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4504 Windcross Ct
C+ Composite 61.84
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$131,000

4504 Windcross Ct · Fayetteville, NC 28314
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,288 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 171 Days on market
Built 1980 0.28 ac lot Est $214k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

INITIAL BID RECEIVED. THE 10 DAY UPSET BID PERIOD ENDS 01/30/2026. MINIMUM BID AMOUNT IS $133126.88. MINIMUM DEPOSIT AMOUNT IS $6,656.34. Welcome to 4504 Windcross Court. Built in 1980, this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home has 1239 square feet and oozing with potential. Whether you're looking to renovate and rent, flip for resale, or craft your dream home, this property offers a solid foundation and exciting opportunity. Inside, you’ll find a functional layout that includes a spacious living room, kitchen and dining area. Bring your tools and imagination — with the right vision, equity can be built quickly here. Don’t miss out on this rare find with so much potential. Schedule

Key facts

  • 0.28 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1980

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $131k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $193 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $131k).
  • Recommended offer: $115k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.9% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#45 in NC, #4,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: R Max Abbott Middle (math 31% / reading 45%, grade F, #251 of 475 statewide, top 54%, 759 students, 99% FRL); Terry Sanford High (math 49% / reading 52%, grade D+, #306 of 535 statewide, top 57%, 1,224 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 55% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 429 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $906 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 171 days — a 12% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $98k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 75% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $115,280 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 171 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
8.06%
Cash-on-cash
6.32%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$213,808
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4514 Day Ct 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,274 (-1%) 1mo $214,500 $168 89
4511 Bac Ct 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,290 (+0%) 4mo $212,500 $165 86
4608 Hoe Ct 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,351 (+5%) 3mo $195,000 $144 82
4471 Briton Cir 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,331 (+3%) 5mo $230,000 $173 80
4459 Kinkead Ct 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,237 (-4%) 2mo $220,000 $178 71
675 Wiltshire Rd 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,353 (+5%) 4mo $212,000 $157 65
4476 Kinkead Ct 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,426 (+11%) 6mo $225,000 $158 59
615 Wallingford Ct 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,339 (+4%) 6mo $239,900 $179 55
4531 Westfield Rd 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,132 (-12%) 3mo $215,000 $190 48
769 Newport Rd 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,114 (-14%) 2mo $121,000 $109 45
821 Moriston Rd 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,117 (-13%) 4mo $185,000 $166 42
805 Glensford Dr 0.67mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,470 (+14%) 2mo $165,000 $112 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.11% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.4%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-8,711
Equity at exit
$19,533
10-year hold
IRR
3.4%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$9,120
Equity at exit
$11,326

Cash invested: $36,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28314

Home prices YoY
-15.7%
Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
429
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,446 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$687
Tax from tax record
$208 /mo · $2,490/yr
Insurance
$55
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$304
Net cashflow
$193

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,201
Max offer price $131,000
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $267 -5% $230 +0% $193 +5% $156 +10% $119
Rent -10% $79 -5% $136 +0% $193 +5% $250 +10% $307
Rate -1.0pp $259 -0.5pp $227 base $193 +0.5pp $159 +1.0pp $125

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,750
Closing costs
$3,930
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 35 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
409 Tradewinds Dr Fayetteville, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 867 $1,195 $1.38 14d 16 0.10mi
4627 Keg Ct Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.5 1272 $1,300 $1.02 24d 1 0.34mi
226 Rainier Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1691 $2,000 $1.18 24d 1 0.43mi
619 Berwick Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.5 1642 $1,650 $1.00 14d 1 0.43mi
228 Whitney Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1650 $1,840 $1.12 24d 1 0.50mi
4547 Chambersburg Rd Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.5 1198 $1,500 $1.25 24d 1 0.66mi
609 Ashbrook Ct Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.5 997 $1,049 $1.05 24d 1 0.75mi
600 Ashbrook Ct Fayetteville, NC 2.0–3.0 1.5 1050 $1,299 $1.24 22d 6 0.80mi
613 Ashbrook Ct Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.5 1103 $1,299 $1.18 24d 1 0.80mi
855 King Arthur Dr Fayetteville, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 810 $1,182 $1.46 14d 9 0.83mi
301 Barcelona Dr Fayetteville, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 845 $1,326 $1.57 14d 58 0.97mi
1871 Jennifer Ln #203 Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1650 $1,600 $0.97 24d 1 0.97mi
760 Ashbrook Rd Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1550 $1,595 $1.03 24d 1 0.99mi
4809 Belford Rd Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.5 1459 $1,300 $0.89 24d 1 1.05mi
425 Windermere Dr Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 24d 1 1.15mi
4810 Alamance Rd Fayetteville, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 827 $1,200 $1.45 24d 1 1.19mi
3411 Lainey Ln Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1142 $1,300 $1.14 24d 1 1.20mi
600 Scotia Ln Fayetteville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1070 $1,380 $1.29 14d 29 1.25mi
425 Woodstream Trl Fayetteville, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 810 $1,330 $1.64 24d 12 1.26mi
3618 Sugar Cane Cir Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1596 $1,900 $1.19 24d 1 1.29mi
3212 Tallywood Dr Unit 03 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 24d 1 1.29mi
3210 Tallywood Dr Unit 09 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 22d 1 1.31mi
395 Hicks Ave Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.5 1519 $1,550 $1.02 24d 1 1.31mi
3210 Tallywood Dr #04 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 24d 1 1.32mi
3210 Tallywood Dr #12 Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,000 $1.00 22d 1 1.32mi
1309 Ireland Dr Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.5 900 $1,000 $1.11 14d 1 1.32mi
3211 Tallywood Dr Fayetteville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 925 $999 $1.08 24d 1 1.33mi
1313 Ireland Dr Unit B Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.5 900 $1,000 $1.11 24d 1 1.34mi
400 Roxie Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1162 $1,700 $1.46 14d 1 1.41mi
5508 Faith Dr Fayetteville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.5–3.0 1106 $1,439 $1.30 14d 10 1.43mi
5508 Faith Dr Fayetteville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.5–3.0 1106 $1,439 $1.30 22d 16 1.43mi
4909 Walnut Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1188 $1,500 $1.26 24d 1 1.47mi
600 Faison Ave Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1802 $1,495 $0.83 24d 1 1.47mi
5200 Cypress Rd Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 1210 $1,250 $1.03 24d 1 1.48mi
4935 Walnut Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.5 1024 $1,200 $1.17 14d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-02-23
    status Pending
  2. 2025-11-07
    price $131,000
  3. 2025-09-05
    listed $140,000 Active
  4. 2013-10-15
    soldstatus $98,000
  5. 2004-01-23
    soldstatus $78,500
  6. 1994-09-02
    soldstatus $73,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,490 · $208/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,490 · $208/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 75% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,352
− Mortgage interest
−$7,338
− Property taxes
−$2,490
− Insurance
−$655
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,388
− Management
−$1,388
− Depreciation
−$3,811
Taxable income
$281
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$68
After-tax cash flow
$2,251/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cumberland County Schools
NCES district ID
3700011
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,168
Composite
31.0/100
National rank
#6096
State rank
#126 of 178 in NC

Livability — Fayetteville

Score
75/100
State rank
#45
US rank
#4031

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fayetteville, NC
County
Cumberland County · 265,314 people
City population
226,118
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
Population (ZIP)
55,834
Household income
$62,249
Rent vs Own
52.6% rent · 47.4% own
Severe rent burden
2511.0

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
330,855 people
By 2030
333,523 · +0.8%
By 2040
335,583 · +1.4%
By 2050
335,325 · +1.4%
By 2075
342,853 · +3.6%
By 2100
340,698 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
Black 49% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 10% Korean 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -43.20%
Current HPI
231.873
Rent YoY
▲ 3.11%
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+79.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-23 Pending LPRMLS
  • 2025-11-07 Price Changed $131,000 LPRMLS
  • 2025-09-05 Listed $140,000 LPRMLS
  • 2013-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $98,000 Public Records
  • 2004-01-23 Sold (Public Records) $78,500 Public Records
  • 1994-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,490 · +32.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…