5-Plex
1621 NW 16th St · Miami, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.72%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.9/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,495,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 5 units. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Exceptional 5-unit multifamily property, zoned T6-8-R, offering incredible investment potential in a highly sought- after area. The property consists of three 2-bed/1-bath units, one 1-bed/1-bath unit, and a studio, catering to a diverse range of tenants. The T6-8-R zoning allows for high-density residential development, making this property a prime candidate for future redevelopment or expansion. Located in a vibrant neighborhood, the property is close to major transportation hubs, shopping, dining, and entertainment options, ensuring strong demand and high occupancy rates. This is a rare opportunity to acquire a versatile asset with significant upside in a rapidly growing market.
Key facts
- Zoned t6-8-r
- New permitted roof
- 7 parking spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Cable service available
- Financial info: Multiple rental units: several 2-bed/1-bath units and one 1-bed/1-bath unit; Typical listed rents: 2-bedroom units shown at $2,000 each; 1-bedroom unit shown at $1,600; Some units listed as month-to-month; at least one unit noted as leased
- HOA & community: Gardener included in rent for applicable units; Trash collection and sewer included in rent for applicable units; Water included in rent for applicable units
Exterior
- Parking: Parking for 7 vehicles; Designated parking spaces for units
- Security: Smoke detectors in units
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story building; Resale property; Shingle roof; Block construction
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Less than quarter acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Multiple units with 2-bedroom units (several units listed); One unit listed as 1-bedroom
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: Several units with 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Blinds; Tile flooring
- Laundry & utility: Community laundry facilities; Electric meter for each unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3×2bd/1.0ba + 1×1bd/1.0ba + 1×?bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $1.50M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($56k/yr) — positive. Per door: $927/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($19k rent vs $1.50M).
- Recommended offer: $1.32M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 1.9% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Paul Laurence Dunbar K-8 Center (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,896 of 2,144 statewide, top 90%, 336 students, 77% FRL); Citrus Grove Middle School (math 19% / reading 21%, grade F, #558 of 571 statewide, top 98%, 781 students, 66% FRL); Booker T. Washington Senior High (math 12% / reading 19%, grade F, #604 of 667 statewide, top 91%, 1,014 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools at 68% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-28 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 241 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $45k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.32M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $1.05M; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.52%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $-1,541
- Equity at exit
- $222,909
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $167,873
- Equity at exit
- $129,260
Cash invested: $418,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33125
- Rents YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 241
- Price-to-rent
- 30.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $18,695 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$7,840
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,243 /mo · $14,910/yr
- Insurance
- −$623
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$3,926
- Net cashflow
- $4,637
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $5,483 | -5% $5,060 | +0% $4,637 | +5% $4,214 | +10% $3,791 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $3,160 | -5% $3,899 | +0% $4,637 | +5% $5,376 | +10% $6,114 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $5,390 | -0.5pp $5,017 | base $4,637 | +0.5pp $4,250 | +1.0pp $3,856 |
5-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $12,129 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $4,043 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $4,043 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $4,043 |
| 1× unit | 1 | 1 | $3,375 |
| 1× unit | 0 | 1 | $3,192 |
| Total (5 units) | $18,695 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $373,750
- Closing costs
- $44,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2951 NW 13th St Unit 1399868P Miami, FL | 4.0–8.0 | 3.5–6.0 | 3745 | $23,380 | $6.24 | 9d | 2 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-21status Pending
-
2026-01-02$1,495,000 Active
-
2025-12-31historical
-
2025-06-06$1,495,000 Active
-
2025-03-04soldstatus $1,050,000
-
2025-02-26soldstatus $1,050,000 Closed 695-char remark
Show marketing remark (695 chars)
Exceptional 5-unit multifamily property, zoned T6-8-R, offering incredible investment potential in a highly sought- after area. The property consists of three 2-bed/1-bath units, one 1-bed/1-bath unit, and a studio, catering to a diverse range of tenants. The T6-8-R zoning allows for high-density residential development, making this property a prime candidate for future redevelopment or expansion. Located in a vibrant neighborhood, the property is close to major transportation hubs, shopping, dining, and entertainment options, ensuring strong demand and high occupancy rates. This is a rare opportunity to acquire a versatile asset with significant upside in a rapidly growing market.
-
2025-01-31status Pending 695-char remark
Show marketing remark (695 chars)
Exceptional 5-unit multifamily property, zoned T6-8-R, offering incredible investment potential in a highly sought- after area. The property consists of three 2-bed/1-bath units, one 1-bed/1-bath unit, and a studio, catering to a diverse range of tenants. The T6-8-R zoning allows for high-density residential development, making this property a prime candidate for future redevelopment or expansion. Located in a vibrant neighborhood, the property is close to major transportation hubs, shopping, dining, and entertainment options, ensuring strong demand and high occupancy rates. This is a rare opportunity to acquire a versatile asset with significant upside in a rapidly growing market.
-
2024-08-26$1,500,000 Active 695-char remark
Show marketing remark (695 chars)
Exceptional 5-unit multifamily property, zoned T6-8-R, offering incredible investment potential in a highly sought- after area. The property consists of three 2-bed/1-bath units, one 1-bed/1-bath unit, and a studio, catering to a diverse range of tenants. The T6-8-R zoning allows for high-density residential development, making this property a prime candidate for future redevelopment or expansion. Located in a vibrant neighborhood, the property is close to major transportation hubs, shopping, dining, and entertainment options, ensuring strong demand and high occupancy rates. This is a rare opportunity to acquire a versatile asset with significant upside in a rapidly growing market.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $14,910 · $1,243/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $14,910 · $1,243/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 72% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $224,340
- − Mortgage interest
- −$83,743
- − Property taxes
- −$14,910
- − Insurance
- −$12,594
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$17,947
- − Management
- −$17,947
- − Depreciation
- −$43,491
- Taxable income
- $33,708
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$8,090
- After-tax cash flow
- $47,556/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Miami
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #177
- US rank
- #2724
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Miami, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 827,308
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,897
- Household income
- $44,979
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5223.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 92% Two or more races 52% White 4% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 46% Dominican 3% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 68% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 9% English-only · Spanish 90%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -402.98%
- Current HPI
- 476.1631
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.39%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-0.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — MARMLS
- 2026-01-02 Listed $1,495,000 MARMLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-06-06 Listed $1,495,000 MARMLS
- 2025-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $1,050,000 Public Records
- 2025-02-26 Sold (MLS) $1,050,000 MARMLS
- 2025-01-31 Pending — MARMLS
- 2024-08-26 Listed $1,500,000 MARMLS
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2025): $14,910 · +14.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…