3912 E 47th Ter · Kansas City, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.9/30.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- ARV discount +2.6/15.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,600
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Come and see this 3 bedroom 2 bathroom tri-level with an attached garage, larger driveway, and fenced backyard with a shed. This one is ready for you to make it just how you like it. Conveniently located near restaurants, shopping, and Brush Creek Greenway Park.
Key facts
- Attached garage
- Tri-level
- Fenced backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $330 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Kansas City 33 (urban): math 12% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #308 of 324 in MO (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: M. L. King Elementary (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,072 of 1,115 statewide, top 98%, 665 students, 100% FRL); Central Middle School (math 0% / reading 9%, grade F, #388 of 391 statewide, top 99%, 428 students, 99% FRL); Central High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #507 of 521 statewide, top 98%, 535 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 75% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 185 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $827 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.82%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $107,800
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4410 Myrtle Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (-7%) | 4mo | $80,000 | $88 | 67 |
| 4327 Mersington Ave | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 940 (-4%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $53 | 63 |
| 4338 Indiana Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,012 (+3%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $148 | 63 |
| 4405 Elmwood Ave | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 966 (-1%) | 8mo | $140,000 | $145 | 60 |
| 4027 E 45th St | 0.29mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,107 (+13%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $149 | 59 |
| 4132 Spruce Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (-7%) | 2mo | $99,995 | $110 | 53 |
| 5009 Bellefontaine Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,082 (+10%) | 2mo | $118,900 | $110 | 52 |
| 4504 E 43rd St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 907 (-7%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $154 | 51 |
| 5140 Norton Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 884 (-10%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $85 | 49 |
| 4427 Agnes Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (+12%) | 2mo | $69,900 | $64 | 46 |
| 5255 Spruce Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 1,056 (+8%) | 10mo | $145,000 | $137 | 46 |
| 4214 Monroe Ave | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 858 (-12%) | 7mo | $50,000 | $58 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $3,514
- Equity at exit
- $17,833
- IRR
- 13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.14×
- Total profit
- $38,082
- Equity at exit
- $10,341
Cash invested: $33,488 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64130
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 185
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,331 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$627
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $539/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $330
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $398 | -5% $364 | +0% $330 | +5% $296 | +10% $262 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $225 | -5% $277 | +0% $330 | +5% $382 | +10% $435 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $390 | -0.5pp $360 | base $330 | +0.5pp $299 | +1.0pp $267 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,900
- Closing costs
- $3,588
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3949 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior Blvd Kansas City, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 945 | $1,565 | $1.66 | 3d | 3 | 0.38mi |
| 4216 Cleveland Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,125 | $1.44 | 18d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4309 College Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,550 | $1.49 | 18d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4427 Agnes Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 18d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4911 S Benton Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 18d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 4917 S Benton Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3315 E 52nd St Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 662 | $1,125 | $1.70 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 4534 S Benton Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,045 | $1.15 | 18d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3017 E 51st St Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 621 | $1,303 | $2.10 | 9d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 5013 S Benton Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 978 | $1,225 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4144 College Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1108 | $1,095 | $0.99 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4028 Myrtle Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,490 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4005 Bales Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,050 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4206 Vineyard Rd Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1056 | $1,500 | $1.42 | 16d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4930 Park Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 18d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 5614 Indiana Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,175 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 5114 Brooklyn Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1116 | $1,300 | $1.16 | 9d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3736 Cypress Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 9d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3600 E 57th St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1037 | $1,250 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2305 E 41st St Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,000 | $1.33 | 9d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4902 E 39th St Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,300 | $1.59 | 18d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 5709 Bales Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 782 | $1,095 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3617 E 58th St Unit 2 Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $875 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 5601 E 39th Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,225 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3615 E 58th St Unit 1 Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $875 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3911 Oakley Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,195 | $1.46 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 5636 E 40th St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,225 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5752 College Ave Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,600 | $1.43 | 18d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3841 Olive St Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $985 | $1.24 | 16d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5700 E 40th St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,245 | $1.53 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 5707 E 40th St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,295 | $1.59 | 13d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 4401 Wayne Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 955 | $1,300 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 5410 Euclid Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1119 | $1,395 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-15status Pending
-
2026-04-15status Active
-
2026-02-18status Pending
-
2026-02-11price $119,600
-
2025-12-26$130,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $539 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,160 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- +$621/yr (+$52/mo · 115.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,977
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,699
- − Property taxes
- −$539
- − Insurance
- −$598
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,278
- − Management
- −$1,278
- − Depreciation
- −$3,479
- Taxable income
- $2,105
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$505
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,453/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kansas City 33
- NCES district ID
- 2916400
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,227
- Composite
- 14.8/100
- National rank
- #9387
- State rank
- #308 of 324 in MO
Livability — Kansas City
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #2671
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kansas City, MO
- County
- Jackson County · 687,798 people
- City population
- 439,467
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,644
- Household income
- $42,221
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1132.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 719,589 people
- By 2030
- 731,456 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 746,689 · +3.8%
- By 2050
- 749,289 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 736,227 · +2.3%
- By 2100
- 668,210 · -7.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 80% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Swedish 0%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -73.32%
- Current HPI
- 267.491
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.42%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-8.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-15 Relisted — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-18 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $119,600 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-26 Listed $130,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2024): $539 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…