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3201 Wilmington Rd
B- Composite 67.47
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

3201 Wilmington Rd · Montgomery, AL 36105
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,086 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 77 Days on market
Built 1940 0.30 ac lot $34/sqft · 57% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* * Investor Special with Massive Upside – 3 Bed / 2 Bath – 2,086 Sq Ft * * Opportunity awaits at * * 3201 Wilmington Road * * . This spacious * * 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 2,086 square feet * * is packed with potential and ready for the right buyer to bring it back to life. Inside, you’ll find generous living space and a * * floored attic that could easily be converted into additional living area * * , adding even more square footage and value. The property sits on a * * large backyard * * and includes a * * detached workshop that could be transformed into the perfect man cave, she shed, studio, or flex space * * . With * * power already on * * , you can skip the hassle of utility reconnection and start renovations right away. The home does need some * * TLC * * , but the upside is undeniable. * * Comparable homes in the area are selling around $150K * * , making this an excellent opportunity for investors or buyers looking to build equity. Whether you're planning a flip, rental, or personal project, this property offers * * space, flexibility, and strong upside potential * * . * * Bring your vision and unlock the possibilities. * * ---

Key facts

  • Power already on
  • Large backyard
  • Detached workshop

Tags

FLOORED ATTICDETACHED WORKSHOPLARGE BACKYARDPOWER ALREADY ON

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $692 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
  • Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $65,706 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.01%
Cap rate
18.17%
Cash-on-cash
42.43%
DSCR
2.89
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$161,870
List price
$69,900
Delta
-56.82%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3357 Wilmington Rd 0.23mi 3/2.0 2,064 (-1%) 2mo $165,000 $80 86
3155 Wilmington Rd 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,937 (-7%) 6mo $148,000 $76 82
3134 S Hull St 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,830 (-12%) 2mo $115,000 $63 72
3455 Wellington Rd 0.36mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,038 (-2%) 3mo $100,000 $49 72
25 Arlington Rd 0.42mi 3/2.0 2,231 (+7%) 0mo $57,500 $26 68
3370 Lexington Rd 0.28mi 3/2.0 2,265 (+9%) 6mo $238,900 $105 68
3237 Cloverdale Rd 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,954 (-6%) 2mo $240,000 $123 64
3504 Cloverdale Rd 0.70mi 3/2.0 2,149 (+3%) 2mo $39,500 $18 60
3356 Cloverdale Rd 0.52mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,966 (-6%) 1mo $229,000 $116 60
737 Park Ave 0.51mi 3/2.5 2,274 (+9%) 3mo $305,100 $134 57
3469 Wellington Rd 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,782 (-15%) 3mo $49,900 $28 56
3374 Gilmer Ave 0.31mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,348 (+13%) 5mo $56,000 $24 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.1%
Equity multiple
2.67×
Total profit
$32,730
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
45.5%
Equity multiple
5.35×
Total profit
$85,177
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36105

Home prices YoY
-32.6%
Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,404 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$21 /mo · $254/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$295
Net cashflow
$692

Break-even live

Break-even rent $528
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 46%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3235 Norman Bridge Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1873 $900 $0.48 44d 1 0.13mi
3304 Gilmer Ave Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 2009 $1,400 $0.70 21d 1 0.23mi
139 Mount Vernon Dr Unit A Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.5 1700 $1,000 $0.59 44d 1 0.26mi
1919 Norman Bridge Ct Unit 1043838P Montgomery, AL 4.0 3.0 1539 $4,108 $2.67 44d 1 0.29mi
3386 Lexington Rd Unit B Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1950 $900 $0.46 21d 1 0.31mi
3256 Montezuma Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1515 $1,450 $0.96 44d 1 0.32mi
428 Thorn Pl Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1549 $1,450 $0.94 44d 1 0.33mi
519 Thorn Pl Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1632 $650 $0.40 21d 1 0.39mi
3485 Wellington Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 2437 $1,395 $0.57 21d 1 0.41mi
334 Felder Ave Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 2223 $2,395 $1.08 44d 1 0.53mi
3544 Southmont Dr Montgomery, AL 4.0 1.5 1774 $1,300 $0.73 21d 1 0.72mi
1259 S Lawrence St Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1728 $1,300 $0.75 44d 1 0.79mi
3543 Berkley Dr Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 2067 $1,575 $0.76 14d 1 0.81mi
3510 Bankhead Ave Montgomery, AL 3.0 3.0 2210 $2,250 $1.02 44d 1 0.87mi
1314 S Court St Montgomery, AL 2.0 2.0 1650 $1,495 $0.91 14d 1 0.92mi
1121 Felder Ave Unit 1043909P Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.5 2647 $3,152 $1.19 21d 1 0.93mi
3556 Princeton Rd Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 2718 $1,200 $0.44 21d 1 0.93mi
1355 Magnolia Curv Montgomery, AL 3.0 3.0 2260 $1,800 $0.80 14d 1 0.97mi
1020 S Lawrence St Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1711 $2,000 $1.17 14d 1 0.99mi
22 W Cromwell St Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1645 $1,350 $0.82 21d 1 1.08mi
1425 Blairwood Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1700 $1,850 $1.09 14d 1 1.10mi
1450 Crenshaw Pl S Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1641 $1,775 $1.08 44d 1 1.10mi
3708 Princeton Rd Montgomery, AL 2.0 2.0 1749 $900 $0.51 21d 1 1.18mi
2043 Hazel Hedge Ln Montgomery, AL 4.0 3.0 2001 $1,650 $0.82 14d 1 1.18mi
3616 Gaston Ave Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1629 $1,300 $0.80 44d 1 1.19mi
3720 Stanley Dr Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1719 $1,650 $0.96 21d 1 1.20mi
1437 Beaumont Dr Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 2029 $1,500 $0.74 44d 1 1.33mi
2226 Carter Hill Rd Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1506 $905 $0.60 44d 1 1.37mi
1067 Roslyn Dr Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1760 $1,125 $0.64 21d 1 1.43mi
2045 Bullard St Unit 1043526P Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1797 $2,198 $1.22 44d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,900 Active 77 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 76 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 75 DOM
  4. 2026-05-30
    days on market $69,900 Active 74 DOM
  5. 2026-05-13
    status Active 1221-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1221 chars)

    * * Investor Special with Massive Upside – 3 Bed / 2 Bath – 2,086 Sq Ft * * Opportunity awaits at * * 3201 Wilmington Road * * . This spacious * * 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 2,086 square feet * * is packed with potential and ready for the right buyer to bring it back to life. Inside, you’ll find generous living space and a * * floored attic that could easily be converted into additional living area * * , adding even more square footage and value. The property sits on a * * large backyard * * and includes a * * detached workshop that could be transformed into the perfect man cave, she shed, studio, or flex space * * . With * * power already on * * , you can skip the hassle of utility reconnection and start renovations right away. The home does need some * * TLC * * , but the upside is undeniable. * * Comparable homes in the area are selling around $150K * * , making this an excellent opportunity for investors or buyers looking to build equity. Whether you're planning a flip, rental, or personal project, this property offers * * space, flexibility, and strong upside potential * * . * * Bring your vision and unlock the possibilities. * * ---

  6. 2026-05-11
    historical Contingent 1221-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1221 chars)

    * * Investor Special with Massive Upside – 3 Bed / 2 Bath – 2,086 Sq Ft * * Opportunity awaits at * * 3201 Wilmington Road * * . This spacious * * 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 2,086 square feet * * is packed with potential and ready for the right buyer to bring it back to life. Inside, you’ll find generous living space and a * * floored attic that could easily be converted into additional living area * * , adding even more square footage and value. The property sits on a * * large backyard * * and includes a * * detached workshop that could be transformed into the perfect man cave, she shed, studio, or flex space * * . With * * power already on * * , you can skip the hassle of utility reconnection and start renovations right away. The home does need some * * TLC * * , but the upside is undeniable. * * Comparable homes in the area are selling around $150K * * , making this an excellent opportunity for investors or buyers looking to build equity. Whether you're planning a flip, rental, or personal project, this property offers * * space, flexibility, and strong upside potential * * . * * Bring your vision and unlock the possibilities. * * ---

  7. 2026-04-16
    status Active 1221-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1221 chars)

    * * Investor Special with Massive Upside – 3 Bed / 2 Bath – 2,086 Sq Ft * * Opportunity awaits at * * 3201 Wilmington Road * * . This spacious * * 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 2,086 square feet * * is packed with potential and ready for the right buyer to bring it back to life. Inside, you’ll find generous living space and a * * floored attic that could easily be converted into additional living area * * , adding even more square footage and value. The property sits on a * * large backyard * * and includes a * * detached workshop that could be transformed into the perfect man cave, she shed, studio, or flex space * * . With * * power already on * * , you can skip the hassle of utility reconnection and start renovations right away. The home does need some * * TLC * * , but the upside is undeniable. * * Comparable homes in the area are selling around $150K * * , making this an excellent opportunity for investors or buyers looking to build equity. Whether you're planning a flip, rental, or personal project, this property offers * * space, flexibility, and strong upside potential * * . * * Bring your vision and unlock the possibilities. * * ---

  8. 2026-03-23
    historical Contingent 1221-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1221 chars)

    * * Investor Special with Massive Upside – 3 Bed / 2 Bath – 2,086 Sq Ft * * Opportunity awaits at * * 3201 Wilmington Road * * . This spacious * * 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 2,086 square feet * * is packed with potential and ready for the right buyer to bring it back to life. Inside, you’ll find generous living space and a * * floored attic that could easily be converted into additional living area * * , adding even more square footage and value. The property sits on a * * large backyard * * and includes a * * detached workshop that could be transformed into the perfect man cave, she shed, studio, or flex space * * . With * * power already on * * , you can skip the hassle of utility reconnection and start renovations right away. The home does need some * * TLC * * , but the upside is undeniable. * * Comparable homes in the area are selling around $150K * * , making this an excellent opportunity for investors or buyers looking to build equity. Whether you're planning a flip, rental, or personal project, this property offers * * space, flexibility, and strong upside potential * * . * * Bring your vision and unlock the possibilities. * * ---

  9. 2026-03-17
    listed $69,900 Active 1221-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1221 chars)

    * * Investor Special with Massive Upside – 3 Bed / 2 Bath – 2,086 Sq Ft * * Opportunity awaits at * * 3201 Wilmington Road * * . This spacious * * 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 2,086 square feet * * is packed with potential and ready for the right buyer to bring it back to life. Inside, you’ll find generous living space and a * * floored attic that could easily be converted into additional living area * * , adding even more square footage and value. The property sits on a * * large backyard * * and includes a * * detached workshop that could be transformed into the perfect man cave, she shed, studio, or flex space * * . With * * power already on * * , you can skip the hassle of utility reconnection and start renovations right away. The home does need some * * TLC * * , but the upside is undeniable. * * Comparable homes in the area are selling around $150K * * , making this an excellent opportunity for investors or buyers looking to build equity. Whether you're planning a flip, rental, or personal project, this property offers * * space, flexibility, and strong upside potential * * . * * Bring your vision and unlock the possibilities. * * ---

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$254 · $21/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$287 · $24/mo
Expected delta
+$33/yr (+$3/mo · 12.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,844
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$254
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,348
− Management
−$1,348
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$7,597
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,823
After-tax cash flow
$6,481/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery County
NCES district ID
0102430
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$43,902
Composite
17.24/100
National rank
#9093
State rank
#106 of 129 in AL

Livability — Montgomery

Score
65/100
State rank
#138
US rank
#13416

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Montgomery, AL
County
Montgomery County · 190,016 people
City population
175,913
Metro
Montgomery, AL
Population (ZIP)
9,207
Household income
$41,486
Rent vs Own
39.9% rent · 60.1% own
Severe rent burden
679.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
224,008 people
By 2030
221,460 · -1.1%
By 2040
214,179 · -4.4%
By 2050
204,912 · -8.5%
By 2075
177,821 · -20.6%
By 2100
145,134 · -35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (83%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 83% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -31.17%
Current HPI
64.4673
Rent YoY
Metro
Montgomery, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Relisted MAAR
  • 2026-05-11 Contingent MAAR
  • 2026-04-16 Relisted MAAR
  • 2026-03-23 Contingent MAAR
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $69,900 MAAR

Property tax history

-0.5%/yr

Latest (2019): $254 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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