4317 Cleveland Rd · Fordoche, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +9.2/15.0
- Cash flow +7.6/30.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
You can not beat this value! Brand new 2026 Clayton 3 bed, 2 bath mobile home set up on nearly an acre lot in Fordoche, LA, fully move in ready. The home will be completely set up and includes a new sewer system, central HVAC, skirting, tie-downs, and runners. Everything is done for you. This is a turnkey property that offers space, peace of mind, and unbeatable affordability. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer, looking to downsize, or searching for a smart investment, this one checks all the boxes. No HOA and No restrictions! Great financing options are available to make ownership even easier. Do not miss out!
Key facts
- Central hvac
- Turnkey property
- Nearly an acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-179 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $124k (17.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (27.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $108k (27.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#343 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Pointe Coupee Parish (rural): math 21% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #56 of 98 in LA (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Valverda Elementary School (math 22% / reading 29%, grade F, #378 of 646 statewide, top 59%, 503 students, 70% FRL); Livonia High School (math 20% / reading 34%, grade F, #136 of 265 statewide, top 55%, 1,010 students, 66% FRL).
- Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 60 units permitted in Pointe Coupee Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Pointe Coupee County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.12%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $155,748
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- -3.76%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4307 Cleveland Rd | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (0%) | 7mo | $149,900 | $131 | 94 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $6,676
- Equity at exit
- $67,402
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $39,785
- Equity at exit
- $103,874
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70732
- Active inventory
- 8
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,085 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$228
- Net cashflow
- $-179
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-75 | -5% $-127 | +0% $-179 | +5% $-231 | +10% $-283 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-265 | -5% $-222 | +0% $-179 | +5% $-136 | +10% $-93 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-103 | -0.5pp $-141 | base $-179 | +0.5pp $-218 | +1.0pp $-257 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-02-02$149,900 Active 621-char remark
Show marketing remark (621 chars)
You can not beat this value! Brand new 2026 Clayton 3 bed, 2 bath mobile home set up on nearly an acre lot in Fordoche, LA, fully move in ready. The home will be completely set up and includes a new sewer system, central HVAC, skirting, tie-downs, and runners. Everything is done for you. This is a turnkey property that offers space, peace of mind, and unbeatable affordability. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer, looking to downsize, or searching for a smart investment, this one checks all the boxes. No HOA and No restrictions! Great financing options are available to make ownership even easier. Do not miss out!
-
2026-02-02$149,900 Active 621-char remark
Show marketing remark (621 chars)
You can not beat this value! Brand new 2026 Clayton 3 bed, 2 bath mobile home set up on nearly an acre lot in Fordoche, LA, fully move in ready. The home will be completely set up and includes a new sewer system, central HVAC, skirting, tie-downs, and runners. Everything is done for you. This is a turnkey property that offers space, peace of mind, and unbeatable affordability. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer, looking to downsize, or searching for a smart investment, this one checks all the boxes. No HOA and No restrictions! Great financing options are available to make ownership even easier. Do not miss out!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,017
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$2,248
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,041
- − Management
- −$1,041
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable loss
- −$4,821
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,157
- After-tax cash flow
- $-991/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pointe Coupee Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201260
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -35.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -35.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,565
- Composite
- 21.32/100
- National rank
- #8379
- State rank
- #56 of 98 in LA
Livability — Fordoche
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #343
- US rank
- #22890
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,098
Population outlook (Pointe Coupee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,165 people
- By 2030
- 20,406 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 18,650 · -11.9%
- By 2050
- 16,946 · -19.9%
- By 2075
- 13,844 · -34.6%
- By 2100
- 11,154 · -47.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 23% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 17%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pointe Coupee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.6) · D 35.7% · R 63.3% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -9.5pp · 2024: -27.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.6 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+17.2 2012: R+9.2 2008: R+9.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-02 Listed $149,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-02 Listed $149,900 GBRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…