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1306 17th St
B- Composite 66.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$28,000

1306 17th St · East Moline, IL 61244
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,477 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1915 6,098 sqft lot ↓ 60% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

OCCUPIED BY THE SAME FAMILY THROUGH GENERATIONS. XYNCE WINDOWS, ENERGY EFFICIENT FURN, NEWER ROOF, AND UNBELIEVABLE AMOUNT OF STORAGE IN ATTIC BASEMENT, AS WELL AS FULL WALK-UP STORAGE ABOVE 2-CAR GARAGE. LOTS OF GREAT WOODWORK AND ONE ON THOSE SINKS SURROUNDED BY A PANTRY, AND MAIN FLOOR LAUNDRY WITH MORE STORAGE AREA. PRICED TO SELL.

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Front porch
  • 6,098 sq ft lot

Tags

FRONT PORCHFENCED YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Two-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Built over 100 years ago; Asphalt roof; Brick/mortar foundation
  • Construction: Brick/mortar foundation; Asphalt roof; Built before 1978
  • Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (10 x 12) with vinyl flooring
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on second floor (10 x 12) with laminate flooring; Second bedroom on second floor (10 x 12) with hardwood flooring; Third bedroom on second floor (10 x 11) with laminate flooring; Den on second floor (6 x 11) with other flooring
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring in living room, family room, and some bedrooms; Laminate flooring in master bedroom and one bedroom; Vinyl flooring in kitchen; Other flooring in den
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Seven total rooms; Unfinished partial basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (4 x 4)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $28k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $706 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $28k).
  • Cap rate 36.5% vs local median 3.5% in East Moline — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#870 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, schools F.
  • United Twp Hsd 30 (suburban): math 12% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #536 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 116 units permitted in Rock Island County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $194 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $840 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rock Island County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $28,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.06%
Cap rate
36.54%
Cash-on-cash
108.01%
DSCR
5.81
GRM
2.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$137,361
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2019 11th Street Pl 0.56mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,594 (+8%) 2mo $202,000 $127 51
1352 10th Ave 0.22mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,312 (-11%) 20mo $122,000 $93 50
1133 20th Ave 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,260 (-15%) 9mo $210,000 $167 45
158 5th St 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,292 (-12%) 4mo $90,000 $70 42
225 Hero St 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,404 (-5%) 22mo $18,500 $13 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.16×
Total profit
$40,424
Equity at exit
$4,175
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
12.88×
Total profit
$93,144
Equity at exit
$2,421

Cash invested: $7,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61244

Active inventory
124
Price-to-rent
2.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,138 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$147
Tax est. 1.5%
$35 /mo · $420/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$239
Net cashflow
$706

Break-even live

Break-even rent $245
Max offer price $28,000
Occupancy floor 33%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $725 -5% $715 +0% $706 +5% $696 +10% $686
Rent -10% $616 -5% $661 +0% $706 +5% $751 +10% $796
Rate -1.0pp $720 -0.5pp $713 base $706 +0.5pp $698 +1.0pp $691

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,000
Closing costs
$840
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
123 3rd St Unit House Silvis, IL 2.0 1.0 1017 $1,150 $1.13 21d 1 0.50mi
777 20th Ave Unit 1 East Moline, IL 2.0 1.0 1030 $1,090 $1.06 21d 1 0.89mi
1842 28th Ave East Moline, IL 2.0 1.0 914 $1,100 $1.20 14d 1 1.12mi
427 17th Ave East Moline, IL 2.0 1.0 1186 $1,100 $0.93 14d 1 1.28mi
625 25th Ave Unit 625 East Moline, IL 2.0 1.0 888 $900 $1.01 21d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $28,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $28,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    remarks 233-char remark
  4. 2026-06-15
    listed $28,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,658
− Mortgage interest
−$1,568
− Property taxes
−$420
− Insurance
−$140
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,093
− Management
−$1,093
− Depreciation
−$815
Taxable income
$8,530
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,047
After-tax cash flow
$6,421/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
United Twp Hsd 30
NCES district ID
1739870
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$43,647
Composite
11.91/100
National rank
#9670
State rank
#536 of 620 in IL

Livability — East Moline

Score
62/100
State rank
#870
US rank
#16964

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Moline, IL
County
Rock Island County · 103,822 people
City population
23,308
Metro
Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
Population (ZIP)
23,308
Household income
$63,819
Rent vs Own
33.0% rent · 67.0% own
Severe rent burden
746.0

Population outlook (Rock Island County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
140,982 people
By 2030
137,705 · -2.3%
By 2040
130,512 · -7.4%
By 2050
123,841 · -12.2%
By 2075
109,851 · -22.1%
By 2100
90,922 · -35.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 18% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17%
Common ancestry
English 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, United Kingdom, Philippines
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 12% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Rock Island

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.6) · D 53.9% · R 44.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: 24.6pp · 2024: 9.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.6 2020: D+12.1 2016: D+8.4 2012: D+21.9 2008: D+24.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.05%
Current HPI
154.4012
Rent YoY
Metro
Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-59.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-14 Listed $28,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2008-09-26 Sold (MLS) $70,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-09-26 Sold (MLS) $70,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-03-24 Listed $69,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-03-24 Listed $69,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-0.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,923 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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