🏷️ Likely Rental
31-33 Hickok Pl · Burlington, VT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $480 – $892
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$849,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Well-maintained 4-unit investment property featuring three 2-bedroom apartments and one 1-bedroom unit. Turn-key multi-family property fully leased through May 2027. Located between UVM Campus and downtown, 31-33 Hickok Place is in an exceptional student rental property in an ideal location. Strong financials with separate heat and electricity paid by the tenants. Plenty of off-street parking, on-site coin-op laundry, and large rear decks all contribute to strong tenant appeal and retention. Expansion opportunity into an amazing attic space provides a rare opportunity for added value and reconfiguration. Strong opportunity for investors seeking consistent above market income with the potential to add value in an unparalleled student rental location!
Key facts
- Large rear decks
- Investment property
- Off-street parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3×2bd/1ba + 1×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $849k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($26k/yr) — positive. Per door: $538/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $849k).
- Recommended offer: $798k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.1% in Burlington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#19 in VT, #4,619 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, schools B; Watch: cost of living D, crime F, amenities F.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 137 active listings in the ZIP; 898 units permitted in Chittenden County in 2024 (554 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $10,149/mo this rent would consume 185% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 2757% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $25k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chittenden County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($798k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1899 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1899 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.86%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,102,140
- List price
- $849,000
- Delta
- -22.97%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.52% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-25,171
- Equity at exit
- $126,589
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $58,572
- Equity at exit
- $73,406
Cash invested: $237,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Vermont
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 05401
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 27.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $10,149 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,452
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1,061 /mo · $12,735/yr
- Insurance
- −$354
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,131
- Net cashflow
- $2,150
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,737 | -5% $2,444 | +0% $2,150 | +5% $1,857 | +10% $1,564 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,349 | -5% $1,750 | +0% $2,150 | +5% $2,551 | +10% $2,952 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,578 | -0.5pp $2,366 | base $2,150 | +0.5pp $1,930 | +1.0pp $1,707 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $7,839 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $2,613 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $2,613 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $2,613 |
| 1× unit | 1 | 1 | $2,311 |
| Total (4 units) | $10,149 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $212,250
- Closing costs
- $25,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $849,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $849,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $849,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $849,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $849,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $849,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $849,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $849,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $849,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $849,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $849,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $849,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $849,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $849,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $849,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $849,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $849,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-04-16$865,000 Active 759-char remark
Show marketing remark (759 chars)
Well-maintained 4-unit investment property featuring three 2-bedroom apartments and one 1-bedroom unit. Turn-key multi-family property fully leased through May 2027. Located between UVM Campus and downtown, 31-33 Hickok Place is in an exceptional student rental property in an ideal location. Strong financials with separate heat and electricity paid by the tenants. Plenty of off-street parking, on-site coin-op laundry, and large rear decks all contribute to strong tenant appeal and retention. Expansion opportunity into an amazing attic space provides a rare opportunity for added value and reconfiguration. Strong opportunity for investors seeking consistent above market income with the potential to add value in an unparalleled student rental location!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $121,788
- − Mortgage interest
- −$47,557
- − Property taxes
- −$12,735
- − Insurance
- −$4,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$9,743
- − Management
- −$9,743
- − Depreciation
- −$24,698
- Taxable income
- $13,067
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,136
- After-tax cash flow
- $22,670/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 4-unit investment property requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and appeal to both buyers and renters. The kitchen and bathrooms are in need of updates, and the exterior and roof show signs of wear. Addressing these issues would significantly increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and worn
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — basic and dated
- Moderate roof shingles — visible wear
- Moderate exterior siding — weathered and discolored
- Moderate HVAC systems — basic and likely outdated
Value-add opportunities
- Both update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen would appeal to both buyers and renters
- Both replace dated bathroom fixtures — modernizing bathrooms would appeal to both buyers and renters
- Both repair/replace windows — new windows would improve energy efficiency and curb appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and worn | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · basic and dated | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| roof shingles · visible wear | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| exterior siding · weathered and discolored | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| HVAC systems · basic and likely outdated | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $15,000–75,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen would appeal to both buyers and renters ↑
- Both replace dated bathroom fixtures — modernizing bathrooms would appeal to both buyers and renters ↑
- Both repair/replace windows — new windows would improve energy efficiency and curb appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Burlington
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #19
- US rank
- #4619
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Burlington, VT
- County
- Chittenden County · 110,603 people
- City population
- 31,662
- Metro
- Burlington-South Burlington, VT
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,662
- Household income
- $65,657
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2757.0
Population outlook (Chittenden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 170,769 people
- By 2030
- 174,716 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 180,337 · +5.6%
- By 2050
- 183,768 · +7.6%
- By 2075
- 194,646 · +14.0%
- By 2100
- 194,933 · +14.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 6% Asian 4% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Chittenden
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+53.6) · D 75.4% · R 21.7% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: 44.8pp · 2024: 53.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+53.6 2020: D+54.5 2016: D+46.8 2012: D+41.9 2008: D+44.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -316.87%
- Current HPI
- 352.2081
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.52%
- Metro
- Burlington-South Burlington, VT
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Listed $865,000 PrimeMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…