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394 Jim Town Rd
C+ Composite 62.62
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.4/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.9/15.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0

$160,000

394 Jim Town Rd · Luttrell, TN 37779
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,438 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1986 4.38 ac lot Est $142k · 12% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great opportunity in Luttrell! This property offers room to update and add value. Situated on a spacious, wooded lot, it’s ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize. Includes a 3-bedroom, 2 full bath trailer with wheelchair access—great for rental income or multi-generational living. Convenient yet private rural setting. SOLD AS-IS. ALL MEASUREMENTS ARE ESTIMATES AND MUST BE VERIFIED.

Key facts

  • Wheelchair access
  • Wooded lot
  • Rural setting

Tags

WOODED LOTWHEELCHAIR ACCESSRURAL SETTING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $464 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#344 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Union County (rural): math 14% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #127 of 139 in TN (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Luttrell Elementary (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #753 of 952 statewide, top 81%, 295 students, 0% FRL); H Maynard Middle School (math 14% / reading 18%, grade F, #223 of 333 statewide, top 68%, 656 students, 0% FRL); Union County High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #197 of 332 statewide, top 60%, 819 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 134 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
  • Union County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $160k implies a 433% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $160,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
10.19%
Cash-on-cash
13.91%
DSCR
1.62
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$142,362
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
216 Grace Ave 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,568 (+9%) 24mo $156,000 $99 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.08% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.3%
Equity multiple
2.10×
Total profit
$49,478
Equity at exit
$72,701
10-year hold
IRR
20.5%
Equity multiple
3.99×
Total profit
$133,844
Equity at exit
$112,633

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37779

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
22
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,850 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $439/yr
Insurance
$67
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$388
Net cashflow
$464

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,263
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $554 -5% $509 +0% $464 +5% $418 +10% $373
Rent -10% $318 -5% $391 +0% $464 +5% $537 +10% $610
Rate -1.0pp $544 -0.5pp $504 base $464 +0.5pp $422 +1.0pp $380

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3135 Tennessee 61 Luttrell, TN 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,850 $1.65 16d 1 1.04mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-18
    listed $160,000 Active
  3. 1994-01-17
    soldstatus $30,000
  4. 1988-05-24
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$439 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,136 · $95/mo
Expected delta
+$697/yr (+$58/mo · 158.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 100% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,200
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$439
− Insurance
−$1,466
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,776
− Management
−$1,776
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable income
$3,125
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$750
After-tax cash flow
$4,814/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Union County
NCES district ID
4704290
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$35,598
Composite
13.62/100
National rank
#9507
State rank
#127 of 139 in TN

Livability — Luttrell

Score
56/100
State rank
#344
US rank
#22797

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Luttrell, TN
City population
3,443
Population (ZIP)
3,443

Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
19,073 people
By 2030
18,888 · -1.0%
By 2040
18,090 · -5.2%
By 2050
16,693 · -12.5%
By 2075
12,894 · -32.4%
By 2100
8,564 · -55.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Union

2024 margin
Solid R (+71.2) · D 14.0% · R 85.2%
2008→2024 swing
-29.9pp toward R · 2008: -41.2pp · 2024: -71.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+71.2 2020: R+68.4 2016: R+64.7 2012: R+48.2 2008: R+41.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.08%
Current HPI
414.9524
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+700.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Pending REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $160,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1994-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 1988-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $439 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…