121 Rt 21 Mhp · Cumberland, PA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.7/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Enjoy one level living in this move in ready home in Rt. 21 MHP. Open Concept living/dining area. Modern Kitchen with plenty of cabinetry. Laundry room/mud room, with seperate outside entry. Large master suite with walk in closet, and walk in shower. 2nd bedroom, also with lots of closet space. Nice covered side porch, and 2 off street blacktop parking spaces.
Key facts
- Large master suite
- Walk in closet
- Modern kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $346 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($962 rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Carmichaels Area SD (rural): math 17% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #465 of 539 in PA (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.4% local appreciation)).
- Greene County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 318 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 318 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.75%
- DSCR
- 2.10
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $8,296
- List price
- $59,900
- Delta
- 622.00%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.42% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.82×
- Total profit
- $30,596
- Equity at exit
- $28,349
- IRR
- 31.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.56×
- Total profit
- $76,447
- Equity at exit
- $44,823
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15320
- Home prices YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 20
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $962 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $898/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$202
- Net cashflow
- $346
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
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2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 318 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $59,900 Active 317 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $59,900 Active 316 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $59,900 Active 315 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $59,900 Active 313 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $59,900 Active 312 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $59,900 Active 309 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $59,900 Active 308 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $59,900 Active 307 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $59,900 Active 305 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $59,900 Active 303 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $59,900 Active 302 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $59,900 Active 301 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Active 300 DOM
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2026-04-07price $59,900 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
Enjoy one level living in this move in ready home in Rt. 21 MHP. Open Concept living/dining area. Modern Kitchen with plenty of cabinetry. Laundry room/mud room, with seperate outside entry. Large master suite with walk in closet, and walk in shower. 2nd bedroom, also with lots of closet space. Nice covered side porch, and 2 off street blacktop parking spaces.
-
2026-03-03price $64,900 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
Enjoy one level living in this move in ready home in Rt. 21 MHP. Open Concept living/dining area. Modern Kitchen with plenty of cabinetry. Laundry room/mud room, with seperate outside entry. Large master suite with walk in closet, and walk in shower. 2nd bedroom, also with lots of closet space. Nice covered side porch, and 2 off street blacktop parking spaces.
-
2025-08-04$69,000 Active 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
Enjoy one level living in this move in ready home in Rt. 21 MHP. Open Concept living/dining area. Modern Kitchen with plenty of cabinetry. Laundry room/mud room, with seperate outside entry. Large master suite with walk in closet, and walk in shower. 2nd bedroom, also with lots of closet space. Nice covered side porch, and 2 off street blacktop parking spaces.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,543
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$898
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$923
- − Management
- −$923
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $3,400
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$816
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,336/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This move-in ready manufactured home is in good condition with some minor repairs and maintenance needed. Upgrading the paint and furniture can significantly increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Paint — Some wear on interior walls
- Minor Furniture — Dated furniture
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint — Fresh paint can significantly improve curb appeal
- Rental Furniture — Upgrading furniture can make the home more appealing to renters
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Paint · Some wear on interior walls | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Furniture · Dated furniture | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint — Fresh paint can significantly improve curb appeal ↑
- Rental Furniture — Upgrading furniture can make the home more appealing to renters ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carmichaels Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4205070
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -20.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,060
- Composite
- 22.18/100
- National rank
- #8164
- State rank
- #465 of 539 in PA
Livability — Cumberland
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,578
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,975 people
- By 2030
- 33,554 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 30,615 · -12.5%
- By 2050
- 27,819 · -20.5%
- By 2075
- 21,678 · -38.0%
- By 2100
- 16,318 · -53.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.8) · D 26.6% · R 71.5% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -44.4pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -44.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.8 2020: R+43.4 2016: R+41.7 2012: R+17.6 2008: R+0.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.42%
- Current HPI
- 157.0795
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-13.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $59,900 West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $64,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-08-04 Listed $69,000 West Penn MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…