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35306 Azalea Ln
D Composite 40.86
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.1/15.0
  • Schools +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • DSCR +1.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.6/10.0

$749,000

35306 Azalea Ln · French Valley, CA 92596
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,947 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 58 Days on market
Built 2003 7,841 sqft lot $254/sqft · 12% above area Est $727k · at est. $14/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 35306 Azalea Ln! This spacious 6-bedroom 3-bathroom home offers the perfect blend of comfort and functionality, featuring a beautiful pool, a large kitchen, two living rooms, and multiple dining areas ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The main floor includes a full bathroom and a generously sized bedroom, with the flexibility to create a combined office-bedroom space or two separate bedrooms! Upstairs, you will find a large primary suite complete with two oversized walk-in closets, providing ample storage and a private retreat. A separate laundry room adds convenience, while the two-car garage and large side gate offer potential for RV parking or additional storage. Step outside to enjoy your own backyard oasis with a sparkling pool, perfect for relaxing or hosting gatherings. You do not want to miss the opportunity to make this your home. Schedule your showing today.

Key facts

  • Large kitchen
  • Two living rooms
  • Large primary suite

Tags

LARGE KITCHENTWO LIVING ROOMSMULTIPLE DINING AREASLARGE PRIMARY SUITETWO OVERSIZED WALK-IN CLOSETSSEPARATE LAUNDRY ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $749k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-835 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $602k (19.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $493k (34.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $493k (34.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.5% in French Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#655 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Temecula Valley Unified (urban): math 55% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #173 of 1,400 in CA (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Susan La Vorgna Elementary (810 students, 27% FRL); Bella Vista Middle (1,396 students, 26% FRL); Chaparral High (3,030 students, 27% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 353 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($133k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $80k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $75k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$129k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($727k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $280k; list at $749k implies a 168% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→12/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $493,293 (34.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.66%
Cap rate
4.96%
Cash-on-cash
-4.78%
DSCR
0.79
GRM
12.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$726,502
List price
$749,000
Delta
3.10%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
35403 Laurel Tree Ct 0.21mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,719 (-8%) 9mo $800,000 $294 65
35689 Yellowstone 0.38mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,660 (-10%) 5mo $660,000 $248 57
31969 Odyssey 0.48mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,736 (-7%) 5mo $725,000 $265 56
35574 Athena Ct 0.58mi 5/3.5 (-1) 2,820 (-4%) 4mo $755,000 $268 55
32144 Old Country Ct 0.55mi 5/4.5 (-1) 3,108 (+6%) 0mo $780,000 $251 54
35658 Denali Way 0.39mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,660 (-10%) 8mo $871,500 $328 54
32526 Presidio Hls 0.58mi 5/3.0 (-1) 3,213 (+9%) 2mo $785,000 $244 52
35041 Painted Rock St 0.51mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,719 (-8%) 9mo $735,000 $270 51
32125 Bandelier Rd 0.43mi 5/3.0 (-1) 3,331 (+13%) 7mo $755,000 $227 48
35676 Small Pine Ct 0.42mi 5/3.5 (-1) 3,369 (+14%) 6mo $874,990 $260 44
32676 Quiet Trail Dr 0.71mi 5/3.0 (-1) 3,213 (+9%) 4mo $725,000 $226 43
32591 Shadyview 0.52mi 5/3.5 (-1) 3,363 (+14%) 7mo $895,000 $266 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
2.62×
Total profit
$340,094
Equity at exit
$674,759
10-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
5.85×
Total profit
$1,017,058
Equity at exit
$1,455,142

Cash invested: $209,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92596

Home prices YoY
3.9%
Rents YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
353
Price-to-rent
12.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,933 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,928
Tax from tax record
$478 /mo · $5,736/yr
Insurance
$312
HOA
$14
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,036
Net cashflow
$-835

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,990
Max offer price $601,509
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-411 -5% $-623 +0% $-835 +5% $-1,047 +10% $-1,259
Rent -10% $-1,225 -5% $-1,030 +0% $-835 +5% $-640 +10% $-445
Rate -1.0pp $-458 -0.5pp $-644 base $-835 +0.5pp $-1,029 +1.0pp $-1,226

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$187,250
Closing costs
$22,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
34629 Foxberry Rd Winchester, CA 5.0 5.5 3887 $4,179 $1.08 4d 1 0.79mi
36395 Pistachio Dr Winchester, CA 5.0 4.0 4020 $4,500 $1.12 45d 1 1.14mi
36173 Saint Claire Ct Winchester, CA 6.0 3.5 2905 $6,000 $2.07 45d 1 1.21mi
32907 Cambury Pl Winchester, CA 5.0 4.0 2641 $3,795 $1.44 0d 1 1.41mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$14 · $168/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $749,000 Active 58 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $749,000 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $749,000 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $749,000 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $749,000 Active 50 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $749,000 Active 49 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $749,000 Active 48 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $749,000 Active 47 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $749,000 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-04-15
    listed $774,999 Active 907-char remark
    Show marketing remark (907 chars)

    Welcome to 35306 Azalea Ln! This spacious 6-bedroom 3-bathroom home offers the perfect blend of comfort and functionality, featuring a beautiful pool, a large kitchen, two living rooms, and multiple dining areas ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The main floor includes a full bathroom and a generously sized bedroom, with the flexibility to create a combined office-bedroom space or two separate bedrooms! Upstairs, you will find a large primary suite complete with two oversized walk-in closets, providing ample storage and a private retreat. A separate laundry room adds convenience, while the two-car garage and large side gate offer potential for RV parking or additional storage. Step outside to enjoy your own backyard oasis with a sparkling pool, perfect for relaxing or hosting gatherings. You do not want to miss the opportunity to make this your home. Schedule your showing today.

  11. 2009-02-27
    soldstatus $280,000 Closed 584-char remark
    Show marketing remark (584 chars)

    Bank Owned REO Property. Very nice 6 bedroom, 3 bath home with a custom inground pool and spa. There is also a bonus room upstairs, as well as a guest suite down stairs, separate bathroom with a small living area. Interior has been completely repainted and has new carpet. This home is very clean. Exterior has nice concrete work. Numerous incentives are available through banks affiliated lender on this property. Banks additional AS-IS Addendum is available by calling or emailing the L/A. This addendum is only needed for accepted offers. See remarks below when submitting an offer

  12. 2008-12-15
    historical 584-char remark
    Show marketing remark (584 chars)

    Bank Owned REO Property. Very nice 6 bedroom, 3 bath home with a custom inground pool and spa. There is also a bonus room upstairs, as well as a guest suite down stairs, separate bathroom with a small living area. Interior has been completely repainted and has new carpet. This home is very clean. Exterior has nice concrete work. Numerous incentives are available through banks affiliated lender on this property. Banks additional AS-IS Addendum is available by calling or emailing the L/A. This addendum is only needed for accepted offers. See remarks below when submitting an offer

  13. 2008-12-09
    listed $274,900 584-char remark
    Show marketing remark (584 chars)

    Bank Owned REO Property. Very nice 6 bedroom, 3 bath home with a custom inground pool and spa. There is also a bonus room upstairs, as well as a guest suite down stairs, separate bathroom with a small living area. Interior has been completely repainted and has new carpet. This home is very clean. Exterior has nice concrete work. Numerous incentives are available through banks affiliated lender on this property. Banks additional AS-IS Addendum is available by calling or emailing the L/A. This addendum is only needed for accepted offers. See remarks below when submitting an offer

  14. 2008-12-05
    historical
  15. 2008-12-02
    price $299,900
  16. 2008-11-21
    price $309,900
  17. 2008-11-06
    listed $321,900
  18. 2008-10-31
    historical
  19. 2008-09-24
    listed $321,900
  20. 2008-09-21
    historical
  21. 2008-09-04
    price $321,900
  22. 2008-08-07
    price $334,900
  23. 2008-06-24
    listed $349,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,736 · $478/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,736 · $478/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥104°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$59,195
− Mortgage interest
−$41,956
− Property taxes
−$5,736
− Insurance
−$3,745
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,736
− Management
−$4,736
− HOA
−$168
− Depreciation
−$21,789
Taxable loss
−$23,670
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,681
After-tax cash flow
$-4,338/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Temecula Valley Unified
NCES district ID
0600028
Math proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$84,032
Composite
57.48/100
National rank
#2264
State rank
#173 of 1400 in CA

Livability — French Valley

Score
59/100
State rank
#655
US rank
#20351

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
French Valley, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
38,981
Household income
$132,538
Rent vs Own
16.1% rent · 83.9% own
Severe rent burden
591.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 38% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 16% Asian 12% Black 6% Pacific Islander 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 29%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 16% Tagalog/Filipino 4% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 12.43%
Current HPI
332.169
Rent YoY
▼ -0.79%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+122.1% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $774,999 CRMLS
  • 2009-02-27 Sold (MLS) $280,000 CRMLS
  • 2008-12-15 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2008-12-09 Listed $274,900 CRMLS
  • 2008-12-05 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2008-12-02 Price Changed $299,900 CRMLS
  • 2008-11-21 Price Changed $309,900 CRMLS
  • 2008-11-06 Listed $321,900 CRMLS
  • 2008-10-31 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2008-09-24 Listed $321,900 CRMLS
  • 2008-09-21 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2008-09-04 Price Changed $321,900 CRMLS
  • 2008-08-07 Price Changed $334,900 CRMLS
  • 2008-06-24 Listed $349,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,736 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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