7425 Church St #76 · Yucca Valley, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$37,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover Your Desert Oasis in Yucca Valley! Retire in comfort and style in this spacious double-wide mobile home, located in a tranquil gated senior community in beautiful Yucca Valley. This charming home offers an inviting open floor plan perfect for easy living and entertaining, with plenty of natural light streaming through large windows. With two bedrooms and two baths, this home provides both comfort and convenience. The bright, spacious kitchen has ample storage, and the private covered patio is ideal for relaxing desert evenings. The low-maintenance yard offers space for gardening or simply unwinding. Community amenities include a clubhouse, pool, and planned activities to keep you
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Low maintenance yard
- Clubhouse
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Park name: Caritas Affordable Housing; Number of pads: 1; Pets: contact manager for policy; Directions: From Hwy 62 take Church St south; park entrance on the left
- Financial info: Land lease applies (approximately $699 monthly)
- HOA & community: Senior community; Rural community setting; Manager approval required for residency
Exterior
- Parking: Covered parking; Carport; On-site parking available (park name: Caritas Affordable Housing)
- Utilities: Public sewer; District / public water
- Home design: Mobile home on site (mobile home remains); Double body type; One story; Entry at main level
- Construction: Mobile home dimensions approximately 10 ft by 58 ft; Year built per public records
- Exterior features: Community pool; Paved lot access/drive
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Gas range; Dishwasher; Granite counters in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms located all on the entry/main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Evaporative cooling
- Interior features: Granite counters; Single-level home (one story); All bedrooms on the main level
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry; Has laundry hookups/appliances
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $38k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $38k).
- Recommended offer: $37k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 42.4% vs local median 3.6% in Yucca Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#566 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, schools F, crime D-.
- Morongo Unified (town): math 15% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #395 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 563 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $259 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($37k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 42.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 128.89%
- DSCR
- 6.73
- GRM
- 1.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $45,240
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7501 Palm Ave #74 | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+8%) | 2mo | $37,000 | $30 | 74 |
| 7501 Palm Ave #103 | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+8%) | 6mo | $46,000 | $37 | 71 |
| 7425 Church St #75 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,080 (-7%) | 22mo | $36,500 | $34 | 70 |
| 7425 Church St #140 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (-9%) | 21mo | $36,500 | $35 | 68 |
| 56254 29 Palms Hwy #116 | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-1%) | 9mo | $45,000 | $39 | 63 |
| 56254 29 Palms Hwy #16 | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (+3%) | 8mo | $51,000 | $43 | 58 |
| 56254 29 Palms Hwy #51 | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (-10%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $58 | 55 |
| 7425 Church St #19 | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,320 (+14%) | 20mo | $70,000 | $53 | 54 |
| 56254 29 Palms Hwy #22 | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+8%) | 7mo | $96,000 | $77 | 48 |
| 56254 29 Palms Hwy #111 | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 1,040 (-10%) | 3mo | $38,000 | $37 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.46×
- Total profit
- $67,778
- Equity at exit
- $5,591
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 16.24×
- Total profit
- $160,015
- Equity at exit
- $3,242
Cash invested: $10,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92284
- Home prices YoY
- -33.1%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 563
- Price-to-rent
- 1.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,756 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$197
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$47 /mo · $562/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$369
- Net cashflow
- $1,128
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,375
- Closing costs
- $1,125
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7496 Church St Yucca Valley, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 987 | $1,850 | $1.87 | 18d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 7389 Cibola Trl Unit B Yucca Valley, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 15d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 7616 Apache Trl Yucca Valley, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,900 | $1.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 7028 Cholla Ave Yucca Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,895 | $1.58 | 5d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 6963 Tamarisk Ave Yucca Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 18d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 6936 Grand Ave Yucca Valley, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 785 | $1,600 | $2.04 | 18d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 7154 Barberry Ave Unit A Yucca Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,049 | $1.86 | 18d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 56565 Sunnyslope Dr Yucca Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 56594 Joshua Dr Yucca Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1307 | $2,250 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 57004 Antelope Trl Yucca Valley, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1143 | $2,050 | $1.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 7330 Dumosa Ave Unit 7330 Yucca Valley, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,195 | $1.59 | 3d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 7453 Dumosa Ave Yucca Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1394 | $2,200 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 56769 Joshua Dr Yucca Valley, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 11d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 7420 Geronimo Trl Yucca Valley, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $1,700 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 56615 Bonanza Dr Yucca Valley, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1342 | $1,900 | $1.42 | 17d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 56811 Desert Gold Dr Yucca Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1375 | $2,095 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 57472 Primrose Dr Unit 3 Yucca Valley, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,600 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $37,500 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $37,500 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $37,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $37,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $37,500 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $37,500 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $37,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $37,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $37,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $37,500 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $37,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $37,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $37,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $37,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$37,500 Active
-
2025-10-16historical
-
2025-08-18price $45,000
-
2025-07-21price $49,500
-
2025-03-31price $55,000
-
2025-03-10price $57,500
-
2025-01-30$60,000 Active
-
2009-02-12historical
-
2008-08-12
-
2007-07-25historical
-
2007-04-26
-
2006-07-24historical
-
2005-10-24
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,067
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,101
- − Property taxes
- −$562
- − Insurance
- −$188
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,685
- − Management
- −$1,685
- − Depreciation
- −$1,091
- Taxable income
- $13,755
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,301
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,232/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Morongo Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0625860
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,399
- Composite
- 22.19/100
- National rank
- #8156
- State rank
- #395 of 517 in CA
Livability — Yucca Valley
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #566
- US rank
- #18584
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Yucca Valley, CA
- County
- San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
- City population
- 25,415
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,415
- Household income
- $58,373
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1132.0
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 18% Black 2% Native American 2% Asian 2% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -241.13%
- Current HPI
- 486.7185
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.12%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
-37.5% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $37,500 CRMLS
- 2025-10-16 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-08-18 Price Changed $45,000 CRMLS
- 2025-07-21 Price Changed $49,500 CRMLS
- 2025-03-31 Price Changed $55,000 CRMLS
- 2025-03-10 Price Changed $57,500 CRMLS
- 2025-01-30 Listed $60,000 CRMLS
- 2009-02-12 Delisted — PALM
- 2008-08-12 Listed — PALM
- 2007-07-25 Delisted — PALM
- 2007-04-26 Listed — PALM
- 2006-07-24 Delisted — PALM
- 2005-10-24 Listed — PALM
Property tax history
-8.1%/yrLatest (2015): $26 · -3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…