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121 Rt 21 Mhp
B+ Composite 75.18
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$59,900

121 Rt 21 Mhp · Cumberland, PA 15320
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · Manufactured · 318 Days on market
Built 2019 Good condition $57/sqft · 622% above area ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Enjoy one level living in this move in ready home in Rt. 21 MHP. Open Concept living/dining area. Modern Kitchen with plenty of cabinetry. Laundry room/mud room, with seperate outside entry. Large master suite with walk in closet, and walk in shower. 2nd bedroom, also with lots of closet space. Nice covered side porch, and 2 off street blacktop parking spaces.

Key facts

  • Large master suite
  • Walk in closet
  • Modern kitchen

Tags

MODERN KITCHENLAUNDRY ROOM MUD ROOMSEPARATE OUTSIDE ENTRYLARGE MASTER SUITEWALK IN CLOSETWALK IN SHOWER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $346 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($962 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Carmichaels Area SD (rural): math 17% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #465 of 539 in PA (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.4% local appreciation)).
  • Greene County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 318 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $52,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 318 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.61%
Cap rate
13.22%
Cash-on-cash
24.75%
DSCR
2.10
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$8,296
List price
$59,900
Delta
622.00%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.42% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.6%
Equity multiple
2.82×
Total profit
$30,596
Equity at exit
$28,349
10-year hold
IRR
31.6%
Equity multiple
5.56×
Total profit
$76,447
Equity at exit
$44,823

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15320

Home prices YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$962 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $898/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$202
Net cashflow
$346

Break-even live

Break-even rent $524
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 318 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 317 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 316 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 315 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,900 Active 313 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $59,900 Active 312 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 309 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 308 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 307 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $59,900 Active 305 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $59,900 Active 303 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 302 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 301 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 300 DOM
  15. 2026-04-07
    price $59,900 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    Enjoy one level living in this move in ready home in Rt. 21 MHP. Open Concept living/dining area. Modern Kitchen with plenty of cabinetry. Laundry room/mud room, with seperate outside entry. Large master suite with walk in closet, and walk in shower. 2nd bedroom, also with lots of closet space. Nice covered side porch, and 2 off street blacktop parking spaces.

  16. 2026-03-03
    price $64,900 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    Enjoy one level living in this move in ready home in Rt. 21 MHP. Open Concept living/dining area. Modern Kitchen with plenty of cabinetry. Laundry room/mud room, with seperate outside entry. Large master suite with walk in closet, and walk in shower. 2nd bedroom, also with lots of closet space. Nice covered side porch, and 2 off street blacktop parking spaces.

  17. 2025-08-04
    listed $69,000 Active 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    Enjoy one level living in this move in ready home in Rt. 21 MHP. Open Concept living/dining area. Modern Kitchen with plenty of cabinetry. Laundry room/mud room, with seperate outside entry. Large master suite with walk in closet, and walk in shower. 2nd bedroom, also with lots of closet space. Nice covered side porch, and 2 off street blacktop parking spaces.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,543
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$898
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$923
− Management
−$923
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$3,400
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$816
After-tax cash flow
$3,336/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in ready manufactured home is in good condition with some minor repairs and maintenance needed. Upgrading the paint and furniture can significantly increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Paint — Some wear on interior walls
  • Minor Furniture — Dated furniture

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint — Fresh paint can significantly improve curb appeal
  • Rental Furniture — Upgrading furniture can make the home more appealing to renters

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Paint · Some wear on interior walls Minor $500–3,000
Furniture · Dated furniture Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint — Fresh paint can significantly improve curb appeal
  • Rental Furniture — Upgrading furniture can make the home more appealing to renters

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Carmichaels Area SD
NCES district ID
4205070
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -20.00%
Median HH income
$39,060
Composite
22.18/100
National rank
#8164
State rank
#465 of 539 in PA

Livability — Cumberland

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,578

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
34,975 people
By 2030
33,554 · -4.1%
By 2040
30,615 · -12.5%
By 2050
27,819 · -20.5%
By 2075
21,678 · -38.0%
By 2100
16,318 · -53.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.8) · D 26.6% · R 71.5% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-44.4pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -44.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.8 2020: R+43.4 2016: R+41.7 2012: R+17.6 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.42%
Current HPI
157.0795
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $59,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-03-03 Price Changed $64,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-08-04 Listed $69,000 West Penn MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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