4347 Huntington Ave · Covington, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Freshly painted, cleaned, updated. Priced to sell*
Key facts
- Open feel
- Private retreat
- Versatile bonus room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels
- Construction: Built in 1914; Vinyl siding; Wood siding; Poured concrete foundation
- Exterior features: Small lot (approximately 0.05 acre); Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary Bedroom (15 x 12); Bedroom 2 (15 x 12); Bedroom 3 (6 x 11)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; Primary Bath (4 x 4); Bathroom 2 (8 x 8)
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Fireplace; Gas Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $297 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Recommended offer: $167k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 5.3% in Covington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#40 in KY, #376 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+.
- Covington Independent (suburban): math 10% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #162 of 165 in KY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Latonia Elementary School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #525 of 676 statewide, top 82%, 285 students, 87% FRL); Holmes Middle School (math 8% / reading 26%, grade F, #211 of 217 statewide, top 97%, 656 students, 84% FRL); Holmes High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #227 of 254 statewide, top 89%, 878 students, 80% FRL).
- Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 699 units permitted in Kenton County in 2024 (287 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kenton County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $43k; list at $170k implies a 299% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.48%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $237,456
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4344 Decoursey Ave | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 | 1,700 (+10%) | 4mo | $239,000 | $141 | 76 |
| 4415 Huntington Ave | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,400 (-10%) | 3mo | $217,500 | $155 | 72 |
| 4312 Church St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,615 (+4%) | 0mo | $226,600 | $140 | 69 |
| 12 N Sunset Pl | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,494 (-4%) | 9mo | $229,000 | $153 | 62 |
| 3905 Locke St | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,605 (+3%) | 4mo | $250,000 | $156 | 60 |
| 141 E 42nd St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,730 (+12%) | 3mo | $80,000 | $46 | 58 |
| 18 Doris Dr | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,440 (-7%) | 5mo | $242,000 | $168 | 55 |
| 116 E 42nd St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,758 (+13%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $80 | 54 |
| 3929 Lincoln Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,734 (+12%) | 4mo | $259,900 | $150 | 51 |
| 4610 Huntington Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,339 (-14%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $86 | 50 |
| 3517 Glenn Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,404 (-10%) | 5mo | $230,000 | $164 | 44 |
| 4904 Church St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,400 (-10%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $179 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-8,671
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- 4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $16,666
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41015
- Active inventory
- 161
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,756 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$129 /mo · $1,544/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$369
- Net cashflow
- $297
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $393 | -5% $345 | +0% $297 | +5% $248 | +10% $200 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $158 | -5% $227 | +0% $297 | +5% $366 | +10% $435 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $382 | -0.5pp $340 | base $297 | +0.5pp $252 | +1.0pp $208 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $169,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$169,900 Active
-
2014-08-20soldstatus $42,550 50-char remark
Show marketing remark (50 chars)
Freshly painted, cleaned, updated. Priced to sell*
-
2014-06-23$49,900 50-char remark
Show marketing remark (50 chars)
Freshly painted, cleaned, updated. Priced to sell*
-
2009-05-30historical
-
2008-10-08$69,900
-
2008-07-12historical
-
2007-11-05$82,900
-
1993-02-22soldstatus $21,000
-
1992-10-21soldstatus $10,000
-
1990-07-25soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,544 · $129/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,544 · $129/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,067
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$1,544
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,685
- − Management
- −$1,685
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable income
- $844
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$202
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,356/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Covington Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2101350
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,681
- Composite
- 15.04/100
- National rank
- #9353
- State rank
- #162 of 165 in KY
Livability — Covington
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #40
- US rank
- #376
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Covington, KY
- City population
- 34,373
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,396
Population outlook (Kenton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 174,205 people
- By 2030
- 177,897 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 182,671 · +4.9%
- By 2050
- 183,543 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 178,977 · +2.7%
- By 2100
- 159,920 · -8.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kenton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.7) · D 38.2% · R 59.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.9pp no change · 2008: -20.9pp · 2024: -21.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.7 2020: R+19.3 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+24.3 2008: R+20.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.37%
- Current HPI
- 203.7263
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+1032.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $169,900 NKMLS
- 2014-08-20 Sold (MLS) $42,550 NKMLS
- 2014-06-23 Listed $49,900 NKMLS
- 2009-05-30 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 2008-10-08 Listed $69,900 NKMLS
- 2008-07-12 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 2007-11-05 Listed $82,900 NKMLS
- 1993-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
- 1992-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 1990-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,544 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…