20214 Greeley St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.3/30.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home! This beautiful 3-bedroom bungalow is completely move-in ready. The home features brand-new luxury vinyl plank flooring, a fresh coat of neutral paint, and an upgraded kitchen complete with stunning quartz countertops. With updated lighting throughout, the entire space feels bright and beautifully refreshed. Step outside to find a large backyard perfect for entertaining, along with a spacious two-car garage. The home is conveniently located near major freeways. This will not last!
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Large backyard
- Upgraded kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick construction
- Construction: Block foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot roughly 40 x 119.6 (0.11 acres)
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Partially finished basement; Five total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $197 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 218 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 13 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $84k; list at $135k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.26%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $96,565
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1107 E Muir Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,081 (-0%) | 1mo | $147,900 | $137 | 81 |
| 20473 Greeley St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,179 (+9%) | 0mo | $47,000 | $40 | 79 |
| 20401 Greeley St | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 928 (-14%) | 1mo | $55,000 | $59 | 72 |
| 1218 E Milton Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,021 (-6%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $152 | 68 |
| 19365 Goddard St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (+1%) | 1mo | $97,500 | $89 | 64 |
| 20041 Marx St | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 | 1,233 (+14%) | 2mo | $130,500 | $106 | 64 |
| 1727 E Elza Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,123 (+4%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $165 | 63 |
| 19640 Yacama Rd | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,156 (+6%) | 1mo | $15,000 | $13 | 59 |
| 750 E Hayes Ave | 0.57mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,125 (+4%) | 2mo | $212,500 | $189 | 59 |
| 19163 Orleans St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,080 (-0%) | 2mo | $32,500 | $30 | 59 |
| 19181 Marx St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (+6%) | 1mo | $40,500 | $35 | 56 |
| 19145 Riopelle St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+6%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $69 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-9,302
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $8,118
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48203
- Home prices YoY
- -23.3%
- Active inventory
- 218
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,407 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$150 /mo · $1,803/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $197
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $274 | -5% $235 | +0% $197 | +5% $159 | +10% $121 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $86 | -5% $142 | +0% $197 | +5% $253 | +10% $308 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $265 | -0.5pp $232 | base $197 | +0.5pp $162 | +1.0pp $127 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1301 E Muir Ave Hazel Park, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $1,600 | $1.29 | 22d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2034 John B Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,261 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1019 E Hayes Ave Unit 1032331P Hazel Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1033 | $5,301 | $5.13 | 2d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1211 E Bernhard Ave Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 721 | $1,500 | $2.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 19995 Goddard St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1292 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 22d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1326 E Evelyn Ave Unit 1032332P Hazel Park, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1097 | $6,364 | $5.80 | 0d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1621 E Evelyn Ave Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 749 | $1,295 | $1.73 | 19d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 21516 Dequindre Rd Warren, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $1,375 | $1.64 | 22d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 20255 Harned St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,374 | $1.37 | 17d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 19703 Keating St Highland Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 17d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 21155 Warner Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,029 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 407 E Hayes Ave Hazel Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 25d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 429 E Milton Ave Hazel Park, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1075 | $1,595 | $1.48 | 0d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 18882 Marx St Highland Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 19694 Gallagher St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 16d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 155 W George Ave Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,000 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1731 E Pearl Ave Hazel Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 844 | $1,500 | $1.78 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 18629 Fleming St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 20000 Norwood St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $1,200 | $1.04 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 18551 Saint Aubin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 17d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 18503 Riopelle St Highland Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1254 | $1,250 | $1.00 | 6d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 19360 Revere St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,250 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 19450 Norwood St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 6d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 90 W Meyers Ave Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 831 | $1,800 | $2.17 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 19930 Binder St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 17d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 18666 Joseph Campau St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 17d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1561 E Webster St Ferndale, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 939 | $1,600 | $1.70 | 25d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 18084 Goddard St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 790 | $1,050 | $1.33 | 17d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 23077 Davey Ave Hazel Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 933 | $1,895 | $2.03 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 23115 Tawas Ave Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $1,375 | $1.95 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 404 W Golden Gate Highland Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,100 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 406 W Goldengate St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,100 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 266 W Goulson Ave Hazel Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,600 | $1.70 | 22d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $135,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 498-char remark
-
2026-06-17$135,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,803 · $150/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,941 · $162/mo
- Expected delta
- +$138/yr (+$12/mo · 7.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,887
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,803
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,351
- − Management
- −$1,351
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $218
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$52
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,315/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,049
- Household income
- $38,404
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1192.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.13%
- Current HPI
- 297.0176
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+512.2% since first listed31 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $135,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-16 Listed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-17 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-17 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-07-16 Listed $105,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-07-16 Listed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-04-10 Rental Removed $1,500 APPFOLIO
- 2024-03-13 Listed for Rent $1,500 APPFOLIO
- 2024-03-13 Rental Removed $1,500 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-03-11 Listed for Rent $1,500 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-01-31 Sold (MLS) $84,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-01-31 Sold (MLS) $84,500 REALCOMP
- 2023-12-04 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-11-20 Price Changed $89,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-11-10 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-11-08 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-11-04 Price Changed $109,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-10-12 Listed $112,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-10-12 Listed $89,999 REALCOMP
- 2023-10-11 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-10-11 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2023-09-13 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-09-13 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2023-09-13 Listed $112,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-09-07 Listed $112,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-08-09 Sold (MLS) $45,200 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-08-09 Sold (MLS) $45,200 REALCOMP
- 2023-07-11 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-07-11 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-06-20 Listed $22,050 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-06-20 Listed $22,050 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,803 · +75.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…