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837 Orchard St
A- Composite 82.2
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0

$24,900

837 Orchard St · Toledo, OH 43609
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,224 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1917 3,600 sqft lot $20/sqft · 43% below area Est $43k · 43% under ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

GREAT BUY FOR THIS 3 BEDROOM AND 1 BATHROOM HOME IN SOUTH TOLEDO. HOME FEATURES AN INVITING FRONT PORCH, DECORATIVE FIREPLACE IN LIVING ROOM, GALLEY KITCHEN AND UNFINISHED BASEMENT. HOME IS NEAR ALL SERVICES AND PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION.

Key facts

  • Pantry
  • Formal dining room
  • Living room combo

Tags

PARTIAL BASEMENTDIMENSIONAL ROOFFORMAL DINING ROOMLIVING ROOM COMBOFIREPLACEPANTRY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces; Alley access and on-street parking
  • Security: Other security features
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family house; One story; No attached units; No common walls
  • Construction: Wood siding; Block foundation; Block basement
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (14 x 9)
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 on main level (13 x 9); Bedroom 3 on main level (13 x 7)
  • Flooring: Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; Has heating
  • Interior features: Pantry; Double-pane windows; Has basement (block foundation)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $508 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($893 rent vs $25k).
  • Cap rate 30.8% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Marshall Stemm Academy (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,554 of 1,584 statewide, top 100%, 374 students, 0% FRL); Waite High School (math 12% / reading 24%, grade F, #687 of 781 statewide, top 88%, 997 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $359 of equity ($172 loan paydown + $187 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $19k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $24,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.58%
Cap rate
30.77%
Cash-on-cash
87.42%
DSCR
4.89
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$43,438
List price
$24,900
Delta
-42.68%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
837 Orchard St 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,224 (0%) 1mo $19,000 $16 100
1057 Harding Dr 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,184 (-3%) 4mo $98,500 $83 71
518 South Ave 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,255 (+2%) 6mo $64,000 $51 66
511 Congress St 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,109 (-9%) 6mo $55,000 $50 64
1127 Harding Dr 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,104 (-10%) 4mo $22,000 $20 61
717 Segur Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,188 (-3%) 2mo $79,000 $66 58
445 Hiett Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,144 (-6%) 3mo $33,000 $29 56
559 Prouty Ave 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,407 (+15%) 6mo $5,200 $4 50
1152 Colton St 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,046 (-14%) 1mo $65,000 $62 49
837 Lorain St 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,380 (+13%) 8mo $75,000 $54 46
435 Crittenden Ave 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,404 (+15%) 4mo $75,000 $53 37
413 Walbridge Ave 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,384 (+13%) 7mo $27,450 $20 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.75% appreciation · 7.8% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
95.6%
Equity multiple
6.32×
Total profit
$37,058
Equity at exit
$8,177
10-year hold
IRR
97.5%
Equity multiple
15.17×
Total profit
$98,828
Equity at exit
$10,621

Cash invested: $6,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43609

Home prices YoY
0.3%
Rents YoY
7.8%
Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$893 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax from tax record
$56 /mo · $675/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$187
Net cashflow
$508

Break-even live

Break-even rent $250
Max offer price $24,900
Occupancy floor 38%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,225
Closing costs
$747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
771 Orchard St Unit 7715 Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1086 $645 $0.59 23d 1 0.07mi
837 Colburn St Unit 2 Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1158 $695 $0.60 23d 1 0.11mi
837 Colburn St Unit 1 Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1178 $700 $0.59 43d 1 0.11mi
827 Colburn St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1092 $750 $0.69 43d 1 0.11mi
2424 Broadway St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1416 $1,049 $0.74 13d 1 0.69mi
244 Knower St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1120 $995 $0.89 13d 1 0.76mi
1321 Gordon St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1121 $1,050 $0.94 43d 1 0.78mi
1418 Colburn St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 992 $1,200 $1.21 13d 1 0.80mi
724 Spencer St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1127 $1,100 $0.98 43d 1 0.92mi
532 Carlton St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1130 $1,050 $0.93 43d 1 0.96mi
705 Nicholas St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1037 $900 $0.87 43d 1 0.99mi
523 Nicholas St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1290 $1,350 $1.05 13d 1 0.99mi
2594 Broadway St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1076 $825 $0.77 43d 1 1.04mi
337 Broadway St Unit 201 Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1455 $1,650 $1.13 23d 1 1.25mi
1734 Arlington Ave Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 13d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 322-char remark
  2. 2026-05-06
    listed $24,900 Active 322-char remark
  3. 2022-07-07
    soldstatus $20,101 Closed 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    GREAT BUY FOR THIS 3 BEDROOM AND 1 BATHROOM HOME IN SOUTH TOLEDO. HOME FEATURES AN INVITING FRONT PORCH, DECORATIVE FIREPLACE IN LIVING ROOM, GALLEY KITCHEN AND UNFINISHED BASEMENT. HOME IS NEAR ALL SERVICES AND PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION.

  4. 2022-06-14
    status Pending 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    GREAT BUY FOR THIS 3 BEDROOM AND 1 BATHROOM HOME IN SOUTH TOLEDO. HOME FEATURES AN INVITING FRONT PORCH, DECORATIVE FIREPLACE IN LIVING ROOM, GALLEY KITCHEN AND UNFINISHED BASEMENT. HOME IS NEAR ALL SERVICES AND PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION.

  5. 2022-06-14
    price $20,101 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    GREAT BUY FOR THIS 3 BEDROOM AND 1 BATHROOM HOME IN SOUTH TOLEDO. HOME FEATURES AN INVITING FRONT PORCH, DECORATIVE FIREPLACE IN LIVING ROOM, GALLEY KITCHEN AND UNFINISHED BASEMENT. HOME IS NEAR ALL SERVICES AND PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION.

  6. 2022-06-13
    status Active 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    GREAT BUY FOR THIS 3 BEDROOM AND 1 BATHROOM HOME IN SOUTH TOLEDO. HOME FEATURES AN INVITING FRONT PORCH, DECORATIVE FIREPLACE IN LIVING ROOM, GALLEY KITCHEN AND UNFINISHED BASEMENT. HOME IS NEAR ALL SERVICES AND PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION.

  7. 2022-06-09
    historical 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    GREAT BUY FOR THIS 3 BEDROOM AND 1 BATHROOM HOME IN SOUTH TOLEDO. HOME FEATURES AN INVITING FRONT PORCH, DECORATIVE FIREPLACE IN LIVING ROOM, GALLEY KITCHEN AND UNFINISHED BASEMENT. HOME IS NEAR ALL SERVICES AND PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION.

  8. 2022-05-12
    price $19,900 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    GREAT BUY FOR THIS 3 BEDROOM AND 1 BATHROOM HOME IN SOUTH TOLEDO. HOME FEATURES AN INVITING FRONT PORCH, DECORATIVE FIREPLACE IN LIVING ROOM, GALLEY KITCHEN AND UNFINISHED BASEMENT. HOME IS NEAR ALL SERVICES AND PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION.

  9. 2022-05-03
    status Active 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    GREAT BUY FOR THIS 3 BEDROOM AND 1 BATHROOM HOME IN SOUTH TOLEDO. HOME FEATURES AN INVITING FRONT PORCH, DECORATIVE FIREPLACE IN LIVING ROOM, GALLEY KITCHEN AND UNFINISHED BASEMENT. HOME IS NEAR ALL SERVICES AND PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION.

  10. 2022-04-29
    status Pending 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    GREAT BUY FOR THIS 3 BEDROOM AND 1 BATHROOM HOME IN SOUTH TOLEDO. HOME FEATURES AN INVITING FRONT PORCH, DECORATIVE FIREPLACE IN LIVING ROOM, GALLEY KITCHEN AND UNFINISHED BASEMENT. HOME IS NEAR ALL SERVICES AND PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION.

  11. 2022-03-11
    listed $21,900 Active 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    GREAT BUY FOR THIS 3 BEDROOM AND 1 BATHROOM HOME IN SOUTH TOLEDO. HOME FEATURES AN INVITING FRONT PORCH, DECORATIVE FIREPLACE IN LIVING ROOM, GALLEY KITCHEN AND UNFINISHED BASEMENT. HOME IS NEAR ALL SERVICES AND PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION.

  12. 2020-03-03
    historical
  13. 2019-12-05
    listed $12,960
  14. 2017-06-10
    historical
  15. 2017-01-10
    listed $14,900
  16. 2016-11-17
    historical
  17. 2016-05-17
    listed $20,000
  18. 1997-07-30
    soldstatus $23,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$675 · $56/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$675 · $56/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,711
− Mortgage interest
−$1,395
− Property taxes
−$675
− Insurance
−$124
− Repairs & maintenance
−$857
− Management
−$857
− Depreciation
−$724
Taxable income
$6,078
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,459
After-tax cash flow
$4,636/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Toledo City
NCES district ID
3904490
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$32,137
Composite
15.76/100
National rank
#9276
State rank
#634 of 656 in OH

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Toledo, OH
County
Lucas County · 380,724 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
21,404
Household income
$42,313
Rent vs Own
55.7% rent · 44.3% own
Severe rent burden
1603.0

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.75%
Current HPI
235.2515
Rent YoY
▲ 7.80%
Metro
Toledo, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-17.4% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Sold (MLS) $19,000 NORIS
  • 2026-05-18 Pending NORIS
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $24,900 NORIS
  • 2022-07-07 Sold (MLS) $20,101 NORIS
  • 2022-06-14 Pending NORIS
  • 2022-06-14 Price Changed $20,101 NORIS
  • 2022-06-13 Relisted NORIS
  • 2022-06-09 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2022-05-12 Price Changed $19,900 NORIS
  • 2022-05-03 Relisted NORIS
  • 2022-04-29 Pending NORIS
  • 2022-03-11 Listed $21,900 NORIS
  • 2020-03-03 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2019-12-05 Listed $12,960 NORIS
  • 2017-06-10 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2017-01-10 Listed $14,900 NORIS
  • 2016-11-17 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2016-05-17 Listed $20,000 NORIS
  • 1997-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+14.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $675 · -36.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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