CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1345 Logans Run St
C- Composite 54.29
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.7/30.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$544,900

1345 Logans Run St · Temperance, MI 48182
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,950 sqft · SingleFamily · 5 Days on market
Built 2003 0.42 ac lot Est $466k · 17% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this stunning 1 1/2 story residence nestled on a quiet cut de sac and was formerly featured as a Parade Of Homes Showcase! From the moment you step inside, you'll appreciate the exceptional craftsmanship and timeless design throughout. The Beautiful Tuscan inspired kitchen features a large island, bay windows, skylight that fills the space with natural light. Gorgeous Australian Cypress hardwood flooring in the kitchen and throughout out the main level adding warmth and character. The inviting family room boasts soaring vaulted ceilings and a stunning stone gas fireplace with plenty of space for gatherings. Enjoy the first floor suite with elegant tray ceiling and luxurious ensuite bath featuring dbl vanities a stand alone garden tub and separate shower. Upstairs, 3 generous sizes bedrooms, a bonus room with charm and a cozy window seat perfect for relaxing or reading. This home is situated on . 42 acres, the beautiful landscape grounds create your own private oasis. Enjoy peaceful evenings on the patio surrounded by mature landscaping and serene outdoor space. A storage shed provides extra room for equipment. Enjoy the 3 car garage. The basement is partially finished that gives you endless possibilities. It's already plumbed for an additional bathroom. This exceptional home combines elegance, comfort and functionality in a desirable setting. Don't miss your opportunity to make it yours!

Key facts

  • Large island
  • Bay windows
  • Stone gas fireplace

Tags

TUSCAN INSPIRED KITCHENLARGE ISLANDBAY WINDOWSSKYLIGHTVAULTED CEILINGSSTONE GAS FIREPLACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with approximately 3.5 spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half story
  • Construction: Brick, stone, and stucco exterior
  • Exterior features: Deck; Cul-de-sac lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: Total of 8 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Bay windows; Gas fireplace in the family room; Finished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $545k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $545k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#229 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Bedford Public Schools (suburban): math 33% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #150 of 540 in MI (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 264 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,995/mo this rent would consume 87% of the median local household income ($83k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $153k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $375k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $544,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
9.54%
Cash-on-cash
11.61%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$466,100
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1455 Pearl Dr 0.17mi 4/2.5 2,940 (-0%) 22mo $517,500 $176 73
1461 W Temperance Rd 0.21mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,792 (-5%) 5mo $279,000 $100 70
9200 Valetta Dr 0.21mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,820 (-4%) 19mo $445,000 $158 62
607 Webber Dr 0.73mi 4/2.5 3,233 (+10%) 20mo $405,000 $125 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.9%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$5,469
Equity at exit
$81,246
10-year hold
IRR
10.5%
Equity multiple
1.82×
Total profit
$124,891
Equity at exit
$47,113

Cash invested: $152,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48182

Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,995 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,858
Tax from tax record
$176 /mo · $2,110/yr
Insurance
$227
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,259
Net cashflow
$1,476

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,127
Max offer price $544,900
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$136,225
Closing costs
$16,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1379 Castlebury Dr Temperance, MI 5.0 3.5 3392 $5,995 $1.77 13d 1 0.26mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $544,900 Pending 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $544,900 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $544,900 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-08
    listed $544,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,110 · $176/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,251 · $438/mo
Expected delta
+$3,141/yr (+$262/mo · 148.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$71,940
− Mortgage interest
−$30,523
− Property taxes
−$2,110
− Insurance
−$2,724
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,755
− Management
−$5,755
− Depreciation
−$15,852
Taxable income
$9,221
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,213
After-tax cash flow
$15,495/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bedford Public Schools
NCES district ID
2604470
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$63,784
Composite
38.22/100
National rank
#4252
State rank
#150 of 540 in MI

Livability — Temperance

Score
72/100
State rank
#229
US rank
#5788

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Temperance, MI
County
Monroe · 31,363 people
City population
20,705
Metro
Monroe, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,705
Household income
$83,155
Rent vs Own
16.9% rent · 83.1% own
Severe rent burden
12.7

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
144,439 people
By 2030
140,033 · -3.1%
By 2040
128,408 · -11.1%
By 2050
115,024 · -20.4%
By 2075
87,273 · -39.6%
By 2100
63,110 · -56.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Lithuanian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.1) · D 35.7% · R 62.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-31.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.3pp · 2024: -27.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.1 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.1 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+4.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -140.99%
Current HPI
158.2484
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+45.3% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $544,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-07 Listed $544,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $374,900 Public Records
  • 2005-10-14 Sold (MLS) $374,900 REALCOMP
  • 2005-10-14 Sold (MLS) $374,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-10-14 Sold (MLS) $374,900 REALCOMP
  • 2005-09-22 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-08-05 Listed $374,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-08-05 Listed $374,900 REALCOMP
  • 2005-07-14 Listed $374,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,110 · -57.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…