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1400 Mission St #1203
C Composite 57.43
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.3/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$386,000

1400 Mission St #1203 · San Francisco, CA 94103
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 655 sqft · Condo public records · 344 Days on market
Built 2015 $589/sqft · at area comps Est $393k · at est. $559/mo HOA · 14% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

1 bedroom Below Market Rate (BMR) housing opportunity available at 100% Area Median Income (AMI). Maximum income for 1 person = $109,100, 2 people = $124,700; 3 = $140,250; 4 = $155,850, etc. Must be 1st-time homebuyer & income eligible. Unit available thru the Mayor's Office of Housing and Community Development (MOHCD) & subject to resale controls, monitoring & other restrictions. The unit will be available on a first come first served basis starting on September 4, 2025 at 8:00 AM PST. Please visit https://housing. sfgov.org/listings/a0W7y000005rYofEAE to view the listing and for application & program info. Fair Housing Opportunity. Open Houses: Sunday, September 7th 11 am -1 pm. Welcome to 1400 Mission #1203, this unit features in-unit washer/dryer, stunning views, and roof deck; leased parking is available. Property is a First come first serve listing and eligible for MOHCD temporary waivers ask listing for details; buyers are able to apply directly.

Key facts

  • Roof deck
  • Leased parking
  • In-unit washer dryer

Tags

IN-UNIT WASHER DRYERROOF DECKLEASED PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $386k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $123 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $386k).
  • Recommended offer: $340k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+15.5%/yr); 108 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($116k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $22k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
  • San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $108k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 344 days — a 12% lower offer ($340k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $339,680 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 344 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
6.67%
Cash-on-cash
1.36%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$393,232
List price
$386,000
Delta
-1.84%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

4.96% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.7%
Equity multiple
2.09×
Total profit
$118,059
Equity at exit
$217,862
10-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
4.73×
Total profit
$403,499
Equity at exit
$375,276

Cash invested: $108,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City San Francisco
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
SF Rent Ordinance + Eviction Protections; relocation $10k+; one of strictest in US.

ZIP-level market 94103

Home prices YoY
2.9%
Rents YoY
15.5%
Active inventory
108
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,119 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,024
Tax from tax record
$387 /mo · $4,645/yr
Insurance
$161
HOA
$559
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$865
Net cashflow
$123

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,963
Max offer price $386,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $341 -5% $232 +0% $123 +5% $13 +10% $-96
Rent -10% $-203 -5% $-40 +0% $123 +5% $285 +10% $448
Rate -1.0pp $317 -0.5pp $221 base $123 +0.5pp $23 +1.0pp $-79

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$96,500
Closing costs
$11,580
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18 10th St #1315 San Francisco, CA 1.0 479 $4,463 $9.31 4d 2 0.08mi
8 10th St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 919 $6,104 $6.64 3d 28 0.11mi
55 9th St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 861 $4,430 $5.14 3d 1 0.14mi
1288 Howard St #1908 San Francisco, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 782 $4,190 $5.35 2d 2 0.16mi
1288 Howard St #604 San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 431 $3,400 $7.89 44d 1 0.16mi
1390 Market St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 561 $4,067 $7.25 2d 14 0.17mi
1 Polk St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 773 $4,644 $6.00 3d 4 0.17mi
100 Van Ness Ave #1477 San Francisco, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 893 $5,940 $6.65 2d 2 0.21mi
30 Otis St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 874 $6,956 $7.95 3d 13 0.21mi
101 Polk St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 573 $4,614 $8.04 3d 7 0.23mi
150 Van Ness Ave #1475 San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 615 $5,510 $8.96 21d 1 0.23mi
33 8th St San Francisco, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 646 $3,744 $5.79 3d 10 0.26mi
1190 Mission St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 508 $3,136 $6.17 2d 5 0.26mi
1 Brady St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 889 $5,557 $6.25 2d 29 0.27mi
1188 Mission St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 448 $3,269 $7.29 2d 17 0.29mi
225 Fell St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 512 $4,495 $8.77 8d 3 0.31mi
179 Oak St Apt F San Francisco, CA 1.0 500 $2,495 $4.99 8d 1 0.33mi
305 Franklin St Unit 21 San Francisco, CA 1.0 450 $2,795 $6.21 8d 1 0.35mi
1532 Harrison St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 617 $3,984 $6.46 2d 11 0.35mi
1699 Market St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 561 $4,817 $8.59 2d 5 0.37mi
1222 Harrison St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.5 853 $4,798 $5.62 2d 34 0.38mi
603 Natoma St Apt 406 San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 556 $2,950 $5.31 44d 1 0.39mi
68 McCoppin St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 734 $3,825 $5.21 17d 2 0.39mi
99 Rausch St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 655 $4,250 $6.49 25d 1 0.39mi
1075 Market St #461 San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 648 $3,460 $5.34 21d 1 0.46mi
1075 Market St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 546 $3,500 $6.40 25d 2 0.46mi
325 Octavia St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 811 $6,909 $8.52 3d 1 0.46mi
1075 Market St #603 San Francisco, CA 1.0 445 $3,300 $7.42 8d 1 0.47mi
570 Jessie St San Francisco, CA 1.0 430 $2,495 $5.80 3d 1 0.51mi
155 Haight St San Francisco, CA 1.0 425 $2,295 $5.40 24d 1 0.51mi
601 Van Ness Ave San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 653 $3,795 $5.81 10d 2 0.51mi
50 Jones St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 471 $3,397 $7.21 4d 9 0.52mi
1801 Mission St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 446 $10,000 $22.42 44d 1 0.52mi
1028 Market St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0 526 $4,090 $7.77 2d 6 0.54mi
285 Turk St Apt 507 San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 462 $1,795 $3.89 44d 1 0.54mi
530 Grove St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 600 $3,895 $6.49 8d 1 0.55mi
750 Golden Gate Ave San Francisco, CA 3.0 1.0–2.5 681 $1,562 $2.29 44d 1 0.56mi
84 Harriet St Unit A San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 718 $3,295 $4.59 21d 1 0.56mi
975 Bryant St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 697 $4,814 $6.91 2d 10 0.57mi
270 Valencia St #205 San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 500 $3,800 $7.60 44d 1 0.57mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$559 · $6,708/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $386,000 Active 344 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $386,000 Active 343 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $386,000 Active 342 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $386,000 Active 341 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $386,000 Active 339 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $386,000 Active 338 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $386,000 Active 335 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $386,000 Active 334 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $386,000 Active 333 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $386,000 Active 330 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $386,000 Active 329 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $386,000 Active 328 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $386,000 Active 327 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $386,000 Active 326 DOM
  15. 2026-04-01
    price $386,000 994-char remark
    Show marketing remark (994 chars)

    1 bedroom Below Market Rate (BMR) housing opportunity available at 100% Area Median Income (AMI). Maximum income for 1 person = $109,100, 2 people = $124,700; 3 = $140,250; 4 = $155,850, etc. Must be 1st-time homebuyer & income eligible. Unit available thru the Mayor's Office of Housing and Community Development (MOHCD) & subject to resale controls, monitoring & other restrictions. The unit will be available on a first come first served basis starting on September 4, 2025 at 8:00 AM PST. Please visit https://housing. sfgov.org/listings/a0W7y000005rYofEAE to view the listing and for application & program info. Fair Housing Opportunity. Open Houses: Sunday, September 7th 11 am -1 pm. Welcome to 1400 Mission #1203, this unit features in-unit washer/dryer, stunning views, and roof deck; leased parking is available. Property is a First come first serve listing and eligible for MOHCD temporary waivers ask listing for details; buyers are able to apply directly.

  16. 2025-07-09
    listed $388,000 Active 994-char remark
    Show marketing remark (994 chars)

    1 bedroom Below Market Rate (BMR) housing opportunity available at 100% Area Median Income (AMI). Maximum income for 1 person = $109,100, 2 people = $124,700; 3 = $140,250; 4 = $155,850, etc. Must be 1st-time homebuyer & income eligible. Unit available thru the Mayor's Office of Housing and Community Development (MOHCD) & subject to resale controls, monitoring & other restrictions. The unit will be available on a first come first served basis starting on September 4, 2025 at 8:00 AM PST. Please visit https://housing. sfgov.org/listings/a0W7y000005rYofEAE to view the listing and for application & program info. Fair Housing Opportunity. Open Houses: Sunday, September 7th 11 am -1 pm. Welcome to 1400 Mission #1203, this unit features in-unit washer/dryer, stunning views, and roof deck; leased parking is available. Property is a First come first serve listing and eligible for MOHCD temporary waivers ask listing for details; buyers are able to apply directly.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,645 · $387/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,645 · $387/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥79°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$49,423
− Mortgage interest
−$21,622
− Property taxes
−$4,645
− Insurance
−$1,930
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,954
− Management
−$3,954
− HOA
−$6,708
− Depreciation
−$11,229
Taxable loss
−$4,619
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,108
After-tax cash flow
$2,579/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Francisco Unified
NCES district ID
0634410
Math proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$81,249
Composite
50.14/100
National rank
#4088
State rank
#322 of 1400 in CA

Livability — San Francisco

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3143

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Francisco, CA
County
San Francisco County · 827,552 people
City population
827,552
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
Population (ZIP)
34,964
Household income
$116,438
Rent vs Own
80.3% rent · 19.7% own
Severe rent burden
2666.0

Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,030,936 people
By 2030
1,110,409 · +7.7%
By 2040
1,270,010 · +23.2%
By 2050
1,435,001 · +39.2%
By 2075
1,779,074 · +72.6%
By 2100
1,966,767 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
Race & ethnicity
White 32% Asian 31% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 11% Black 10% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
36% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
56% English-only · Spanish 16% Chinese 9% Tagalog/Filipino 6%

Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.96%
Current HPI
175.4945
Rent YoY
▲ 15.50%
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $386,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2025-07-09 Listed $388,000 San Francisco MLS

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,645 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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