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6620 E State Road 10
B- Composite 68.55
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$153,400

6620 E State Road 10 · Bass Lake, IN 46534
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,536 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 290 Days on market
Built 1976 0.50 ac lot $100/sqft · 45% below area Est $279k · 45% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Two bedroom, two bath fixer upper home with a detached two car garage sitting on a half acre near Bass Lake. Just over 1,500 sq. ft. of living space ready for updating and some finishing. Electrical work recently completed. Great potential available with this home.

Key facts

  • Half acre
  • Detached garage
  • 0.5 acre lot

Tags

DETACHED GARAGEHALF ACREELECTRICAL WORK COMPLETED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $153k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $430 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $153k).
  • Recommended offer: $135k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.5% in Bass Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#494 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Culver Community Schools Corporation (rural): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #236 of 301 in IN (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Culver Elementary School (math 47% / reading 37%, grade F, #434 of 994 statewide, top 48%, 415 students, 63% FRL); Culver Community Middle/High Sch (math 18% / reading 32%, grade F, #323 of 369 statewide, top 88%, 425 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 47% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Starke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Starke County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 290 days — a 12% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 13 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $153k implies a 105% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $134,992 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 290 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
9.66%
Cash-on-cash
12.01%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$279,164
List price
$153,400
Delta
-45.05%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6506 E Dana Dr 0.33mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,408 (-8%) 23mo $305,000 $217 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.5%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$2,486
Equity at exit
$22,872
10-year hold
IRR
11.1%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$37,286
Equity at exit
$13,263

Cash invested: $42,952 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46534

Home prices YoY
-19.2%
Active inventory
146
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,765 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$804
Tax from tax record
$96 /mo · $1,157/yr
Insurance
$64
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$371
Net cashflow
$430

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,221
Max offer price $153,400
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $517 -5% $473 +0% $430 +5% $386 +10% $343
Rent -10% $290 -5% $360 +0% $430 +5% $500 +10% $569
Rate -1.0pp $507 -0.5pp $469 base $430 +0.5pp $390 +1.0pp $350

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,350
Closing costs
$4,602
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 42 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $153,400 Active 290 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $153,400 Active 288 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $153,400 Active 287 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $153,400 Active 286 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $153,400 Active 285 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $153,400 Active 284 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $153,400 Active 282 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $153,400 Active 281 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $153,400 Active 278 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $153,400 Active 277 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $153,400 Active 276 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $153,400 Active 275 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $153,400 Active 271 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $153,400 Active 270 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $153,400 Active 269 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    pricedays on market $153,400 Active 268 DOM
  17. 2026-02-04
    status Active 265-char remark
    Show marketing remark (265 chars)

    Two bedroom, two bath fixer upper home with a detached two car garage sitting on a half acre near Bass Lake. Just over 1,500 sq. ft. of living space ready for updating and some finishing. Electrical work recently completed. Great potential available with this home.

  18. 2026-01-11
    historical Active Under Contract 265-char remark
    Show marketing remark (265 chars)

    Two bedroom, two bath fixer upper home with a detached two car garage sitting on a half acre near Bass Lake. Just over 1,500 sq. ft. of living space ready for updating and some finishing. Electrical work recently completed. Great potential available with this home.

  19. 2025-09-04
    listed $159,900 Active 265-char remark
    Show marketing remark (265 chars)

    Two bedroom, two bath fixer upper home with a detached two car garage sitting on a half acre near Bass Lake. Just over 1,500 sq. ft. of living space ready for updating and some finishing. Electrical work recently completed. Great potential available with this home.

  20. 2024-06-19
    historical
  21. 2024-06-19
    historical
  22. 2021-10-06
    soldstatus $75,000
  23. 2021-07-06
    listed $84,900
  24. 2014-09-09
    historical
  25. 2012-10-13
    historical
  26. 2012-07-23
    soldstatus $70,000
  27. 2012-07-13
    soldstatus $70,000
  28. 2012-07-13
    soldstatus $70,000
  29. 2012-07-13
    soldstatus $70,000
  30. 2012-06-06
    listed $75,000
  31. 2012-06-06
    listed $75,000
  32. 2012-06-06
    listed $75,000
  33. 2012-02-11
    historical
  34. 2011-10-12
    listed $78,000
  35. 2011-08-10
    listed $89,000
  36. 2009-11-03
    soldstatus $81,500
  37. 2009-10-30
    soldstatus $81,500
  38. 2009-02-22
    listed $84,900
  39. 2009-02-21
    listed $84,900
  40. 2008-06-26
    listed $89,900
  41. 2004-02-07
    listed $95,000
  42. 2004-02-07
    listed $95,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,157 · $96/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,231 · $103/mo
Expected delta
+$73/yr (+$6/mo · 6.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,184
− Mortgage interest
−$8,593
− Property taxes
−$1,157
− Insurance
−$767
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,695
− Management
−$1,695
− Depreciation
−$4,463
Taxable income
$2,815
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$676
After-tax cash flow
$4,482/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Culver Community Schools Corporation
NCES district ID
1802520
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,718
Composite
26.41/100
National rank
#7227
State rank
#236 of 301 in IN

Livability — Bass Lake

Score
61/100
State rank
#494
US rank
#17594

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bass Lake, IN
Population (ZIP)
11,029

Population outlook (Starke County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,860 people
By 2030
21,024 · -3.8%
By 2040
19,041 · -12.9%
By 2050
16,881 · -22.8%
By 2075
11,880 · -45.7%
By 2100
7,217 · -67.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Starke

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.2% · R 75.3% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-55.3pp toward R · 2008: 3.2pp · 2024: -52.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.0 2020: R+46.8 2016: R+42.0 2012: R+10.6 2008: D+3.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.15%
Current HPI
244.2216
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+68.3% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-04 Relisted NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-11 Contingent NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-04 Listed $159,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-19 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-19 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-10-06 Sold (MLS) $75,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-07-06 Listed $84,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-09-09 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-10-13 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2012-07-13 Sold (MLS) $70,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-07-13 Sold (MLS) $70,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-07-13 Sold (MLS) $70,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-06-06 Listed $75,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-06-06 Listed $75,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-06-06 Listed $75,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-02-11 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-10-12 Listed $78,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-08-10 Listed $89,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-11-03 Sold (MLS) $81,500 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $81,500 Public Records
  • 2009-02-22 Listed $84,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-02-21 Listed $84,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-06-26 Listed $89,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-02-07 Listed $95,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-02-07 Listed $95,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+28.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,157 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…