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20214 Greeley St
D Composite 43.45
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.3/30.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

20214 Greeley St · Detroit, MI 48203
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,085 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1946 4,792 sqft lot Est $97k · 40% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home! This beautiful 3-bedroom bungalow is completely move-in ready. The home features brand-new luxury vinyl plank flooring, a fresh coat of neutral paint, and an upgraded kitchen complete with stunning quartz countertops. With updated lighting throughout, the entire space feels bright and beautifully refreshed. Step outside to find a large backyard perfect for entertaining, along with a spacious two-car garage. The home is conveniently located near major freeways. This will not last!

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Large backyard
  • Upgraded kitchen

Tags

LUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGUPGRADED KITCHENQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSLARGE BACKYARDSPACIOUS TWO-CAR GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick construction
  • Construction: Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot roughly 40 x 119.6 (0.11 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement; Five total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $197 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 218 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 13 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $84k; list at $135k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.05%
Cash-on-cash
6.26%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$96,565
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1107 E Muir Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,081 (-0%) 1mo $147,900 $137 81
20473 Greeley St 0.13mi 3/1.0 1,179 (+9%) 0mo $47,000 $40 79
20401 Greeley St 0.07mi 3/1.0 928 (-14%) 1mo $55,000 $59 72
1218 E Milton Ave 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,021 (-6%) 1mo $155,000 $152 68
19365 Goddard St 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,100 (+1%) 1mo $97,500 $89 64
20041 Marx St 0.21mi 3/1.5 1,233 (+14%) 2mo $130,500 $106 64
1727 E Elza Ave 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,123 (+4%) 1mo $185,000 $165 63
19640 Yacama Rd 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,156 (+6%) 1mo $15,000 $13 59
750 E Hayes Ave 0.57mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,125 (+4%) 2mo $212,500 $189 59
19163 Orleans St 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,080 (-0%) 2mo $32,500 $30 59
19181 Marx St 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,152 (+6%) 1mo $40,500 $35 56
19145 Riopelle St 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,152 (+6%) 2mo $80,000 $69 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.6%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-9,302
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
3.0%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$8,118
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48203

Home prices YoY
-23.3%
Active inventory
218
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,407 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$150 /mo · $1,803/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$296
Net cashflow
$197

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,158
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $274 -5% $235 +0% $197 +5% $159 +10% $121
Rent -10% $86 -5% $142 +0% $197 +5% $253 +10% $308
Rate -1.0pp $265 -0.5pp $232 base $197 +0.5pp $162 +1.0pp $127

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1301 E Muir Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 2.0 1236 $1,600 $1.29 22d 1 0.33mi
2034 John B Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 920 $1,261 $1.37 44d 1 0.47mi
1019 E Hayes Ave Unit 1032331P Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1033 $5,301 $5.13 2d 1 0.50mi
1211 E Bernhard Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 721 $1,500 $2.08 25d 1 0.54mi
19995 Goddard St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1292 $1,400 $1.08 22d 1 0.54mi
1326 E Evelyn Ave Unit 1032332P Hazel Park, MI 3.0 2.0 1097 $6,364 $5.80 0d 1 0.65mi
1621 E Evelyn Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 749 $1,295 $1.73 19d 1 0.66mi
21516 Dequindre Rd Warren, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 837 $1,375 $1.64 22d 1 0.70mi
20255 Harned St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,374 $1.37 17d 1 0.70mi
19703 Keating St Highland Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 17d 1 0.74mi
21155 Warner Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 756 $1,029 $1.36 25d 1 0.75mi
407 E Hayes Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,750 $1.75 25d 1 0.76mi
429 E Milton Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 2.0 1075 $1,595 $1.48 0d 1 0.77mi
18882 Marx St Highland Park, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 44d 1 0.88mi
19694 Gallagher St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 16d 1 0.96mi
155 W George Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 725 $1,000 $1.38 25d 1 0.97mi
1731 E Pearl Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 844 $1,500 $1.78 21d 1 0.98mi
18629 Fleming St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 900 $1,150 $1.28 25d 1 1.05mi
20000 Norwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1150 $1,200 $1.04 25d 1 1.06mi
18551 Saint Aubin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 962 $1,200 $1.25 17d 1 1.08mi
18503 Riopelle St Highland Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1254 $1,250 $1.00 6d 1 1.09mi
19360 Revere St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,250 $1.19 25d 1 1.14mi
19450 Norwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 6d 1 1.15mi
90 W Meyers Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 831 $1,800 $2.17 25d 1 1.15mi
19930 Binder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 17d 1 1.22mi
18666 Joseph Campau St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 17d 1 1.23mi
1561 E Webster St Ferndale, MI 2.0 1.0 939 $1,600 $1.70 25d 1 1.24mi
18084 Goddard St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 790 $1,050 $1.33 17d 1 1.28mi
23077 Davey Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 933 $1,895 $2.03 25d 1 1.31mi
23115 Tawas Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 706 $1,375 $1.95 25d 1 1.42mi
404 W Golden Gate Highland Park, MI 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,100 $1.05 44d 1 1.42mi
406 W Goldengate St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,100 $1.05 44d 1 1.43mi
266 W Goulson Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 942 $1,600 $1.70 22d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $135,000 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    remarks 498-char remark
  4. 2026-06-17
    listed $135,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,803 · $150/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,941 · $162/mo
Expected delta
+$138/yr (+$12/mo · 7.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,887
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$1,803
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,351
− Management
−$1,351
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$218
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$52
After-tax cash flow
$2,315/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,049
Household income
$38,404
Rent vs Own
48.7% rent · 51.3% own
Severe rent burden
1192.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -90.13%
Current HPI
297.0176
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+512.2% since first listed
31 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $135,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-17 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-17 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-07-16 Listed $105,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-07-16 Listed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-04-10 Rental Removed $1,500 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-03-13 Listed for Rent $1,500 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-03-13 Rental Removed $1,500 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-03-11 Listed for Rent $1,500 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-01-31 Sold (MLS) $84,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-01-31 Sold (MLS) $84,500 REALCOMP
  • 2023-12-04 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-11-20 Price Changed $89,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-11-10 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-11-08 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-11-04 Price Changed $109,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-10-12 Listed $112,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-10-12 Listed $89,999 REALCOMP
  • 2023-10-11 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-10-11 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2023-09-13 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-09-13 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2023-09-13 Listed $112,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-09-07 Listed $112,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-08-09 Sold (MLS) $45,200 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-08-09 Sold (MLS) $45,200 REALCOMP
  • 2023-07-11 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-07-11 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2023-06-20 Listed $22,050 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-06-20 Listed $22,050 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,803 · +75.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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