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270 Comstock Ave
B Composite 74.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

270 Comstock Ave · Buffalo, NY 14215
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,765 sqft · Townhouse public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1926 3,898 sqft lot Est $194k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits at 270 Comstock Ave! Located just minutes from the University at Buffalo South Campus, this two-unit property offers tremendous potential for investors, contractors, flippers, or owner-occupants looking to build equity. Conveniently situated near shopping, restaurants, public transportation, and local entertainment, the location provides strong appeal for future tenants and homeowners alike. The lower unit features 2 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, a spacious living room, and a formal dining room. The upper unit offers 1 bedroom and 1 full bathroom. Both units are currently vacant, providing flexibility for renovations, rental opportunities, or owner occupancy. This property r

Key facts

  • Multi family home
  • Two unit property
  • Vacant units

Tags

TWO UNIT PROPERTYVACANT UNITSSIGNIFICANT REPAIRSMULTI FAMILY HOMEVALUABLE INVESTMENT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Tenant pays all utilities; Property contains 2 total units; Separate single gas meter and single electric meter for the property

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached or detached 2-car garage; Paved parking
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-story home; Aluminum siding; Asphalt roof; Existing construction
  • Construction: Block foundation; Built previously (existing)
  • Exterior features: Patio; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot (approximately 37 x 103); City street frontage

Interior

  • Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Full basement; Fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $510 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: International School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,048 of 2,108 statewide, top 97%, 981 students, 92% FRL); Hutchinson Central Technical High School (math 96% / reading 32%, grade B-, #807 of 1,100 statewide, top 73%, 1,175 students, 78% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 239 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $124,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
11.20%
Cash-on-cash
17.51%
DSCR
1.78
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$194,150
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
131 Hewitt Ave 0.14mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,706 (-3%) 23mo $180,000 $106 63
151 Parkridge Ave 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,771 (+0%) 23mo $195,000 $110 57
481 Winspear Ave 0.57mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,844 (+4%) 17mo $210,000 $114 46
717 Lasalle Ave 0.64mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,617 (-8%) 10mo $230,000 $142 43
570 Eggert Rd 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,578 (-11%) 20mo $151,000 $96 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.5%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$8,593
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
13.8%
Equity multiple
2.00×
Total profit
$34,962
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14215

Home prices YoY
-30.0%
Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
239
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,577 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$28 /mo · $339/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$331
Net cashflow
$510

Break-even live

Break-even rent $931
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $581 -5% $546 +0% $510 +5% $475 +10% $440
Rent -10% $386 -5% $448 +0% $510 +5% $573 +10% $635
Rate -1.0pp $573 -0.5pp $542 base $510 +0.5pp $478 +1.0pp $445

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
263 Minnesota Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1242 $1,500 $1.21 16d 1 0.18mi
222 Lisbon Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,400 $1.00 45d 1 0.29mi
222 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,400 $1.08 25d 1 0.29mi
59 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2521 $1,250 $0.50 25d 1 0.51mi
89 Lasalle Ave Buffalo, NY 1.0–4.0 1.0–4.0 1024 $2,291 $2.24 3d 10 0.51mi
25 Parkridge Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1914 $1,350 $0.71 16d 1 0.61mi
60 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,650 $1.18 3d 1 0.79mi
91 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 2500 $2,000 $0.80 3d 1 0.86mi
102 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 2426 $2,750 $1.13 3d 1 0.86mi
63 Montrose Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 2240 $2,000 $0.89 3d 1 0.94mi
163 Carmel Rd Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,800 $1.29 4d 1 1.14mi
91 Springville Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 2.0 1660 $2,350 $1.42 25d 1 1.20mi
153 Springville Ave Unit Lower Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 2216 $1,475 $0.67 45d 1 1.32mi
110 Gerald Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 2098 $1,100 $0.52 25d 1 1.36mi
71 Gerald Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1773 $1,100 $0.62 45d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $124,900 Pending 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,900 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-15
    listed $124,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$339 · $28/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,225 · $102/mo
Expected delta
+$886/yr (+$74/mo · 261.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,920
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$339
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,514
− Management
−$1,514
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$4,299
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,032
After-tax cash flow
$5,091/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
42,524
Household income
$44,955
Rent vs Own
50.0% rent · 50.0% own
Severe rent burden
2873.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (67%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 67% White 15% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -126.29%
Current HPI
295.2966
Rent YoY
▲ 0.67%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Listed $124,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $339 · +67.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…