1400 Mission St #1203 · San Francisco, CA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 79°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 15 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +8.3/15.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$386,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1 bedroom Below Market Rate (BMR) housing opportunity available at 100% Area Median Income (AMI). Maximum income for 1 person = $109,100, 2 people = $124,700; 3 = $140,250; 4 = $155,850, etc. Must be 1st-time homebuyer & income eligible. Unit available thru the Mayor's Office of Housing and Community Development (MOHCD) & subject to resale controls, monitoring & other restrictions. The unit will be available on a first come first served basis starting on September 4, 2025 at 8:00 AM PST. Please visit https://housing. sfgov.org/listings/a0W7y000005rYofEAE to view the listing and for application & program info. Fair Housing Opportunity. Open Houses: Sunday, September 7th 11 am -1 pm. Welcome to 1400 Mission #1203, this unit features in-unit washer/dryer, stunning views, and roof deck; leased parking is available. Property is a First come first serve listing and eligible for MOHCD temporary waivers ask listing for details; buyers are able to apply directly.
Key facts
- Roof deck
- Leased parking
- In-unit washer dryer
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $386k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $123 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $386k).
- Recommended offer: $340k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+15.5%/yr); 108 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($116k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $22k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
- San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $108k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 344 days — a 12% lower offer ($340k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 344 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.36%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $393,232
- List price
- $386,000
- Delta
- -1.84%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
4.96% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.09×
- Total profit
- $118,059
- Equity at exit
- $217,862
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.73×
- Total profit
- $403,499
- Equity at exit
- $375,276
Cash invested: $108,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City San Francisco
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
ZIP-level market 94103
- Home prices YoY
- 2.9%
- Rents YoY
- 15.5%
- Active inventory
- 108
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,119 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,024
- Tax from tax record
- −$387 /mo · $4,645/yr
- Insurance
- −$161
- HOA
- −$559
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$865
- Net cashflow
- $123
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $341 | -5% $232 | +0% $123 | +5% $13 | +10% $-96 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-203 | -5% $-40 | +0% $123 | +5% $285 | +10% $448 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $317 | -0.5pp $221 | base $123 | +0.5pp $23 | +1.0pp $-79 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $96,500
- Closing costs
- $11,580
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 10th St #1315 San Francisco, CA | — | 1.0 | 479 | $4,463 | $9.31 | 4d | 2 | 0.08mi |
| 8 10th St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 919 | $6,104 | $6.64 | 3d | 28 | 0.11mi |
| 55 9th St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 861 | $4,430 | $5.14 | 3d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1288 Howard St #1908 San Francisco, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 782 | $4,190 | $5.35 | 2d | 2 | 0.16mi |
| 1288 Howard St #604 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 431 | $3,400 | $7.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1390 Market St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 561 | $4,067 | $7.25 | 2d | 14 | 0.17mi |
| 1 Polk St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 773 | $4,644 | $6.00 | 3d | 4 | 0.17mi |
| 100 Van Ness Ave #1477 San Francisco, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 893 | $5,940 | $6.65 | 2d | 2 | 0.21mi |
| 30 Otis St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 874 | $6,956 | $7.95 | 3d | 13 | 0.21mi |
| 101 Polk St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 573 | $4,614 | $8.04 | 3d | 7 | 0.23mi |
| 150 Van Ness Ave #1475 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 615 | $5,510 | $8.96 | 21d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 33 8th St San Francisco, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 646 | $3,744 | $5.79 | 3d | 10 | 0.26mi |
| 1190 Mission St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 508 | $3,136 | $6.17 | 2d | 5 | 0.26mi |
| 1 Brady St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 889 | $5,557 | $6.25 | 2d | 29 | 0.27mi |
| 1188 Mission St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 448 | $3,269 | $7.29 | 2d | 17 | 0.29mi |
| 225 Fell St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 512 | $4,495 | $8.77 | 8d | 3 | 0.31mi |
| 179 Oak St Apt F San Francisco, CA | — | 1.0 | 500 | $2,495 | $4.99 | 8d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 305 Franklin St Unit 21 San Francisco, CA | — | 1.0 | 450 | $2,795 | $6.21 | 8d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1532 Harrison St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 617 | $3,984 | $6.46 | 2d | 11 | 0.35mi |
| 1699 Market St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 561 | $4,817 | $8.59 | 2d | 5 | 0.37mi |
| 1222 Harrison St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 853 | $4,798 | $5.62 | 2d | 34 | 0.38mi |
| 603 Natoma St Apt 406 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 556 | $2,950 | $5.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 68 McCoppin St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 734 | $3,825 | $5.21 | 17d | 2 | 0.39mi |
| 99 Rausch St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 655 | $4,250 | $6.49 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1075 Market St #461 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $3,460 | $5.34 | 21d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1075 Market St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 546 | $3,500 | $6.40 | 25d | 2 | 0.46mi |
| 325 Octavia St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 811 | $6,909 | $8.52 | 3d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1075 Market St #603 San Francisco, CA | — | 1.0 | 445 | $3,300 | $7.42 | 8d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 570 Jessie St San Francisco, CA | — | 1.0 | 430 | $2,495 | $5.80 | 3d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 155 Haight St San Francisco, CA | — | 1.0 | 425 | $2,295 | $5.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 601 Van Ness Ave San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 653 | $3,795 | $5.81 | 10d | 2 | 0.51mi |
| 50 Jones St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 471 | $3,397 | $7.21 | 4d | 9 | 0.52mi |
| 1801 Mission St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 446 | $10,000 | $22.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1028 Market St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 526 | $4,090 | $7.77 | 2d | 6 | 0.54mi |
| 285 Turk St Apt 507 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 462 | $1,795 | $3.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 530 Grove St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $3,895 | $6.49 | 8d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 750 Golden Gate Ave San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 681 | $1,562 | $2.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 84 Harriet St Unit A San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 718 | $3,295 | $4.59 | 21d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 975 Bryant St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 697 | $4,814 | $6.91 | 2d | 10 | 0.57mi |
| 270 Valencia St #205 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $3,800 | $7.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $559 · $6,708/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $386,000 Active 344 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $386,000 Active 343 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $386,000 Active 342 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $386,000 Active 341 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $386,000 Active 339 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $386,000 Active 338 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $386,000 Active 335 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $386,000 Active 334 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $386,000 Active 333 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $386,000 Active 330 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $386,000 Active 329 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $386,000 Active 328 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $386,000 Active 327 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $386,000 Active 326 DOM
-
2026-04-01price $386,000 994-char remark
Show marketing remark (994 chars)
1 bedroom Below Market Rate (BMR) housing opportunity available at 100% Area Median Income (AMI). Maximum income for 1 person = $109,100, 2 people = $124,700; 3 = $140,250; 4 = $155,850, etc. Must be 1st-time homebuyer & income eligible. Unit available thru the Mayor's Office of Housing and Community Development (MOHCD) & subject to resale controls, monitoring & other restrictions. The unit will be available on a first come first served basis starting on September 4, 2025 at 8:00 AM PST. Please visit https://housing. sfgov.org/listings/a0W7y000005rYofEAE to view the listing and for application & program info. Fair Housing Opportunity. Open Houses: Sunday, September 7th 11 am -1 pm. Welcome to 1400 Mission #1203, this unit features in-unit washer/dryer, stunning views, and roof deck; leased parking is available. Property is a First come first serve listing and eligible for MOHCD temporary waivers ask listing for details; buyers are able to apply directly.
-
2025-07-09$388,000 Active 994-char remark
Show marketing remark (994 chars)
1 bedroom Below Market Rate (BMR) housing opportunity available at 100% Area Median Income (AMI). Maximum income for 1 person = $109,100, 2 people = $124,700; 3 = $140,250; 4 = $155,850, etc. Must be 1st-time homebuyer & income eligible. Unit available thru the Mayor's Office of Housing and Community Development (MOHCD) & subject to resale controls, monitoring & other restrictions. The unit will be available on a first come first served basis starting on September 4, 2025 at 8:00 AM PST. Please visit https://housing. sfgov.org/listings/a0W7y000005rYofEAE to view the listing and for application & program info. Fair Housing Opportunity. Open Houses: Sunday, September 7th 11 am -1 pm. Welcome to 1400 Mission #1203, this unit features in-unit washer/dryer, stunning views, and roof deck; leased parking is available. Property is a First come first serve listing and eligible for MOHCD temporary waivers ask listing for details; buyers are able to apply directly.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,645 · $387/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,645 · $387/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥79°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $49,423
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,622
- − Property taxes
- −$4,645
- − Insurance
- −$1,930
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,954
- − Management
- −$3,954
- − HOA
- −$6,708
- − Depreciation
- −$11,229
- Taxable loss
- −$4,619
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,108
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,579/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Francisco Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634410
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,249
- Composite
- 50.14/100
- National rank
- #4088
- State rank
- #322 of 1400 in CA
Livability — San Francisco
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3143
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Francisco, CA
- County
- San Francisco County · 827,552 people
- City population
- 827,552
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,964
- Household income
- $116,438
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2666.0
Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,030,936 people
- By 2030
- 1,110,409 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,270,010 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 1,435,001 · +39.2%
- By 2075
- 1,779,074 · +72.6%
- By 2100
- 1,966,767 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 32% Asian 31% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 11% Black 10% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 36% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 56% English-only · Spanish 16% Chinese 9% Tagalog/Filipino 6%
Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.96%
- Current HPI
- 175.4945
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 15.50%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
-0.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $386,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2025-07-09 Listed $388,000 San Francisco MLS
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,645 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…