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255 N Pine St
D- Composite 39.76
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

255 N Pine St · Middletown, PA 17057
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,246 sqft · Townhouse public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1993 4,356 sqft lot $136/sqft · at area comps Est $174k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this well-maintained 3/4 bedroom, 1.5 bath property featuring a remodeled kitchen, new flooring throughout the first and second floors, and a brand new roof installed in 2025. Enjoy low-maintenance, carefree living in a highly desirable location close to shopping, restaurants, schools, and major routes. Flexible layout offers the potential for a fourth bedroom, home office, or additional living space. Move-in ready with modern updates throughout! * * * OFFER RECEIVED DEADLINE 8:30 PM MAY 11 * * (

Key facts

  • Built 1993
  • Listed 5 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
  • Home design: Semi-detached property; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Built year per assessor
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Above-grade and below-grade structures

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level; One bedroom on the second upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper levels); One half bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Two or more exterior access exits; Basement with dirt floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-46 ($-553/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $162k (4.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (17.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (17.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.1% in Middletown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#214 in PA, #1,886 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F.
  • Middletown Area SD (suburban): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #368 of 539 in PA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Middletown Area Hs (math 72% / reading 10%, grade F, #251 of 437 statewide, top 58%, 747 students, 51% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 146 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,714 (17.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
5.97%
Cash-on-cash
-1.16%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$173,653
List price
$169,900
Delta
-2.16%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
54 Nissley St 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,246 (0%) 1mo $177,000 $142 88
21 Girard Ave 0.11mi 3/1.5 1,280 (+3%) 11mo $140,000 $109 79
348 Oak Hill Dr 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,260 (+1%) 6mo $212,000 $168 73
255 N Spring St 0.18mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,282 (+3%) 6mo $190,000 $148 73
501 Vine St 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,304 (+5%) 1mo $221,000 $169 70
3 S Pine St 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,328 (+7%) 10mo $170,000 $128 66
234 E Emaus St 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,386 (+11%) 2mo $90,000 $65 65
325 Oak Hill Dr 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,156 (-7%) 7mo $225,000 $195 60
328 Vine St 0.30mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,178 (-6%) 12mo $186,200 $158 60
327 Oak Hill Dr 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,120 (-10%) 6mo $224,900 $201 56
210 Adelia St 0.40mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,128 (-10%) 4mo $205,000 $182 53
157 Ann St 0.47mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,152 (-8%) 8mo $151,049 $131 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.8%
Equity multiple
0.32×
Total profit
$-32,437
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
-15.9%
Equity multiple
0.16×
Total profit
$-39,884
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17057

Home prices YoY
-23.9%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
146
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,407 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$196 /mo · $2,351/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$295
Net cashflow
$-46

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,465
Max offer price $161,762
Occupancy floor 98%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
43 E Main St Apt 4 Middletown, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,195 $1.20 44d 1 0.18mi
112 Nissley St Unit 2 Middletown, PA 2.0 2.0 1266 $1,350 $1.07 23d 1 0.25mi
213 S Union St Apt 1 Middletown, PA 2.0 1.0 780 $1,400 $1.79 14d 1 0.39mi
219 S Union St Fl REAR Middletown, PA 2.0 1.0 700 $900 $1.29 14d 1 0.40mi
219 S Union St Unit 2nd Floor Middletown, PA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,250 $1.79 43d 1 0.40mi
144 Wilson St Middletown, PA 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,495 $1.33 23d 1 0.41mi
167 Ann St Unit 4 Middletown, PA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,300 $1.62 14d 1 0.44mi
1900 Pineford Dr Middletown, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1020 $1,690 $1.66 13d 1 0.58mi
415 Aspen St Unit 1 Middletown, PA 2.0 1.0 864 $1,495 $1.73 14d 1 0.83mi
105 Woodland Ave Middletown, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 996 $1,714 $1.72 14d 9 1.00mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 521-char remark
  2. 2026-05-08
    listed $169,900 Active 521-char remark
  3. 2026-05-06
    historical $169,900 521-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,351 · $196/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,518 · $210/mo
Expected delta
+$167/yr (+$14/mo · 7.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,886
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$2,351
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,351
− Management
−$1,351
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$3,476
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$834
After-tax cash flow
$282/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Middletown Area SD
NCES district ID
4215240
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$53,128
Composite
33.08/100
National rank
#5567
State rank
#368 of 539 in PA

Livability — Middletown

Score
80/100
State rank
#214
US rank
#1886

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Middletown, PA
County
Dauphin County · 247,857 people
City population
23,560
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
Population (ZIP)
23,560
Household income
$73,407
Rent vs Own
33.4% rent · 66.6% own
Severe rent burden
748.0

Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
281,628 people
By 2030
283,549 · +0.7%
By 2040
285,385 · +1.3%
By 2050
286,188 · +1.6%
By 2075
291,053 · +3.3%
By 2100
282,374 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -83.17%
Current HPI
265.6077
Rent YoY
▲ 1.58%
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-06 Coming Soon $169,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,351 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…