522 Polk Road 56 · Mena, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Appreciation +4.4/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Hard-to-find affordable home on 4+/- acres in Mena, Arkansas. This 1,440 sq. ft. 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home offers the kind of peaceful setting buyers are always looking for, along with multiple sheds and a large deck to relax and take in the scenery. With room for gardening, recreation, or a small hobby farm, this property gives you flexibility and space at a price that is getting tougher to find. Whether you want a full-time residence, private getaway, or investment opportunity, this property offers strong potential. Priced low and firm at $129,900 for a quick sale.
Key facts
- Multiple sheds
- Large deck
- Gardening space
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Annual taxes listed (not included per instructions)
- Financial info: Financing options include VA, FHA, conventional, cash, and Rural Development
Exterior
- Parking: Carport for 2 cars
- Utilities: Septic system; Private well; Electric service from co-op; Propane/butane gas
- Home design: Metal/vinyl siding; Approximately 4 acres
- Construction: Metal roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Patio; Deck; Outside storage area; RV parking; Gravel road access; Sloped and level lot character
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing stove; Gas range
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling; Heat pump
- Interior features: Formica kitchen counters; Dryer connection (electric); Electric water heater; Office/Study; Sun room; Workshop/Craft room; Laundry room
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookups (dryer connection electric)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $108 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (1.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.1% in Mena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#142 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime D, amenities F.
- Mena School District (rural): math 42% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #70 of 238 in AR (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 204 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.87%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-3,119
- Equity at exit
- $27,880
- IRR
- 4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $14,973
- Equity at exit
- $28,381
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71953
- Home prices YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 204
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,186 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,798/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$249
- Net cashflow
- $108
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $191 | -5% $150 | +0% $108 | +5% $67 | +10% $25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $14 | -5% $61 | +0% $108 | +5% $155 | +10% $202 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $169 | -0.5pp $139 | base $108 | +0.5pp $77 | +1.0pp $45 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $119,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $119,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $119,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-04statusdays on market $119,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Price Change 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Price Change 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Price Change 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Price Change 37 DOM
-
2026-04-23$129,900 New Listing
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,229
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,798
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,138
- − Management
- −$1,138
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable loss
- −$650
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$156
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,454/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mena School District
- NCES district ID
- 0509750
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,941
- Composite
- 32.88/100
- National rank
- #5607
- State rank
- #70 of 238 in AR
Livability — Mena
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #12615
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,412
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 19,065 people
- By 2030
- 18,369 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 17,156 · -10.0%
- By 2050
- 16,177 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 14,642 · -23.2%
- By 2100
- 13,020 · -31.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+70.5) · D 13.8% · R 84.3% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.7pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -70.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+70.5 2020: R+68.2 2016: R+66.4 2012: R+56.9 2008: R+45.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.18%
- Current HPI
- 278.2854
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Listed $129,900 CARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…