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323 Loomis Ln
B+ Composite 76.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.0/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$59,900

323 Loomis Ln · Clayton, LA 71326
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Manufactured · 74 Days on market
Built 2012 0.65 ac lot ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms at an affordable price. Sitting on a . 65-acre lot, this property offers great potential for investors or first-time homebuyers.

Key facts

  • 0.65 acre lot
  • Built 2012
  • Listed 74 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $400 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($989 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $56k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 40/100 on livability (#465 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Concordia Parish (town): math 19% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #65 of 98 in LA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 27 units permitted in Concordia Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (9.3% local appreciation)).
  • Concordia County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (9.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $56,306 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.65%
Cap rate
14.30%
Cash-on-cash
28.60%
DSCR
2.27
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.32% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
44.9%
Equity multiple
4.30×
Total profit
$55,321
Equity at exit
$51,029
10-year hold
IRR
39.3%
Equity multiple
9.48×
Total profit
$142,251
Equity at exit
$107,066

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71326

Home prices YoY
10.5%
Active inventory
5
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$989 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$42 /mo · $505/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$208
Net cashflow
$400

Break-even live

Break-even rent $483
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $434 -5% $417 +0% $400 +5% $383 +10% $366
Rent -10% $322 -5% $361 +0% $400 +5% $439 +10% $478
Rate -1.0pp $430 -0.5pp $415 base $400 +0.5pp $384 +1.0pp $368

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $59,900 Active 74 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $59,900 Active 73 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 71 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 70 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 69 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 68 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,900 Active 66 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $59,900 Active 65 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 62 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 61 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 60 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 59 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $59,900 Active 56 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 55 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 54 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 53 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 52 DOM
  18. 2026-04-08
    listed $65,000 Active 152-char remark
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms at an affordable price. Sitting on a .65-acre lot, this property offers great potential for investors or first-time homebuyers.

  19. 2026-04-08
    listed $65,000 Active 151-char remark
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms at an affordable price. Sitting on a .65-acre lot, this property offers great potential for investors or first-time homebuyers.

  20. 2025-10-15
    listed $65,900 Active
  21. 2025-06-05
    price $71,900
  22. 2025-03-25
    listed $75,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$505 · $42/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$505 · $42/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,863
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$505
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$949
− Management
−$949
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$4,062
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$975
After-tax cash flow
$3,822/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Concordia Parish
NCES district ID
2200480
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -39.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -34.00%
Median HH income
$29,931
Composite
18.45/100
National rank
#8929
State rank
#65 of 98 in LA

Livability — Clayton

Score
40/100
State rank
#465
US rank
#27280

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clayton, LA
Population (ZIP)
751

Population outlook (Concordia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,933 people
By 2030
18,157 · -4.1%
By 2040
16,559 · -12.5%
By 2050
15,067 · -20.4%
By 2075
11,770 · -37.8%
By 2100
8,541 · -54.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (58%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 58% White 41% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Concordia

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.4) · D 34.8% · R 64.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-9.4pp toward R · 2008: -20.0pp · 2024: -29.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.4 2020: R+26.9 2016: R+24.8 2012: R+17.2 2008: R+20.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.32%
Current HPI
97.9356
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $65,000 GBRMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $65,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-10-15 Listed $65,900 NELABOR
  • 2025-06-05 Price Changed $71,900 NELABOR
  • 2025-03-25 Listed $75,000 NELABOR

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $505 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…