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234 Church St
B+ Composite 77.59
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$84,900

234 Church St · Morris, PA 16858
6 bd · 0.0 ba · 2,131 sqft · Other · 77 Days on market
Built 1900 0.34 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor opportunity with multiple income streams and value-add potential. This property features a duplex in need of renovation, offering the chance to force appreciation and increase rents, along with a tenant-occupied trailer providing immediate cash flow. The duplex already has had key mechanical updates in recent years, including newer furnaces and hot water heaters, allowing you to focus primarily on other improvements to bring the units back to market-ready condition. A detached garage at the rear of the property adds additional utility and potential for storage or supplemental income. Whether you're looking to expand your portfolio or secure your next value-add deal, this property offers strong upside with existing income in place.

Key facts

  • Mechanical updates
  • Detached garage
  • 0.34 acre lot

Tags

DETACHED GARAGEMECHANICAL UPDATES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/?-bath other listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $418 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • West Branch Area SD (rural): math 30% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #363 of 539 in PA (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: West Branch Area El Sch (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #883 of 1,518 statewide, top 61%, 341 students, 43% FRL); West Branch Ms (math 23% / reading 48%, grade F, #317 of 512 statewide, top 63%, 257 students, 48% FRL); West Branch Area Hs (math 47%, 314 students, 34% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 99 units permitted in Clearfield County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($587 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (8.5% local appreciation)).
  • Clearfield County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (8.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,806 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
12.19%
Cash-on-cash
21.08%
DSCR
1.94
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.47% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.4%
Equity multiple
3.70×
Total profit
$64,172
Equity at exit
$67,250
10-year hold
IRR
33.1%
Equity multiple
8.01×
Total profit
$166,652
Equity at exit
$136,201

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16858

Home prices YoY
6.0%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,274 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$445
Tax from tax record
$109 /mo · $1,302/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$268
Net cashflow
$418

Break-even live

Break-even rent $746
Max offer price $84,900
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $466 -5% $442 +0% $418 +5% $394 +10% $369
Rent -10% $317 -5% $367 +0% $418 +5% $468 +10% $518
Rate -1.0pp $460 -0.5pp $439 base $418 +0.5pp $396 +1.0pp $373

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,225
Closing costs
$2,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    status $84,900 Pending 77 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,900 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $84,900 Active 75 DOM
  4. 2026-06-12
    days on market $84,900 Active 74 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,900 Active 71 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,900 Active 70 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,900 Active 69 DOM
  8. 2026-06-05
    days on market $84,900 Active 67 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $84,900 Active 65 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,900 Active 64 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,900 Active 63 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,900 Active 62 DOM
  13. 2026-03-30
    listed $84,900 Active 749-char remark
    Show marketing remark (749 chars)

    Investor opportunity with multiple income streams and value-add potential. This property features a duplex in need of renovation, offering the chance to force appreciation and increase rents, along with a tenant-occupied trailer providing immediate cash flow. The duplex already has had key mechanical updates in recent years, including newer furnaces and hot water heaters, allowing you to focus primarily on other improvements to bring the units back to market-ready condition. A detached garage at the rear of the property adds additional utility and potential for storage or supplemental income. Whether you're looking to expand your portfolio or secure your next value-add deal, this property offers strong upside with existing income in place.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,302 · $109/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,322 · $110/mo
Expected delta
+$20/yr (+$2/mo · 1.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,291
− Mortgage interest
−$4,756
− Property taxes
−$1,302
− Insurance
−$424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,223
− Management
−$1,223
− Depreciation
−$2,470
Taxable income
$3,892
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$934
After-tax cash flow
$4,076/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Branch Area SD
NCES district ID
4225230
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$44,732
Composite
33.5/100
National rank
#5444
State rank
#363 of 539 in PA

Livability — Morris

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Morrisdale, PA
Population (ZIP)
3,953

Population outlook (Clearfield County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
79,658 people
By 2030
78,358 · -1.6%
By 2040
74,670 · -6.3%
By 2050
70,186 · -11.9%
By 2075
60,391 · -24.2%
By 2100
46,886 · -41.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Subsaharan African 2%
Languages at home
97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clearfield

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.5) · D 23.9% · R 75.4%
2008→2024 swing
-39.4pp toward R · 2008: -12.1pp · 2024: -51.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.5 2020: R+49.5 2016: R+49.6 2012: R+28.9 2008: R+12.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.47%
Current HPI
148.5081
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $84,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,302 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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