1024 W Fairbanks Ave · Fairview Shores, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$213,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Prime Renovation Opportunity in Highly Desirable Orlando Location. Excellent choice for investors and contractors looking to capitalize on this value-add project located in a well-established area. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is being offered as a blank canvas, perfectly suited for a complete rehabilitation to maximize its After Repair Value (ARV). The structure features a solid 1952 foundation, offering a straightforward layout for a creative remodeling project. Situated in a prime location with significant upside potential, this property is the perfect candidate for your next Fix & Flip or long-term rental portfolio addition. Cash offers only; property requires full rehab. Bring you
Key facts
- 6,655 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1952
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential, single family; Listed as unfurnished; Direction faces: South
- Financial info: No lease restrictions reported
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Has a 1-space carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Public utilities
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces south; Property listed in fixer condition; Residential zoning (R-1A)
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Building area about 1,385 total (living area reported as 1,313)
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.15 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances reported
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Concrete
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: No notable interior features reported; Concrete flooring
- Laundry & utility: Interior laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $213k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $69 ($824/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $210k (1.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $210k (1.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.6% in Fairview Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#36 in FL, #715 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Killarney Elementary (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,709 of 2,144 statewide, top 81%, 330 students, 66% FRL); Edgewater High (math 14% / reading 46%, grade F, #441 of 667 statewide, top 67%, 2,059 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools at 59% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Orange average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 207 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.38%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $380,770
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4272 Kendrick Rd | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,289 (-2%) | 12mo | $445,000 | $345 | 73 |
| 4472 Fairview Ave | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,241 (-6%) | 4mo | $325,000 | $262 | 71 |
| 3513 Fairway Ln | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,314 (+0%) | 10mo | $400,000 | $304 | 56 |
| 4720 Goddard Ave | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 | 1,313 (0%) | 24mo | $300,000 | $228 | 45 |
| 328 Lake Fair Ln | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,485 (+13%) | 14mo | $430,000 | $290 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-34,933
- Equity at exit
- $31,759
- IRR
- -14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-43,528
- Equity at exit
- $18,416
Cash invested: $59,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32804
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 207
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,103 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,117
- Tax from tax record
- −$387 /mo · $4,646/yr
- Insurance
- −$89
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$442
- Net cashflow
- $69
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $189 | -5% $129 | +0% $69 | +5% $8 | +10% $-52 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-97 | -5% $-14 | +0% $69 | +5% $152 | +10% $235 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $176 | -0.5pp $123 | base $69 | +0.5pp $14 | +1.0pp $-43 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,250
- Closing costs
- $6,390
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1028 Canovia Ave Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1163 | $1,925 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 735 Alton Ave Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $1,800 | $1.53 | 8d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 5003 Adanson St Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 875 | $2,500 | $2.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 912 Neuse Ave Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1388 | $2,079 | $1.50 | 8d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1322 Carlson Dr Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1556 | $2,195 | $1.41 | 5d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1051 Lee Rd Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 934 | $1,284 | $1.38 | 20d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4713 Thorpe Ave Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,950 | $1.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1821 Courtland St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $2,299 | $1.61 | 15d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 814 Malone Dr Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1211 | $2,650 | $2.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2500 Lee Rd Winter Park, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $1,495 | $1.87 | 24d | 2 | 0.95mi |
| 2500 Lee Rd Winter Park, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $1,495 | $1.87 | 8d | 3 | 0.95mi |
| 5205 Eggleston Ave Unit 102 Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1219 | $1,895 | $1.55 | 15d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 722 Baltimore Dr Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $2,050 | $1.41 | 8d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 401 Niblick Way Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,675 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1700 Van Ness St Unit 5 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,899 | $2.06 | 20d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1700 Van Ness St Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,699 | $1.85 | 13d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4177 N Orange Blossom Trl #505 Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1766 | $2,450 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 4177 S Orange Blossom Trl Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1822 | $2,475 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3104 Harrison Ave Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,995 | $1.66 | 18d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3104 Harrison Ave Unit E32 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,995 | $1.66 | 18d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3219 Oberlin Ave Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $2,840 | $2.40 | 8d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 741 Clay St Winter Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 860 | $2,880 | $3.35 | 2d | 17 | 1.29mi |
| 29 W Preston St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $2,999 | $2.84 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2007 Cornell Ave Unit 1032296P Winter Park, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $2,778 | $2.81 | 2d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2918 Elizabeth Ave Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1207 | $3,100 | $2.57 | 8d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1874 Harmon Ave Winter Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 870 | $2,333 | $2.68 | 2d | 19 | 1.40mi |
| 1600 Roosevelt Ave Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1364 | $2,210 | $1.62 | 18d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1761 Indiana Ave Winter Park, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1598 | $2,795 | $1.75 | 8d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 555 W Winter Park St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 958 | $2,395 | $2.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 503 Kilshore Ln Winter Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $2,250 | $2.00 | 18d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 101 Samuel St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $1,975 | $1.25 | 18d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 225 W King St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $2,429 | $1.90 | 24d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $213,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 695-char remark
-
2026-06-17$213,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,646 · $387/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,646 · $387/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,240
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,931
- − Property taxes
- −$4,646
- − Insurance
- −$1,065
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,019
- − Management
- −$2,019
- − Depreciation
- −$6,196
- Taxable loss
- −$2,637
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$633
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,457/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orange
- NCES district ID
- 1201440
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,350
- Composite
- 41.47/100
- National rank
- #3461
- State rank
- #43 of 73 in FL
Livability — Fairview Shores
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #36
- US rank
- #715
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fairview Shores, FL
- County
- Orange County · 1,471,359 people
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,720
- Household income
- $113,231
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 667.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,618,226 people
- By 2030
- 1,787,404 · +10.5%
- By 2040
- 2,125,621 · +31.4%
- By 2050
- 2,454,016 · +51.6%
- By 2075
- 3,173,711 · +96.1%
- By 2100
- 3,607,781 · +122.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 9% Black 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -638.18%
- Current HPI
- 304.08
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.63%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-10 Listed $213,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+13.6%/yrLatest (2025): $4,646 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…