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309 Wheatridge Dr
B Composite 70.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,000

309 Wheatridge Dr · Clovis, NM 88101
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · SingleFamily · 33 Days on market
Built 1975 1.02 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

2 bedroom, 2 bathroom mobile home situated on 1 acre with plenty of room to spread out. This property offers a spacious layout, a large 24x24 detached garage/shop, and ample outdoor space for storage, hobbies, or future possibilities. A great opportunity for those looking for extra space both inside and out.

Key facts

  • Outdoor space
  • Detached garage
  • 1.02 acre lot

Tags

DETACHED GARAGEOUTDOOR SPACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; One covered parking space; One total parking space
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Propane available
  • Home design: Manufactured on land (residential); Single-story (manufactured style)
  • Construction: Manufactured construction
  • Exterior features: Shed(s) on the property; Approximately 1.02-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in range; Oven; Range hood
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Wood stove heating; Window air conditioning unit(s)
  • Interior features: One wood-burning stove fireplace; Dryer and Washer included; Range hood, Built-in range, Oven; Gas water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $497 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
  • Recommended offer: $67k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#171 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Clovis Municipal Schools (town): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #13 of 29 in NM (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 464 active listings in the ZIP; 169 units permitted in Curry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Curry County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $66,930 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.79%
Cap rate
14.93%
Cash-on-cash
30.86%
DSCR
2.37
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.54% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.5%
Equity multiple
2.23×
Total profit
$23,709
Equity at exit
$10,288
10-year hold
IRR
37.4%
Equity multiple
4.90×
Total profit
$75,425
Equity at exit
$5,966

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 88101

Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
464
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,232 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax est. 1.5%
$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$259
Net cashflow
$497

Break-even live

Break-even rent $604
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $544 -5% $521 +0% $497 +5% $473 +10% $449
Rent -10% $399 -5% $448 +0% $497 +5% $545 +10% $594
Rate -1.0pp $532 -0.5pp $514 base $497 +0.5pp $479 +1.0pp $461

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $69,000 Active 33 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,000 Active 32 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,000 Active 31 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    price $69,000 Active 30 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $75,000 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $75,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 23 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 22 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 17 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 16 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 15 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 14 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $75,000 Active 13 DOM
  17. 2026-05-17
    listed $75,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,790
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$1,035
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,183
− Management
−$1,183
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$5,171
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,241
After-tax cash flow
$4,721/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clovis Municipal Schools
NCES district ID
3500570
Math proficiency
31% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 14.00%
Median HH income
$40,532
Composite
33.52/100
National rank
#5435
State rank
#13 of 29 in NM

Livability — Clovis

Score
56/100
State rank
#171
US rank
#22374

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Curry County · 44,846 people
City population
44,846
Metro
Clovis, NM
Population (ZIP)
44,846
Household income
$56,587
Rent vs Own
38.2% rent · 61.8% own
Severe rent burden
1724.0

Population outlook (Curry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,742 people
By 2030
47,759 · -2.0%
By 2040
45,444 · -6.8%
By 2050
42,403 · -13.0%
By 2075
33,878 · -30.5%
By 2100
22,414 · -54.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 47% White 42% Two or more races 14% Black 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 36%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 25%

Political lean MEDSL · Curry

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.6) · D 27.8% · R 70.4% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: -34.1pp · 2024: -42.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.6 2020: R+40.6 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+38.6 2008: R+34.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -150.79%
Current HPI
121.1877
Rent YoY
▲ 5.54%
Metro
Clovis, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Listed $75,000 NMMLS

Property tax history

-27.6%/yr

Latest (2018): $6 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…