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9590 NE 78th Ln
A- Composite 81.79
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$115,000

9590 NE 78th Ln · East Bronson, FL 32621
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Manufactured public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1999 1.25 ac lot Est $139k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Check out this fully remodeled- from TOP to BOTTOM- manufactured home! If you are ready for the heart of country living for an affordable price, you are looking at exactly that- this beautiful manufactured home laid out on a little over an acre! Just a 30 minute drive away from Celebration Pointe, Archer Rd shopping plazas, and 75! NO HOA! Also a GREAT potential investment for those looking to rent out on the countryside. Text agent for showing!!!

Key facts

  • 1.25 acre lot
  • Built 1999
  • Listed 23 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Homestead exempt
  • Financial info:
  • HOA & community: Located in the University Estates development; No homeowners association (per listing)

Exterior

  • Parking:
  • Security:
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity available
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One level; Home faces north
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as a double wide (manufactured)
  • Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Cleared lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances included
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floor plan
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $487 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 3.4% in East Bronson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#768 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Levy (rural): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 199 units permitted in Levy County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
  • Levy County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $113,275 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.39%
Cap rate
11.38%
Cash-on-cash
18.16%
DSCR
1.81
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$139,392
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7551 NE 97th Ct 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,152 (0%) 8mo $139,000 $121 76

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.35% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.2%
Equity multiple
2.27×
Total profit
$40,980
Equity at exit
$47,537
10-year hold
IRR
24.7%
Equity multiple
4.34×
Total profit
$107,430
Equity at exit
$70,169

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32621

Home prices YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
153
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,595 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$122 /mo · $1,461/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$335
Net cashflow
$487

Break-even live

Break-even rent $978
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10230 NE 72nd St Bronson, FL 3.0 2.0 1071 $1,595 $1.49 21d 1 0.95mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-05-30
    status $115,000 Pending 23 DOM
  2. 2026-05-06
    listed $115,000 Active
  3. 2023-03-30
    historical 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Check out this fully remodeled- from TOP to BOTTOM- manufactured home! If you are ready for the heart of country living for an affordable price, you are looking at exactly that- this beautiful manufactured home laid out on a little over an acre! Just a 30 minute drive away from Celebration Pointe, Archer Rd shopping plazas, and 75! NO HOA! Also a GREAT potential investment for those looking to rent out on the countryside. Text agent for showing!!!

  4. 2023-03-30
    soldstatus $170,000 Closed 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Check out this fully remodeled- from TOP to BOTTOM- manufactured home! If you are ready for the heart of country living for an affordable price, you are looking at exactly that- this beautiful manufactured home laid out on a little over an acre! Just a 30 minute drive away from Celebration Pointe, Archer Rd shopping plazas, and 75! NO HOA! Also a GREAT potential investment for those looking to rent out on the countryside. Text agent for showing!!!

  5. 2023-02-01
    status Pending 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Check out this fully remodeled- from TOP to BOTTOM- manufactured home! If you are ready for the heart of country living for an affordable price, you are looking at exactly that- this beautiful manufactured home laid out on a little over an acre! Just a 30 minute drive away from Celebration Pointe, Archer Rd shopping plazas, and 75! NO HOA! Also a GREAT potential investment for those looking to rent out on the countryside. Text agent for showing!!!

  6. 2023-01-04
    price $174,000 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Check out this fully remodeled- from TOP to BOTTOM- manufactured home! If you are ready for the heart of country living for an affordable price, you are looking at exactly that- this beautiful manufactured home laid out on a little over an acre! Just a 30 minute drive away from Celebration Pointe, Archer Rd shopping plazas, and 75! NO HOA! Also a GREAT potential investment for those looking to rent out on the countryside. Text agent for showing!!!

  7. 2022-12-19
    price $179,000 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Check out this fully remodeled- from TOP to BOTTOM- manufactured home! If you are ready for the heart of country living for an affordable price, you are looking at exactly that- this beautiful manufactured home laid out on a little over an acre! Just a 30 minute drive away from Celebration Pointe, Archer Rd shopping plazas, and 75! NO HOA! Also a GREAT potential investment for those looking to rent out on the countryside. Text agent for showing!!!

  8. 2022-12-02
    price $183,000 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Check out this fully remodeled- from TOP to BOTTOM- manufactured home! If you are ready for the heart of country living for an affordable price, you are looking at exactly that- this beautiful manufactured home laid out on a little over an acre! Just a 30 minute drive away from Celebration Pointe, Archer Rd shopping plazas, and 75! NO HOA! Also a GREAT potential investment for those looking to rent out on the countryside. Text agent for showing!!!

  9. 2022-11-17
    price $184,500 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Check out this fully remodeled- from TOP to BOTTOM- manufactured home! If you are ready for the heart of country living for an affordable price, you are looking at exactly that- this beautiful manufactured home laid out on a little over an acre! Just a 30 minute drive away from Celebration Pointe, Archer Rd shopping plazas, and 75! NO HOA! Also a GREAT potential investment for those looking to rent out on the countryside. Text agent for showing!!!

  10. 2022-11-09
    status Active 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Check out this fully remodeled- from TOP to BOTTOM- manufactured home! If you are ready for the heart of country living for an affordable price, you are looking at exactly that- this beautiful manufactured home laid out on a little over an acre! Just a 30 minute drive away from Celebration Pointe, Archer Rd shopping plazas, and 75! NO HOA! Also a GREAT potential investment for those looking to rent out on the countryside. Text agent for showing!!!

  11. 2022-10-10
    status Pending 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Check out this fully remodeled- from TOP to BOTTOM- manufactured home! If you are ready for the heart of country living for an affordable price, you are looking at exactly that- this beautiful manufactured home laid out on a little over an acre! Just a 30 minute drive away from Celebration Pointe, Archer Rd shopping plazas, and 75! NO HOA! Also a GREAT potential investment for those looking to rent out on the countryside. Text agent for showing!!!

  12. 2022-10-02
    price $189,500 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Check out this fully remodeled- from TOP to BOTTOM- manufactured home! If you are ready for the heart of country living for an affordable price, you are looking at exactly that- this beautiful manufactured home laid out on a little over an acre! Just a 30 minute drive away from Celebration Pointe, Archer Rd shopping plazas, and 75! NO HOA! Also a GREAT potential investment for those looking to rent out on the countryside. Text agent for showing!!!

  13. 2022-09-15
    listed $195,500 Active 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Check out this fully remodeled- from TOP to BOTTOM- manufactured home! If you are ready for the heart of country living for an affordable price, you are looking at exactly that- this beautiful manufactured home laid out on a little over an acre! Just a 30 minute drive away from Celebration Pointe, Archer Rd shopping plazas, and 75! NO HOA! Also a GREAT potential investment for those looking to rent out on the countryside. Text agent for showing!!!

  14. 2022-01-10
    soldstatus $27,500 426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    Excellent opportunity here in Bronson. .. .this 1.25 acre tract has a well and septic and disconnected power pole. The County told the seller that impact fees will not be required. There is no HOA or subdivision restrictions so a manufactured or site built home would be suitable for the lot. Located not too from from schools, shopping and local restaurants and is an easy commute into Ocala or Gainesville. Take a look soon!

  15. 2021-11-10
    listed $29,900 426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    Excellent opportunity here in Bronson. .. .this 1.25 acre tract has a well and septic and disconnected power pole. The County told the seller that impact fees will not be required. There is no HOA or subdivision restrictions so a manufactured or site built home would be suitable for the lot. Located not too from from schools, shopping and local restaurants and is an easy commute into Ocala or Gainesville. Take a look soon!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,461 · $122/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,461 · $122/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,140
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,461
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,531
− Management
−$1,531
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$4,254
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,021
After-tax cash flow
$4,827/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Levy
NCES district ID
1201140
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,254
Composite
36.42/100
National rank
#4673
State rank
#54 of 73 in FL

Livability — East Bronson

Score
62/100
State rank
#768
US rank
#17230

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Bronson, FL
Population (ZIP)
5,540

Population outlook (Levy County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
36,536 people
By 2030
34,498 · -5.6%
By 2040
30,294 · -17.1%
By 2050
26,368 · -27.8%
By 2075
19,003 · -48.0%
By 2100
13,169 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 9% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Levy

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.3) · D 24.6% · R 74.8%
2008→2024 swing
-23.3pp toward R · 2008: -26.9pp · 2024: -50.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.3 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+32.2 2008: R+26.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.35%
Current HPI
340.879
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+284.6% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $115,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-03-30 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-03-30 Sold (MLS) $170,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-02-01 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-01-04 Price Changed $174,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-19 Price Changed $179,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-02 Price Changed $183,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-11-17 Price Changed $184,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-11-09 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-10-10 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-10-02 Price Changed $189,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-15 Listed $195,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-01-10 Sold (MLS) $27,500 DGLMLS
  • 2021-11-10 Listed $29,900 DGLMLS

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,461 · +18.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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