4 Charmaine Rd · Gates, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- ARV discount +14.9/15.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Gleaming hardwood floors throughout! Added breezeway conversion gives you a family room or formal dining room or bath. Private back yard. It's a wonderful, unpretentious home of great value! One-Year Home Warranty Included!!
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Hardwood floors
- 0.29 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with electric and garage door opener; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Single-story home; Existing condition
- Construction: Composite siding; Copper plumbing; Asphalt shingle roof; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Deck; Fully fenced yard; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 73 x 170
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator; Water purifier (owned)
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Thermal windows; Has basement (full)
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry in basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $185 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 5.9% in Gates — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#582 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Gates-Chili Central School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #491 of 590 in NY (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $115k; list at $180k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.42%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $215,280
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Charmaine Rd | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,224 (+11%) | 5mo | $215,000 | $176 | 74 |
| 24 Tarrytown Dr | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 950 (-14%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $263 | 65 |
| 874 Chili Center Coldwater Rd | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,104 (0%) | 22mo | $250,000 | $226 | 61 |
| 11 Scott Ln | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 | 1,240 (+12%) | 18mo | $230,000 | $185 | 61 |
| 20 Tarrytown Dr | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 950 (-14%) | 10mo | $235,000 | $247 | 56 |
| 20 Bright Oaks Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (+1%) | 15mo | $218,000 | $195 | 51 |
| 26 Chestnut Ridge Rd | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-9%) | 10mo | $159,900 | $159 | 48 |
| 40 Chestnut Ridge Rd | 0.41mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,204 (+9%) | 15mo | $215,000 | $179 | 48 |
| 25 Bright Oaks Dr | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (+1%) | 17mo | $225,000 | $201 | 46 |
| 31 Tarrytown Dr | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 950 (-14%) | 23mo | $231,500 | $244 | 38 |
| 1652 Westside Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (+12%) | 21mo | $155,000 | $126 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-17,180
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $898
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14624
- Active inventory
- 127
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,073 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$434 /mo · $5,203/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$435
- Net cashflow
- $185
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $287 | -5% $236 | +0% $185 | +5% $135 | +10% $84 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $22 | -5% $104 | +0% $185 | +5% $267 | +10% $349 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $276 | -0.5pp $231 | base $185 | +0.5pp $139 | +1.0pp $91 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200 Mulcahy Blvd Unit 12-B Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1047 | $1,898 | $1.81 | 3d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 173 Bending Creek Rd Gates, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,595 | $1.85 | 3d | 7 | 0.94mi |
| 456 Westside Dr Unit 6 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 994 | $2,100 | $2.11 | 4d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 350 Westview Commons Blvd Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1087 | $1,860 | $1.71 | 3d | 13 | 1.34mi |
| 50 Silverlight Way Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1210 | $2,350 | $1.94 | 15d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 25 Silverlight Way Unit 50 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1210 | $2,350 | $1.94 | 15d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-10status $179,900 Pending 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active Under Contract 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active Under Contract 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active Under Contract 9 DOM
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $179,900 Active Under Contract 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-28$179,900 Active
-
2018-10-10soldstatus $115,000
-
2018-10-09soldstatus $115,000 Closed Sale or Rented 224-char remark
Show marketing remark (224 chars)
Gleaming hardwood floors throughout! Added breezeway conversion gives you a family room or formal dining room or bath. Private back yard. It's a wonderful, unpretentious home of great value! One-Year Home Warranty Included!!
-
2018-07-19status Under Contract- Do Not Show 224-char remark
Show marketing remark (224 chars)
Gleaming hardwood floors throughout! Added breezeway conversion gives you a family room or formal dining room or bath. Private back yard. It's a wonderful, unpretentious home of great value! One-Year Home Warranty Included!!
-
2018-07-17$114,995 Active 224-char remark
Show marketing remark (224 chars)
Gleaming hardwood floors throughout! Added breezeway conversion gives you a family room or formal dining room or bath. Private back yard. It's a wonderful, unpretentious home of great value! One-Year Home Warranty Included!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,203 · $434/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,203 · $434/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,873
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$5,203
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,990
- − Management
- −$1,990
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$521
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$125
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,350/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gates-Chili Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3611880
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,045
- Composite
- 36.23/100
- National rank
- #4719
- State rank
- #491 of 590 in NY
Livability — Gates
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #582
- US rank
- #10531
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,626
- Household income
- $87,989
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 584.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, India
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -151.26%
- Current HPI
- 267.356
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+56.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $179,900 UNYREIS
- 2018-10-10 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2018-10-09 Sold (MLS) $115,000 UNYREIS
- 2018-07-19 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2018-07-17 Listed $114,995 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+18.0%/yrLatest (2025): $5,203 · -8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…