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1307 Tipton St
B Composite 70.15
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

1307 Tipton St · High Point, NC 27262
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,020 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1924 0.34 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 0.34 acre lot
  • Built 1924
  • Listed 18 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $472 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.2% vs local median 4.0% in High Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#31 in NC, #3,084 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities D, employment D.
  • Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 120 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $64,025 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.84%
Cap rate
16.23%
Cash-on-cash
35.49%
DSCR
2.58
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$180,540
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
209 Kennedy Ave 0.13mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,118 (+10%) 5mo $110,000 $98 65
502 Everett Ln 0.05mi 2/2.0 (+1) 950 (-7%) 18mo $179,900 $189 62
1101 Tipton St 0.18mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,044 (+2%) 22mo $185,000 $177 61
949 Council St 0.63mi 2/1.0 (+1) 976 (-4%) 3mo $155,000 $159 56
1109 Adams St 0.17mi 2/1.0 (+1) 900 (-12%) 16mo $125,000 $139 54
421 Gatewood Ave 0.53mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,129 (+11%) 4mo $215,000 $190 49
327 Pickett Pl 0.16mi 2/1.0 (+1) 874 (-14%) 22mo $187,900 $215 46
325 Pickett Pl 0.16mi 2/1.0 (+1) 874 (-14%) 23mo $185,900 $213 44
328 Ennis St #3 0.64mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (-1%) 24mo $57,500 $57 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.5%
Equity multiple
1.94×
Total profit
$17,078
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
30.0%
Equity multiple
3.42×
Total profit
$43,963
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27262

Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
120
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,196 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$39 /mo · $466/yr
Insurance
$27
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$251
Net cashflow
$472

Break-even live

Break-even rent $599
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 56%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $509 -5% $490 +0% $472 +5% $453 +10% $435
Rent -10% $377 -5% $425 +0% $472 +5% $519 +10% $566
Rate -1.0pp $505 -0.5pp $488 base $472 +0.5pp $455 +1.0pp $438

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
709 Langford Ave High Point, NC 2.0 1.0 840 $1,200 $1.43 14d 1 0.73mi
208 W Parkway Ave Unit A High Point, NC 1.0 1.0 750 $1,500 $2.00 24d 1 1.03mi
313 4th St Unit B High Point, NC 2.0 1.0 900 $995 $1.11 24d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2025-11-04
    status Pending
  2. 2025-10-29
    historical Due Diligence Period
  3. 2025-10-16
    listed $65,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$466 · $39/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$533 · $44/mo
Expected delta
+$67/yr (+$6/mo · 14.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,357
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$466
− Insurance
−$1,122
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,149
− Management
−$1,149
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$4,939
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,185
After-tax cash flow
$4,477/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Guilford County Schools
NCES district ID
3701920
Math proficiency
39% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$46,315
Composite
35.78/100
National rank
#4842
State rank
#99 of 178 in NC

Livability — High Point

Score
77/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#3084

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
High Point, NC
County
Guilford County · 487,190 people
City population
102,450
Metro
Greensboro-High Point, NC
Population (ZIP)
28,353
Household income
$65,006
Rent vs Own
44.4% rent · 55.6% own
Severe rent burden
1046.0

Population outlook (Guilford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
584,596 people
By 2030
616,851 · +5.5%
By 2040
678,451 · +16.1%
By 2050
734,788 · +25.7%
By 2075
862,985 · +47.6%
By 2100
948,704 · +62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Guilford

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.2% · R 38.4% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 21.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.8 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -279.14%
Current HPI
205.6152
Rent YoY
▲ 0.90%
Metro
Greensboro-High Point, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-04 Pending Triad MLS
  • 2025-10-29 Contingent Triad MLS
  • 2025-10-16 Listed $65,000 Triad MLS

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $466 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…