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31-33 Hickok Pl 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 70.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$849,000

31-33 Hickok Pl · Burlington, VT 05401
28 bd · 16.0 ba · 4,243 sqft · MultiFamily · 64 Days on market
Built 1899 Fair condition 6,534 sqft lot $200/sqft · 23% below area Est $1102k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Well-maintained 4-unit investment property featuring three 2-bedroom apartments and one 1-bedroom unit. Turn-key multi-family property fully leased through May 2027. Located between UVM Campus and downtown, 31-33 Hickok Place is in an exceptional student rental property in an ideal location. Strong financials with separate heat and electricity paid by the tenants. Plenty of off-street parking, on-site coin-op laundry, and large rear decks all contribute to strong tenant appeal and retention. Expansion opportunity into an amazing attic space provides a rare opportunity for added value and reconfiguration. Strong opportunity for investors seeking consistent above market income with the potential to add value in an unparalleled student rental location!

Key facts

  • Large rear decks
  • Investment property
  • Off-street parking

Tags

INVESTMENT PROPERTYMULTI-FAMILY PROPERTYSTUDENT RENTAL PROPERTYOFF-STREET PARKINGON-SITE COIN-OP LAUNDRYLARGE REAR DECKS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $849,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$1,102,140) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3×2bd/1ba + 1×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $849k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($26k/yr) — positive. Per door: $538/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $849k).
  • Recommended offer: $798k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.1% in Burlington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#19 in VT, #4,619 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, schools B; Watch: cost of living D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 137 active listings in the ZIP; 898 units permitted in Chittenden County in 2024 (554 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $10,149/mo this rent would consume 185% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 2757% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $25k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chittenden County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($798k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1899 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $798,060 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  5. Built in 1899 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.33%
Cash-on-cash
10.86%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$1,102,140
List price
$849,000
Delta
-22.97%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.52% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.9%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-25,171
Equity at exit
$126,589
10-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$58,572
Equity at exit
$73,406

Cash invested: $237,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Vermont
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause in Burlington (2022); strong habitability.

ZIP-level market 05401

Rents YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
27.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$10,149 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,452
Tax est. 1.5%
$1,061 /mo · $12,735/yr
Insurance
$354
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,131
Net cashflow
$2,150

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,427
Max offer price $849,000
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,737 -5% $2,444 +0% $2,150 +5% $1,857 +10% $1,564
Rent -10% $1,349 -5% $1,750 +0% $2,150 +5% $2,551 +10% $2,952
Rate -1.0pp $2,578 -0.5pp $2,366 base $2,150 +0.5pp $1,930 +1.0pp $1,707

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 1 1 $2,311
Total (4 units) $10,149

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$212,250
Closing costs
$25,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $849,000 Active 64 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $849,000 Active 63 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $849,000 Active 62 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $849,000 Active 61 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $849,000 Active 60 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $849,000 Active 58 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $849,000 Active 57 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $849,000 Active 55 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $849,000 Active 54 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $849,000 Active 53 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $849,000 Active 52 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $849,000 Active 49 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $849,000 Active 48 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $849,000 Active 47 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $849,000 Active 46 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $849,000 Active 45 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $849,000 Active 44 DOM
  18. 2026-04-16
    listed $865,000 Active 759-char remark
    Show marketing remark (759 chars)

    Well-maintained 4-unit investment property featuring three 2-bedroom apartments and one 1-bedroom unit. Turn-key multi-family property fully leased through May 2027. Located between UVM Campus and downtown, 31-33 Hickok Place is in an exceptional student rental property in an ideal location. Strong financials with separate heat and electricity paid by the tenants. Plenty of off-street parking, on-site coin-op laundry, and large rear decks all contribute to strong tenant appeal and retention. Expansion opportunity into an amazing attic space provides a rare opportunity for added value and reconfiguration. Strong opportunity for investors seeking consistent above market income with the potential to add value in an unparalleled student rental location!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$121,788
− Mortgage interest
−$47,557
− Property taxes
−$12,735
− Insurance
−$4,245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$9,743
− Management
−$9,743
− Depreciation
−$24,698
Taxable income
$13,067
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,136
After-tax cash flow
$22,670/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This 4-unit investment property requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and appeal to both buyers and renters. The kitchen and bathrooms are in need of updates, and the exterior and roof show signs of wear. Addressing these issues would significantly increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and worn
  • Moderate bathroom fixtures — basic and dated
  • Moderate roof shingles — visible wear
  • Moderate exterior siding — weathered and discolored
  • Moderate HVAC systems — basic and likely outdated

Value-add opportunities

  • Both update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen would appeal to both buyers and renters
  • Both replace dated bathroom fixtures — modernizing bathrooms would appeal to both buyers and renters
  • Both repair/replace windows — new windows would improve energy efficiency and curb appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · dated and worn Moderate $3,000–15,000
bathroom fixtures · basic and dated Moderate $3,000–15,000
roof shingles · visible wear Moderate $3,000–15,000
exterior siding · weathered and discolored Moderate $3,000–15,000
HVAC systems · basic and likely outdated Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $15,000–75,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen would appeal to both buyers and renters
  • Both replace dated bathroom fixtures — modernizing bathrooms would appeal to both buyers and renters
  • Both repair/replace windows — new windows would improve energy efficiency and curb appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Burlington

Score
74/100
State rank
#19
US rank
#4619

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living D Crime F Employment B Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Burlington, VT
County
Chittenden County · 110,603 people
City population
31,662
Metro
Burlington-South Burlington, VT
Population (ZIP)
31,662
Household income
$65,657
Rent vs Own
68.6% rent · 31.4% own
Severe rent burden
2757.0

Population outlook (Chittenden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
170,769 people
By 2030
174,716 · +2.3%
By 2040
180,337 · +5.6%
By 2050
183,768 · +7.6%
By 2075
194,646 · +14.0%
By 2100
194,933 · +14.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 6% Asian 4% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
7% · China, Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
90% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Chittenden

2024 margin
Solid D (+53.6) · D 75.4% · R 21.7% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+8.9pp toward D · 2008: 44.8pp · 2024: 53.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+53.6 2020: D+54.5 2016: D+46.8 2012: D+41.9 2008: D+44.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -316.87%
Current HPI
352.2081
Rent YoY
▲ 0.52%
Metro
Burlington-South Burlington, VT
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $865,000 PrimeMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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