827 N Hawthorne Ln · Indianapolis city (balance), IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CLOSE TO ELLENBERGER PARK FROM THIS LARGE 3 BEDROOM 2 FULL BATH HOME IN IRVINGTON. UPSTAIRS BEDROOMS GREAT FOR OLDER CHILDREN. LARGE BACKYARD IS FENCED IN FOR CHILDREN'S SAFETY. GAS FURNACE AND CENTRAL AIR. ROOF AND WAT ER HEATER ARE ALL NEWER.
Key facts
- Ellenberger park
- Shed
- Historic irvington
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Public water; Municipal sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Lot of about 0.21 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (14x11)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total — one on the main level and two on the upper level; Main-level bedroom (11x11); Upper-level bedroom (18x13)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms — one on the main level and one on the upper level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Living room (23x14); Additional large room/loft (35x18)
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (9x6)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $151 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Indianapolis Public Schools (urban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #286 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Frederick Douglass School 19 (math 9% / reading 13%, grade F, #909 of 994 statewide, top 92%, 444 students, 81% FRL); H L Harshman Middle School (math 3% / reading 16%, grade F, #316 of 330 statewide, top 96%, 549 students, 84% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 143 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $115k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.78%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $258,946
- List price
- $134,900
- Delta
- -47.90%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 827 N Hawthorne Ln | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,989 (0%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $58 | 99 |
| 445 N Emerson Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 | 2,135 (+7%) | 1mo | $249,900 | $117 | 69 |
| 921 N Audubon Rd | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,872 (-6%) | 1mo | $315,000 | $168 | 66 |
| 1536 N Butler Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 2,028 (+2%) | 1mo | $238,000 | $117 | 63 |
| 333 N Whittier Pl | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,165 (+9%) | 1mo | $299,334 | $138 | 62 |
| 328 Lesley Ave | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 2,120 (+7%) | 1mo | $259,900 | $123 | 60 |
| 1312 N Leland Ave | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 2,215 (+11%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $117 | 58 |
| 434 Wallace Ave | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 2,096 (+5%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $50 | 57 |
| 1420 N Leland Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 2,156 (+8%) | 1mo | $258,250 | $120 | 53 |
| 960 N Audubon Rd | 0.49mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,737 (-13%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $150 | 47 |
| 827 Wallace Ave | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,742 (-12%) | 2mo | $176,000 | $101 | 44 |
| 5855 E 10th St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,824 (-8%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $112 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-12,736
- Equity at exit
- $20,114
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-641
- Equity at exit
- $11,664
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46219
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,538 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$301 /mo · $3,613/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$323
- Net cashflow
- $151
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $227 | -5% $189 | +0% $151 | +5% $112 | +10% $74 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $29 | -5% $90 | +0% $151 | +5% $211 | +10% $272 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $219 | -0.5pp $185 | base $151 | +0.5pp $116 | +1.0pp $80 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 606 N Emerson Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1372 | $2,450 | $1.79 | 25d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 5414 E 10th St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2322 | $1,850 | $0.80 | 19d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 415 N Dequincy St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,900 | $1.52 | 16d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 306 N Riley Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,095 | $0.83 | 19d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 117 N Riley Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1664 | $1,600 | $0.96 | 21d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 25 N Drexel Ave Unit A Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,325 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 642 N Colorado Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1572 | $1,450 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 614 N Colorado Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1736 | $1,200 | $0.69 | 25d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 801 N Gladstone Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1776 | $1,225 | $0.69 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1742 N Whittier Pl Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $995 | $0.69 | 0d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1742 N Whittier Pl Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $995 | $0.69 | 12d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1414 Priscilla Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2116 | $2,000 | $0.95 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1414 Priscilla Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2116 | $2,000 | $0.95 | 12d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 325 N Gladstone Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2580 | $1,285 | $0.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 323 N Gladstone Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2580 | $1,285 | $0.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 21 N Colorado Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1520 | $2,000 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 119 N Grant Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1408 | $1,195 | $0.85 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 5010 Brookville Rd Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1656 | $1,350 | $0.82 | 9d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1848 N Audubon Rd Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2180 | $1,681 | $0.77 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 338 S Arlington Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $1,610 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 338 S Arlington Ave Apt 204 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $1,674 | $1.28 | 16d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 603 N Sherman Dr Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 447 N Sherman Dr Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1312 | $1,195 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 8 S Bradley Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $950 | $0.73 | 25d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 33 N Sherman Dr Unit 33 Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1288 | $1,500 | $1.16 | 9d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3712 E Market St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $1,450 | $0.81 | 16d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 405 S Sheridan Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,350 | $0.79 | 19d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1521 N Kealing Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,250 | $1.00 | 19d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1531 N Kealing Ave Unit A Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,397 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1531 N Kealing Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-14$134,900 Active 692-char remark
-
2002-06-10soldstatus $78,000 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
CLOSE TO ELLENBERGER PARK FROM THIS LARGE 3 BEDROOM 2 FULL BATH HOME IN IRVINGTON. UPSTAIRS BEDROOMS GREAT FOR OLDER CHILDREN. LARGE BACKYARD IS FENCED IN FOR CHILDREN'S SAFETY. GAS FURNACE AND CENTRAL AIR. ROOF AND WAT ER HEATER ARE ALL NEWER.
-
2002-04-01$85,000 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
CLOSE TO ELLENBERGER PARK FROM THIS LARGE 3 BEDROOM 2 FULL BATH HOME IN IRVINGTON. UPSTAIRS BEDROOMS GREAT FOR OLDER CHILDREN. LARGE BACKYARD IS FENCED IN FOR CHILDREN'S SAFETY. GAS FURNACE AND CENTRAL AIR. ROOF AND WAT ER HEATER ARE ALL NEWER.
-
2001-10-08historical
-
2000-12-12$89,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,613 · $301/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,613 · $301/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,460
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$3,613
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,477
- − Management
- −$1,477
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable loss
- −$262
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$63
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,870/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indianapolis Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1804770
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,034
- Composite
- 13.69/100
- National rank
- #9499
- State rank
- #286 of 301 in IN
Livability — Indianapolis city (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indianapolis city (balance), IN
- County
- Marion County · 998,460 people
- City population
- 881,119
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,855
- Household income
- $60,803
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2191.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,572 people
- By 2030
- 1,065,727 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 1,141,577 · +11.3%
- By 2050
- 1,208,920 · +17.9%
- By 2075
- 1,367,288 · +33.3%
- By 2100
- 1,438,201 · +40.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.7) · D 63.0% · R 35.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 28.4pp · 2024: 27.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.7 2020: D+29.1 2016: D+22.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+28.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -199.69%
- Current HPI
- 289.8788
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.63%
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+27.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Sold (MLS) $115,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-21 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-14 Listed $134,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-06-10 Sold (MLS) $78,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-04-01 Listed $85,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-10-08 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-12-12 Listed $89,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,613 · -7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…