2 bath mobile home set up on nearly an acre lot in Fordoche, LA, fully move in ready. The home will be completely set up and includes a new sewer system, central HVAC, skirting, tie-downs, and runners. Everything is done for you. This is a turnkey property that offers space, peace of mind, and unbeatable affordability. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer, looking to downsize, or searching for a smart investment, this one checks all the boxes. No HOA and No restrictions! Great financing options are available to make ownership even easier. Do not miss out!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,017
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$2,248
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,041
− Management
−$1,041
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$4,821
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,157
After-tax cash flow
$-991/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pointe Coupee Parish
NCES district ID
2201260
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -35.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -35.00%
Median HH income
$42,565
Composite
21.32/100
National rank
#8379
State rank
#56 of 98 in LA

Livability — Fordoche

Score
56/100
State rank
#343
US rank
#22890

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,098

Population outlook (Pointe Coupee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,165 people
By 2030
20,406 · -3.6%
By 2040
18,650 · -11.9%
By 2050
16,946 · -19.9%
By 2075
13,844 · -34.6%
By 2100
11,154 · -47.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 23% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 17%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
93% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pointe Coupee

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.6) · D 35.7% · R 63.3% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -9.5pp · 2024: -27.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.6 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+17.2 2012: R+9.2 2008: R+9.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-02 Listed $149,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-02-02 Listed $149,900 GBRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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