4808 S. Elwood Ave., #102 Plan · Tulsa, OK
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Listed 877 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price $89,900
Exterior
- Home design: Address: 4808 S Elwood Ave, Tulsa, OK 74107
- Exterior features: Living area 1,216 (interior measurement)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Plan home
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $496 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 3.9% in Tulsa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#13 in OK, #4,058 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment D-.
- Tulsa (urban): math 7% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #250 of 270 in OK (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 99 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 877 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 877 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.62%
- DSCR
- 2.05
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $13,925
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.62×
- Total profit
- $40,727
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74107
- Home prices YoY
- -15.3%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,414 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$297
- Net cashflow
- $496
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4740 S Boston Ave Tulsa, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 839 | $1,475 | $1.76 | 2d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4956 S Maybelle Ave Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 933 | $1,395 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1115 E 48th Pl Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1195 | $1,500 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 5121 S Madison Ave Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1048 | $1,550 | $1.48 | 11d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 5101 S Madison Ave Tulsa, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,150 | $1.47 | 1d | 2 | 1.01mi |
| 1027 E 41st St Tulsa, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,195 | $1.39 | 3d | 2 | 1.05mi |
| 936 E 37th Pl Tulsa, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 776 | $995 | $1.28 | 19d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1348 E 45th Pl Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1281 | $1,675 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1913 W 50th St Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1082 | $1,195 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1419 E 42nd St Tulsa, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,395 | $1.64 | 3d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 4676 S Saint Louis Ave Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1012 | $1,475 | $1.46 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1514 E 49th St Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,295 | $1.32 | 16d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1414 E 39th St Tulsa, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1117 | $2,120 | $1.90 | 2d | 17 | 1.36mi |
| 1936 W 40th St Tulsa, OK | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1286 | $2,150 | $1.67 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1135 E 37th St Tulsa, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $950 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 5607 S Quaker Ave Unit 5607D-Q Tulsa, OK | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 3d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 877 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 876 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 875 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 874 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 872 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,900 Active 869 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 868 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 867 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 866 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,900 Active 863 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 862 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 861 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 860 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 859 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Heat 6/10 Major
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,964
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,348
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,357
- − Management
- −$1,357
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $4,801
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,152
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,794/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tulsa
- NCES district ID
- 4030240
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,895
- Composite
- 8.04/100
- National rank
- #9919
- State rank
- #250 of 270 in OK
Livability — Tulsa
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #4058
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tulsa, OK
- County
- Tulsa County · 640,811 people
- City population
- 389,418
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,013
- Household income
- $53,505
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 667.0
Population outlook (Tulsa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 723,846 people
- By 2030
- 766,033 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 851,386 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 938,389 · +29.6%
- By 2075
- 1,166,011 · +61.1%
- By 2100
- 1,350,277 · +86.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Two or more races 18% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Native American 6% Pacific Islander 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulsa
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.2) · D 41.3% · R 56.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.2pp toward D · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.46%
- Current HPI
- 235.2296
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.78%
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…