Duplex
101 S Hudson · Mechanicville, NY
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$289,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
''Great investment opportunity or perfect for owner-occupancy! This well-maintained 2-unit property features large 3-bedroom units, offering plenty of living space. Enjoy stunning river views and a spacious, level lot with ample parking. The property also boasts a huge detached garage, ideal for storage or additional rental potential. Convenient location and plenty of curb appeal make this a must-see for investors or those seeking a versatile home with income potential!''
Key facts
- Ample parking
- Level lot
- River views
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $289k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-68 ($-811/yr) — negative. Per door: $-34/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $277k (4.1% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $289k).
- Recommended offer: $277k (4.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 1.9% in Mechanicville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#568 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities C-, crime D+, employment D.
- Mechanicville City School District (rural): math 57% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #270 of 590 in NY (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $31k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $81k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$50k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.83%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $231,150
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 William St | 0.33mi | 5/2.0 | 1,848 (-8%) | 5mo | $200,000 | $108 | 67 |
| 20 Green St | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,904 (-5%) | 6mo | $210,000 | $110 | 66 |
| 12 Frances St | 0.25mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,068 (+3%) | 19mo | $250,000 | $121 | 59 |
| 221 N 3rd Ave | 0.62mi | 5/2.0 | 2,132 (+6%) | 2mo | $280,000 | $131 | 59 |
| 23-25 Leonard St | 0.64mi | 5/2.0 | 2,080 (+4%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $120 | 57 |
| 25 Green St | 0.30mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 1,832 (-9%) | 16mo | $210,000 | $115 | 53 |
| 58 Mabbett St | 0.49mi | 5/3.0 | 2,100 (+4%) | 20mo | $287,200 | $137 | 49 |
| 17 Burke Ave | 0.41mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,210 (+10%) | 14mo | $285,000 | $129 | 48 |
| 67 William St | 0.40mi | 5/2.0 | 2,238 (+11%) | 22mo | $160,000 | $71 | 44 |
| 705 Grand St | 0.71mi | 5/2.0 | 2,106 (+5%) | 22mo | $175,000 | $83 | 41 |
| 8 Farrell St | 0.72mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,200 (+10%) | 12mo | $165,000 | $75 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.90×
- Total profit
- $153,527
- Equity at exit
- $260,354
- IRR
- 21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.64×
- Total profit
- $456,357
- Equity at exit
- $561,463
Cash invested: $80,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12118
- Home prices YoY
- 8.3%
- Active inventory
- 144
- Price-to-rent
- 14.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,234 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,516
- Tax from tax record
- −$526 /mo · $6,312/yr
- Insurance
- −$120
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$679
- Net cashflow
- $-68
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $96 | -5% $14 | +0% $-68 | +5% $-149 | +10% $-231 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-323 | -5% $-195 | +0% $-68 | +5% $60 | +10% $188 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $78 | -0.5pp $6 | base $-68 | +0.5pp $-142 | +1.0pp $-219 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $3,234 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,617 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,617 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,234 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,250
- Closing costs
- $8,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Revere Run Mechanicville, NY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1997 | $3,450 | $1.73 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2025-06-05soldstatus $289,200
-
2025-04-09soldstatus $150,000
-
2025-01-25status Pending
-
2025-01-17$289,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,312 · $526/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,312 · $526/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,808
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,188
- − Property taxes
- −$6,312
- − Insurance
- −$6,970
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,105
- − Management
- −$3,105
- − Depreciation
- −$8,407
- Taxable loss
- −$5,280
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,267
- After-tax cash flow
- $456/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mechanicville City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3618900
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,701
- Composite
- 49.33/100
- National rank
- #2021
- State rank
- #270 of 590 in NY
Livability — Mechanicville
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #568
- US rank
- #10227
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saratoga County · 166,192 people
- City population
- 17,069
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,069
- Household income
- $92,710
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 552.0
Population outlook (Rensselaer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 162,400 people
- By 2030
- 161,746 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 158,095 · -2.7%
- By 2050
- 152,966 · -5.8%
- By 2075
- 140,767 · -13.3%
- By 2100
- 124,727 · -23.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Romanian 8% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rensselaer
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.3pp · 2024: 1.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.4 2020: D+5.6 2016: R+2.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+9.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 26.43%
- Current HPI
- 343.9893
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+0.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2025-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $289,200 Public Records
- 2025-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 2025-01-25 Pending — Global MLS
- 2025-01-17 Listed $289,000 Global MLS
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $6,312 · -4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…