CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
17590 SE 96th Ave
C- Composite 54.0
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$183,900

17590 SE 96th Ave · The Villages, FL 34491
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 70 Days on market
Built 1994 7,380 sqft lot $182/sqft · 22% below area Est $236k · 22% under $179/mo HOA · 9% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Don't miss this perfect house. Lived in part time since its purchase. Most of the furniture and kitchen dishes, etc. will convey. Location is perfect for this property close to community center, dog park, ball park and nature area for hiking and dog walking. Little yard upkeep but a generous two car garage. Roof replaced in 2014. Back lanai enclosed in 2008. Front porch is great for sitting and watching the neighborhood, or back porch for peaceful relaxation. Give this beauty a look and choose for you future retirement get a way or full time downsized home.

Key facts

  • Dog park
  • Ball park
  • Front porch

Tags

DOG PARKBALL PARKNATURE AREABACK LANAI ENCLOSEDFRONT PORCHBACK PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $184k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $96 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $184k).
  • Recommended offer: $173k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 5.0% in The Villages — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#431 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 705 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($173k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $62k; list at $184k implies a 195% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $172,866 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
6.92%
Cash-on-cash
2.24%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$235,747
List price
$183,900
Delta
-21.99%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17574 SE 95th Ct 0.06mi 2/2.0 1,008 (0%) 11mo $216,900 $215 88
2603 Olivarez Way 0.64mi 2/2.0 1,121 (+11%) 2mo $252,000 $225 50
1647 Campos Dr 0.66mi 2/2.0 1,121 (+11%) 1mo $250,000 $223 50
1649 Campos Dr 0.66mi 2/2.0 1,121 (+11%) 3mo $223,000 $199 48
2799 Privada Dr 0.66mi 2/2.0 1,091 (+8%) 10mo $245,000 $225 47
2632 Moncayo Ave 0.66mi 2/2.0 1,143 (+13%) 2mo $220,000 $192 45
10235 SE 179th Pl 0.68mi 2/2.0 1,144 (+14%) 2mo $180,599 $158 45
2788 Privada Dr 0.60mi 2/2.0 1,148 (+14%) 5mo $220,000 $192 44
2714 Moncayo Ave 0.65mi 2/2.0 1,121 (+11%) 9mo $220,000 $196 44
1713 EL Nino St 0.59mi 2/2.0 1,121 (+11%) 12mo $225,000 $201 44
2008 Peachtree Ave 0.67mi 2/2.0 1,158 (+15%) 8mo $299,999 $259 38
2606 Olivarez Way 0.64mi 2/2.0 1,143 (+13%) 13mo $279,500 $245 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.7%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-23,535
Equity at exit
$27,420
10-year hold
IRR
-3.5%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-12,000
Equity at exit
$15,900

Cash invested: $51,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34491

Home prices YoY
-35.0%
Active inventory
705
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,985 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$964
Tax from tax record
$252 /mo · $3,027/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$179
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$417
Net cashflow
$96

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,864
Max offer price $183,900
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,975
Closing costs
$5,517
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17713 SE 95th Cir Summerfield, FL 3.0 2.0 1450 $2,000 $1.38 21d 1 0.10mi
17532 SE 100th Ct Summerfield, FL 2.0 2.0 1217 $1,800 $1.48 21d 1 0.50mi
17199 SE 97th Ter Summerfield, FL 3.0 2.0 1404 $1,990 $1.42 21d 1 0.57mi
2909 Meadow Lawn Ln The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1132 $4,300 $3.80 21d 1 0.66mi
1808 Peachtree Ave The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1182 $2,500 $2.12 21d 1 0.72mi
1648 Belle Grove Dr The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1132 $4,250 $3.75 21d 1 0.74mi
10397 SE 176th St Summerfield, FL 2.0 2.0 1296 $2,150 $1.66 21d 1 0.80mi
16962 SE 94th Sunnybrook Cir The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1160 $2,000 $1.72 21d 1 0.84mi
9523 SE 168th Maplesong Ln The Villages, FL 3.0 2.0 1265 $1,975 $1.56 21d 1 0.88mi
9990 SE 166th St Summerfield, FL 3.0 2.0 962 $1,395 $1.45 14d 1 1.19mi
8544 SE 177th Bartram Loop The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1265 $1,900 $1.50 21d 1 1.23mi
17324 SE 82nd Pecan Ter The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1358 $2,500 $1.84 21d 1 1.39mi
17400 SE 82nd Roslyn Ct The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1138 $4,700 $4.13 21d 1 1.41mi
2829 Burgos Dr The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1156 $1,850 $1.60 21d 1 1.47mi
1129 Santa Cruz Dr The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1102 $2,350 $2.13 21d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$179 · $2,148/yr

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $183,900 Active 70 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $183,900 Active 69 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $183,900 Active 68 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $183,900 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $183,900 Active 65 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $183,900 Active 64 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $183,900 Active 62 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $183,900 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $183,900 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $183,900 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $183,900 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $183,900 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $183,900 Active 53 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $183,900 Active 52 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $183,900 Active 51 DOM
  16. 2026-05-15
    price $183,900 565-char remark
    Show marketing remark (565 chars)

    Don't miss this perfect house. Lived in part time since its purchase. Most of the furniture and kitchen dishes, etc. will convey. Location is perfect for this property close to community center, dog park, ball park and nature area for hiking and dog walking. Little yard upkeep but a generous two car garage. Roof replaced in 2014. Back lanai enclosed in 2008. Front porch is great for sitting and watching the neighborhood, or back porch for peaceful relaxation. Give this beauty a look and choose for you future retirement get a way or full time downsized home.

  17. 2026-04-09
    listed $189,000 Active 565-char remark
    Show marketing remark (565 chars)

    Don't miss this perfect house. Lived in part time since its purchase. Most of the furniture and kitchen dishes, etc. will convey. Location is perfect for this property close to community center, dog park, ball park and nature area for hiking and dog walking. Little yard upkeep but a generous two car garage. Roof replaced in 2014. Back lanai enclosed in 2008. Front porch is great for sitting and watching the neighborhood, or back porch for peaceful relaxation. Give this beauty a look and choose for you future retirement get a way or full time downsized home.

  18. 1993-11-09
    soldstatus $62,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,027 · $252/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,027 · $252/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,822
− Mortgage interest
−$10,301
− Property taxes
−$3,027
− Insurance
−$920
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,906
− Management
−$1,906
− HOA
−$2,148
− Depreciation
−$5,350
Taxable loss
−$1,736
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$417
After-tax cash flow
$1,568/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — The Villages

Score
70/100
State rank
#431
US rank
#7363

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
The Villages, FL
County
Marion County · 315,796 people
City population
83,973
Metro
Ocala, FL
Population (ZIP)
33,318
Household income
$66,679
Rent vs Own
13.2% rent · 86.8% own
Severe rent burden
256.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 11% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -107.67%
Current HPI
200.0792
Rent YoY
Metro
Ocala, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+194.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $183,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $189,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1993-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $62,400 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,027 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…