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2128 Taylors Mill Rd
C Composite 55.07
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.3/15.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$142,500

2128 Taylors Mill Rd · Fort Valley, GA 31030
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,098 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 66 Days on market
Built 1972 0.78 ac lot $130/sqft · 15% below area Est $168k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this wonderful ranch home enjoyed by one family for two generations now ready for you and yours. The home features a clean floor plan with a large covered deck on a quiet 0.78 acres. This home is ready for you to make your own.

Key facts

  • Ranch home
  • Quiet 0.78 acres
  • Large covered deck

Tags

RANCH HOMELARGE COVERED DECKQUIET 0.78 ACRES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $142k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $180 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (8.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $130k (8.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 5.7% in Fort Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#220 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Peach County (rural): math 17% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #141 of 174 in GA (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 149 units permitted in Peach County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $985 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Peach County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($134k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $130,000 (8.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.81%
Cash-on-cash
5.41%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$167,922
List price
$142,500
Delta
-15.14%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2024 Taylors Mill Rd 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,098 (0%) 16mo $170,000 $155 80

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.0%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-11,705
Equity at exit
$21,247
10-year hold
IRR
1.5%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$4,288
Equity at exit
$12,321

Cash invested: $39,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31030

Home prices YoY
-14.7%
Active inventory
116
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,300 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$747
Tax from tax record
$41 /mo · $487/yr
Insurance
$59
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$180

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,072
Max offer price $142,500
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,625
Closing costs
$4,275
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1032 Taylors Mill Rd Fort Valley, GA 3.0 2.0 1073 $1,300 $1.21 43d 1 1.12mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $142,500 Active 66 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $142,500 Active 65 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $142,500 Active 64 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $142,500 Active 63 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $142,500 Active 62 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $142,500 Active 60 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $142,500 Active 59 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $142,500 Active 57 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $142,500 Active 56 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $142,500 Active 55 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $142,500 Active 54 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $142,500 Active 51 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $142,500 Active 50 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $142,500 Active 49 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $142,500 Active 48 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $142,500 Active 47 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $142,500 Active 46 DOM
  18. 2026-04-14
    listed $142,500 Active 238-char remark
    Show marketing remark (238 chars)

    Welcome to this wonderful ranch home enjoyed by one family for two generations now ready for you and yours. The home features a clean floor plan with a large covered deck on a quiet 0.78 acres. This home is ready for you to make your own.

  19. 2025-11-20
    historical
  20. 2024-12-12
    historical
  21. 2024-07-12
    listed $142,500 New
  22. 2024-07-12
    listed $142,500 New
  23. 2024-07-12
    listed $142,500 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$487 · $41/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,311 · $109/mo
Expected delta
+$824/yr (+$69/mo · 169.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 73% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,600
− Mortgage interest
−$7,982
− Property taxes
−$487
− Insurance
−$712
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,248
− Management
−$1,248
− Depreciation
−$4,145
Taxable loss
−$223
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$53
After-tax cash flow
$2,211/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Peach County
NCES district ID
1304050
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$41,348
Composite
17.89/100
National rank
#9000
State rank
#141 of 174 in GA

Livability — Fort Valley

Score
65/100
State rank
#220
US rank
#12957

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
17,987
Population (ZIP)
17,987

Population outlook (Peach County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,481 people
By 2030
25,723 · -2.9%
By 2040
23,812 · -10.1%
By 2050
21,724 · -18.0%
By 2075
17,513 · -33.9%
By 2100
14,235 · -46.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Black 49% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Peach

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.0) · D 46.8% · R 52.8%
2008→2024 swing
-12.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.8pp · 2024: -6.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.0 2020: R+4.7 2016: R+3.0 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+6.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -34.82%
Current HPI
202.0025
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $142,500 MGMLS
  • 2025-11-20 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2024-12-12 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2024-07-12 Listed $142,500 GAMLS
  • 2024-07-12 Listed $142,500 GAMLS
  • 2024-07-12 Listed $142,500 GAMLS

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $487 · -22.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…