20050 Joann St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.2/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
WELL KEPT RENTED PROPERTY. LOCATED NEAR EIGHT MILE AND SCHOENHERR ST ON DETROIT EAST SIDE. START MAKING MONEY SINCE CLOSING WITH OUR CURRENT LOCATION AT THIS LOCATION THAT HAS BEEN THERE SINCE JANUARY 2024 PAYING $1000 A MONTH.
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Built 1942
- Listed 89 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $693 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $47k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.0% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 376 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 32y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.72% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 59.51%
- DSCR
- 3.65
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $50,637
- List price
- $49,900
- Delta
- -1.46%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20300 Hickory St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 918 (+6%) | 1mo | $31,000 | $34 | 80 |
| 20218 Hickory St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 930 (+7%) | 1mo | $26,000 | $28 | 80 |
| 13452 Tacoma St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (+4%) | 1mo | $69,072 | $77 | 79 |
| 20543 Waltham St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 890 (+2%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $56 | 78 |
| 20218 Goulburn St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 965 (+11%) | 1mo | $12,000 | $12 | 71 |
| 13046 Sherman Ave | 0.58mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 870 (+0%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $138 | 66 |
| 19730 Goulburn St | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 | 977 (+13%) | 1mo | $114,000 | $117 | 62 |
| 12416 Vernon Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 944 (+9%) | 2mo | $128,000 | $136 | 56 |
| 19170 Schoenherr St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 797 (-8%) | 0mo | $25,500 | $32 | 56 |
| 20541 Barlow St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 980 (+13%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $61 | 53 |
| 19161 Hamburg St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+11%) | 2mo | $116,000 | $121 | 47 |
| 20091 Annott St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 747 (-14%) | 1mo | $12,800 | $17 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.42×
- Total profit
- $33,842
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 60.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.55×
- Total profit
- $77,566
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48205
- Home prices YoY
- -28.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 376
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,356 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$96 /mo · $1,146/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $693
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $721 | -5% $707 | +0% $693 | +5% $679 | +10% $665 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $586 | -5% $639 | +0% $693 | +5% $746 | +10% $800 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $718 | -0.5pp $706 | base $693 | +0.5pp $680 | +1.0pp $667 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20027 Alcoy St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,349 | $1.35 | 18d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 20242 Hickory St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 747 | $1,300 | $1.74 | 12d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 20227 Pelkey St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $1,350 | $1.39 | 18d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 20215 Schoenherr St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 18d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 20296 Waltham St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 986 | $1,300 | $1.32 | 18d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 20091 Barlow St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,300 | $1.40 | 18d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 12807 Coleen Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 12846 Georgiana Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,300 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 20553 Hamburg St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1074 | $1,300 | $1.21 | 4d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 13501 Vernon Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 13669 Pfent St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1031 | $1,374 | $1.33 | 18d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 19220 Alcoy St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 18d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 14068 Carlisle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,300 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 19170 Joann St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,400 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 19143 Fairport St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,225 | $1.14 | 18d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 21412 Waltham Rd Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,225 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 13050 Couwlier Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,350 | $1.59 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 18703 Waltham St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 18624 Fairport St Unit NA Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,450 | $1.57 | 25d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 18624 Fairport St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $1,450 | $1.66 | 22d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 18681 Barlow St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1041 | $1,400 | $1.34 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,099 | $1.77 | 18d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,099 | $1.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 14461 Lappin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 989 | $1,150 | $1.16 | 18d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 18119 Joann St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 11228 Sherman Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 13d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 22852 Sharrow Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 5d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 11319 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,500 | $1.54 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 17851 Strasburg St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,100 | $1.02 | 18d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 11236 Studebaker Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,175 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 11513 Greiner St Unit 11521 Greiner Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $49,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $49,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $52,500 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $52,500 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $52,500 Active 69 DOM
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2026-04-29price $52,500 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
WELL KEPT RENTED PROPERTY. LOCATED NEAR EIGHT MILE AND SCHOENHERR ST ON DETROIT EAST SIDE. START MAKING MONEY SINCE CLOSING WITH OUR CURRENT LOCATION AT THIS LOCATION THAT HAS BEEN THERE SINCE JANUARY 2024 PAYING $1000 A MONTH.
-
2026-04-28price $52,500 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
WELL KEPT RENTED PROPERTY. LOCATED NEAR EIGHT MILE AND SCHOENHERR ST ON DETROIT EAST SIDE. START MAKING MONEY SINCE CLOSING WITH OUR CURRENT LOCATION AT THIS LOCATION THAT HAS BEEN THERE SINCE JANUARY 2024 PAYING $1000 A MONTH.
-
2026-03-18$54,900 Active 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
WELL KEPT RENTED PROPERTY. LOCATED NEAR EIGHT MILE AND SCHOENHERR ST ON DETROIT EAST SIDE. START MAKING MONEY SINCE CLOSING WITH OUR CURRENT LOCATION AT THIS LOCATION THAT HAS BEEN THERE SINCE JANUARY 2024 PAYING $1000 A MONTH.
-
2026-03-18$54,900 Active 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
WELL KEPT RENTED PROPERTY. LOCATED NEAR EIGHT MILE AND SCHOENHERR ST ON DETROIT EAST SIDE. START MAKING MONEY SINCE CLOSING WITH OUR CURRENT LOCATION AT THIS LOCATION THAT HAS BEEN THERE SINCE JANUARY 2024 PAYING $1000 A MONTH.
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2022-08-09soldstatus $88,000
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2018-04-03soldstatus $5,000 Sold
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2018-03-05status Pending
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2018-03-05status Pending
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2018-03-01status Active
-
2018-03-01status Active
-
2018-02-26status Pending
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2018-02-26status Pending
-
2018-02-19$5,000 Active
-
2018-02-19$5,000 Active
-
1998-09-29soldstatus $40,000
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1998-07-30soldstatus $25,500
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1997-10-30soldstatus $26,900
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1994-08-23soldstatus $16,000
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1994-08-19soldstatus $26,900
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1994-08-12soldstatus $16,000
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1994-05-25$23,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,146 · $96/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,146 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,266
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$1,146
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,301
- − Management
- −$1,301
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $8,021
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,925
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,389/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,187
- Household income
- $38,966
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2121.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.80%
- Current HPI
- 235.0926
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+119.7% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $52,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $52,500 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-18 Listed $54,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-18 Listed $54,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
- 2018-04-03 Sold (MLS) $5,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-03-05 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-03-05 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2018-03-01 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-03-01 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2018-02-26 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-02-26 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2018-02-19 Listed $5,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-02-19 Listed $5,000 REALCOMP
- 1998-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 1998-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $25,500 Public Records
- 1997-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $26,900 Public Records
- 1994-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
- 1994-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $26,900 Public Records
- 1994-08-12 Sold (MLS) $16,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1994-05-25 Listed $23,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,146 · -53.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…