3 Pin Oak Dr · Hamilton, NJ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.5/15.0
- Cash flow +8.6/30.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- 1% rule +1.9/10.0
$429,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this gorgeous, newly built 4-bedroom, 2-bath rancher in the heart of desirable Mays Landing! Bright and airy with abundant natural light, this home showcases beautiful flooring and a modern kitchen with stainless steel appliances and stunning white marble countertops. Step outside to your private backyard oasis featuring an in-ground pool and fenced yard—ideal for summer gatherings. With a 2-car garage and thoughtful finishes throughout, this home has everything you’ve been looking for!
Key facts
- In-ground pool
- Newly built
- Modern kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $430k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-369 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $365k (15.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $295k (31.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $295k (31.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Hamilton Township School District (suburban): math 9% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #401 of 472 in NJ (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: George L. Hess Educational Complex (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #990 of 1,303 statewide, top 76%, 1,363 students, 53% FRL); William Davies Middle School (math 10% / reading 41%, grade F, #359 of 431 statewide, top 84%, 930 students, 51% FRL); Oakcrest High School (math 9% / reading 36%, grade F, #342 of 399 statewide, top 86%, 914 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 37% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 244 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,955/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($77k/yr) (locally 1003% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $46k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $43k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$74k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($404k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.67%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 12.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $449,592
- List price
- $429,900
- Delta
- -4.38%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.75×
- Total profit
- $210,539
- Equity at exit
- $387,288
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.30×
- Total profit
- $638,225
- Equity at exit
- $835,201
Cash invested: $120,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08330
- Home prices YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 244
- Price-to-rent
- 12.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,955 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,254
- Tax from tax record
- −$149 /mo · $1,794/yr
- Insurance
- −$179
- HOA
- −$120
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$621
- Net cashflow
- $-369
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-125 | -5% $-247 | +0% $-369 | +5% $-490 | +10% $-612 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-602 | -5% $-485 | +0% $-369 | +5% $-252 | +10% $-135 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-152 | -0.5pp $-259 | base $-369 | +0.5pp $-480 | +1.0pp $-593 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $107,475
- Closing costs
- $12,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $120 · $1,440/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 27 events
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2026-06-21days on market $429,900 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $429,900 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $429,900 Active 84 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $429,900 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $429,900 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $429,900 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $429,900 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $429,900 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $429,900 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $429,900 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $429,900 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $429,900 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $429,900 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $429,900 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $429,900 Active 67 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $429,900 Active 66 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $429,900 Active 65 DOM
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2026-05-08status Active 514-char remark
Show marketing remark (514 chars)
Welcome to this gorgeous, newly built 4-bedroom, 2-bath rancher in the heart of desirable Mays Landing! Bright and airy with abundant natural light, this home showcases beautiful flooring and a modern kitchen with stainless steel appliances and stunning white marble countertops. Step outside to your private backyard oasis featuring an in-ground pool and fenced yard—ideal for summer gatherings. With a 2-car garage and thoughtful finishes throughout, this home has everything you’ve been looking for!
-
2026-05-04historical 514-char remark
Show marketing remark (514 chars)
Welcome to this gorgeous, newly built 4-bedroom, 2-bath rancher in the heart of desirable Mays Landing! Bright and airy with abundant natural light, this home showcases beautiful flooring and a modern kitchen with stainless steel appliances and stunning white marble countertops. Step outside to your private backyard oasis featuring an in-ground pool and fenced yard—ideal for summer gatherings. With a 2-car garage and thoughtful finishes throughout, this home has everything you’ve been looking for!
-
2026-03-22$429,900 Active 514-char remark
Show marketing remark (514 chars)
Welcome to this gorgeous, newly built 4-bedroom, 2-bath rancher in the heart of desirable Mays Landing! Bright and airy with abundant natural light, this home showcases beautiful flooring and a modern kitchen with stainless steel appliances and stunning white marble countertops. Step outside to your private backyard oasis featuring an in-ground pool and fenced yard—ideal for summer gatherings. With a 2-car garage and thoughtful finishes throughout, this home has everything you’ve been looking for!
-
2026-02-10historical 745-char remark
Show marketing remark (745 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully maintained, nearly new ranch-style home offering 4 spacious bedrooms and 2 full baths. Built just a few years ago, this home combines modern comfort with thoughtful design. The open floor plan features a bright and airy living room that flows seamlessly into the dining area—perfect for entertaining. A long hallway leads to generously sized bedrooms, providing privacy and space for everyone. Enjoy the sparkling inground pool in the backyard, ideal for relaxing or hosting summer gatherings. With a 2-car garage, ample storage, and a functional layout, this home is move-in ready and waiting for its next owner. Don’t miss this gem! do not let the car out. plerase do not go out the sliding glass door
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2025-08-18$435,000 Active 745-char remark
Show marketing remark (745 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully maintained, nearly new ranch-style home offering 4 spacious bedrooms and 2 full baths. Built just a few years ago, this home combines modern comfort with thoughtful design. The open floor plan features a bright and airy living room that flows seamlessly into the dining area—perfect for entertaining. A long hallway leads to generously sized bedrooms, providing privacy and space for everyone. Enjoy the sparkling inground pool in the backyard, ideal for relaxing or hosting summer gatherings. With a 2-car garage, ample storage, and a functional layout, this home is move-in ready and waiting for its next owner. Don’t miss this gem! do not let the car out. plerase do not go out the sliding glass door
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2024-09-29historical
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2024-09-11$435,000 Active
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2024-02-01historical
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2023-07-06$435,000 Active
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2021-11-26soldstatus $1,750,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,794 · $149/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,249 · $521/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,455/yr (+$371/mo · 248.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,460
- − Mortgage interest
- −$24,081
- − Property taxes
- −$1,794
- − Insurance
- −$2,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,837
- − Management
- −$2,837
- − HOA
- −$1,440
- − Depreciation
- −$12,506
- Taxable loss
- −$12,184
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,924
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,499/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hamilton Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3406510
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,997
- Composite
- 21.34/100
- National rank
- #8372
- State rank
- #401 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Hamilton
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McKee City, NJ
- County
- Atlantic County · 143,611 people
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,972
- Household income
- $77,167
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1003.0
Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 268,948 people
- By 2030
- 264,497 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 252,261 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 237,846 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 210,650 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 180,234 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 16% Black 14% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 10% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 11.58%
- Current HPI
- 308.5148
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
-75.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Relisted — SJSRMLS
- 2026-05-04 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2026-03-22 Listed $429,900 SJSRMLS
- 2026-02-10 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2025-08-18 Listed $435,000 SJSRMLS
- 2024-09-29 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2024-09-11 Listed $435,000 SJSRMLS
- 2024-02-01 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2023-07-06 Listed $435,000 SJSRMLS
- 2021-11-26 Sold (Public Records) $1,750,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-11.2%/yrLatest (2022): $1,794 · +117.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…