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406 Juniper St 🏷️ Likely Rental
C Composite 57.73
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

406 Juniper St · Versailles, PA 15132
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,344 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 295 Days on market
Built 1966 6,599 sqft lot Est $151k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

LARGE ENCLOSED PORCH CONVENIENT LOCATION TENANT OCCUPIED

Key facts

  • Cozy gas fireplace
  • Formal dining room
  • Large living room

Tags

TWO STORY BRICK HOMELARGE LIVING ROOMCOZY GAS FIREPLACEFORMAL DINING ROOMDIRECT ACCESS TO BACKYARDHARDWOOD FLOORS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Public transportation nearby

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; Built-in parking (total listed as 1)
  • Utilities: Public water service; Public sewer service
  • Home design: 2-story brick house; Resale property
  • Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Home warranty included
  • Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer; Lot approximately 0.1515 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Stove; Microwave; Refrigerator; Some gas appliances
  • Bedrooms: Upper-level bedrooms (two listed at 9x12 and one at 9x12; another upper room 10x13 listed without type)
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Unfinished walk-up basement; Gas fireplace in the living/family room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $110,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$150,528) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $143 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#318 in PA, #2,831 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety D+, employment F.
  • Mckeesport Area SD (suburban): math 11% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #499 of 539 in PA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Founders Hall Middle Sch (math 2% / reading 26%, grade F, #480 of 512 statewide, top 94%, 695 students, 100% FRL); Mckeesport Area Shs (math 22% / reading 30%, grade F, #372 of 437 statewide, top 86%, 1,045 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 66% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 114 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 295 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $110k implies a 84% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $96,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 295 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
7.85%
Cash-on-cash
5.57%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$150,528
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
406 Juniper St 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,344 (0%) 1mo $100,000 $74 97
731 North Ln 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,350 (+0%) 3mo $65,000 $48 80
4727 Penn Way 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,299 (-3%) 5mo $144,900 $112 79
5014 3rd St 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,280 (-5%) 5mo $144,900 $113 73
528 Chestnut St 0.38mi 3/2.5 1,350 (+0%) 7mo $170,000 $126 72
4605 2nd St 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,504 (+12%) 8mo $54,000 $36 65
5003 1st St 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,397 (+4%) 7mo $8,500 $6 65
417 Beckman Dr 0.63mi 3/1.5 1,300 (-3%) 1mo $200,000 $154 64
428 Greenwood Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,222 (-9%) 2mo $139,900 $114 61
302 Howe St 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,320 (-2%) 8mo $218,500 $166 55
405 Lemon Ave 0.48mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,152 (-14%) 6mo $122,000 $106 42
317 36th St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,158 (-14%) 3mo $25,500 $22 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.7%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-8,698
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
1.9%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$4,227
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15132

Home prices YoY
-32.9%
Active inventory
114
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,145 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$139 /mo · $1,663/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$240
Net cashflow
$143

Break-even live

Break-even rent $964
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $205 -5% $174 +0% $143 +5% $112 +10% $81
Rent -10% $53 -5% $98 +0% $143 +5% $188 +10% $233
Rate -1.0pp $198 -0.5pp $171 base $143 +0.5pp $115 +1.0pp $86

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4719 3rd St Unit 2 McKeesport, PA 3.0 1.0 1200 $975 $0.81 45d 1 0.12mi
5015 Walnut St Unit 1 McKeesport, PA 2.0 1.0 980 $950 $0.97 45d 1 0.26mi
913 Center St McKeesport, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0 900 $1,010 $1.12 0d 7 0.64mi
3211 Walnut St McKeesport, PA 4.0 1.0 1434 $1,500 $1.05 9d 1 0.89mi
2408 McCarrell St McKeesport, PA 4.0 1.0 1430 $1,195 $0.84 25d 1 1.20mi
152 Royal Oak Dr White Oak, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 930 $1,445 $1.55 3d 9 1.34mi
1300 Virginia Ave Apt 107 McKeesport, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 45d 1 1.37mi
3506 Mayfair St Unit B McKeesport, PA 2.0 1.0 948 $1,200 $1.27 45d 1 1.41mi
311-313 24th St McKeesport, PA 2.0 1.0 950 $900 $0.95 45d 1 1.42mi
3710 Mayfair St McKeesport, PA 3.0 1.5 1314 $1,095 $0.83 5d 1 1.47mi
2618 Poinsettia Dr White Oak, PA 4.0 1.0 1225 $1,599 $1.31 25d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-05-21
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-14
    historical Contingent
  3. 2026-04-08
    price $110,000
  4. 2026-03-25
    status Active
  5. 2026-03-06
    historical Contingent
  6. 2025-11-27
    price $115,000
  7. 2025-10-18
    price $120,000
  8. 2025-09-17
    status Active
  9. 2025-08-22
    historical Contingent
  10. 2025-07-30
    listed $125,000 Active
  11. 2001-11-01
    soldstatus $59,900
  12. 2001-10-31
    soldstatus $59,900 56-char remark
    Show marketing remark (56 chars)

    LARGE ENCLOSED PORCH CONVENIENT LOCATION TENANT OCCUPIED

  13. 2001-01-19
    listed $59,900 56-char remark
    Show marketing remark (56 chars)

    LARGE ENCLOSED PORCH CONVENIENT LOCATION TENANT OCCUPIED

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,663 · $139/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,701 · $142/mo
Expected delta
+$37/yr (+$3/mo · 2.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,736
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,663
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,099
− Management
−$1,099
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable loss
−$37
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$9
After-tax cash flow
$1,725/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mckeesport Area SD
NCES district ID
4214940
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$33,779
Composite
15.88/100
National rank
#9257
State rank
#499 of 539 in PA

Livability — Versailles

Score
77/100
State rank
#318
US rank
#2831

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Versailles, PA
County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
18,898
Household income
$35,397
Rent vs Own
49.0% rent · 51.0% own
Severe rent burden
1239.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 35% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Serbian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.01%
Current HPI
145.195
Rent YoY
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+83.6% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2026-04-14 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $110,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-03-25 Relisted West Penn MLS
  • 2026-03-06 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2025-11-27 Price Changed $115,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-10-18 Price Changed $120,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-09-17 Relisted West Penn MLS
  • 2025-08-22 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2025-07-30 Listed $125,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2001-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records
  • 2001-10-31 Sold (MLS) $59,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2001-01-19 Listed $59,900 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,663 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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