2012 Saint James Blvd · Gulfport, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Seller has made some repairs to this remarkable brick home. It will now qualify for VA and FHA loans. Located in the desirable school districts of Anniston Elementary school as well as Bayou View Middle school. Walking in, you are in awe of the gorgeous hardwood flooring throughout the living and dining room. The kitchen comes with all stainless steel appliances. The home has a split floorplan with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom on one side of the house and a master suite on the other side. The master suite includes double closets, powder room, and a separate shower with custom tile work. The 5th bedroom is located on the backside of the home with access to the backyard. There is also a massive bonus room on the back of the house. Perfect for play room, man cave, or craft room.
Key facts
- Laundry room
- Split floor plan
- Spacious deck
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway with room for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
- Home design: Single family residence; House; One level
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built (year source: assessor)
- Exterior features: Private yard; Deck; Back yard fencing; City lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range
- Flooring: Combination flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Updated/remodeled interior; Combination flooring
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $507 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Gulfport School District (urban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #37 of 130 in MS (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Gulfport High School (math 42% / reading 36%, grade F, #54 of 197 statewide, top 28%, 1,728 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 67% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 301 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,150/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 1059% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.08%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $237,090
- List price
- $180,000
- Delta
- -24.08%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1061 Flounder Way | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,845 (-8%) | 2mo | $315,406 | $171 | 75 |
| 1373 Redfish Dr | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,845 (-8%) | 4mo | $314,004 | $170 | 74 |
| 1109 Flounder Way | 0.20mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,092 (+5%) | 0mo | $340,399 | $163 | 73 |
| 1308 Redfish Dr | 0.20mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,092 (+5%) | 2mo | $329,016 | $157 | 72 |
| 2100 Curcor Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.5 | 2,189 (+10%) | 2mo | $435,000 | $199 | 71 |
| 400 Krill Ct | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,765 (-12%) | 2mo | $305,361 | $173 | 70 |
| 155 Phillips Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,971 (-1%) | 2mo | $589,500 | $299 | 70 |
| 611 Anniston Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 | 1,889 (-5%) | 1mo | $229,000 | $121 | 68 |
| 2 Lexington Pl | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 2,100 (+5%) | 2mo | $186,400 | $89 | 68 |
| 171 Phillips Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,900 (-5%) | 3mo | $450,000 | $237 | 59 |
| 940 Anniston Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (-10%) | 0mo | $250,000 | $139 | 54 |
| 596 Tegarden Rd | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,279 (+14%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $112 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.26% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $5,899
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- 13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.16×
- Total profit
- $58,360
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39507
- Home prices YoY
- -27.1%
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 301
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,150 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$173 /mo · $2,072/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$452
- Net cashflow
- $507
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1276 Century Oaks Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1283 | $2,100 | $1.64 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1215 Ocean View Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1710 | $2,895 | $1.69 | 21d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1101 Century Oaks Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1330 | $1,700 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 477 Tegarden Rd Unit D Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 153 Markham Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $3,000 | $1.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1525 E Pass Rd Gulfport, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1070 | $1,519 | $1.42 | 21d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 954 Old Towne St Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1533 | $1,900 | $1.24 | 13d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2420 Demaret Dr Gulfport, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,800 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2610 Demaret Dr Gulfport, MS | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1700 | $1,995 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2228 Beach Dr Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1279 | $2,895 | $2.26 | 21d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2252 Beach Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1691 | $2,800 | $1.66 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2230 Beach Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1852 | $3,195 | $1.73 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 980 Courthouse Rd Unit 1605 Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1227 | $1,355 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1400 Mill Rd Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1290 | $2,550 | $1.98 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending 1674-char remark
-
2026-05-01$180,000 Active 1674-char remark
-
2025-01-07historical
-
2024-12-24price $245,000
-
2024-12-02$253,000 Active
-
2021-08-20soldstatus
-
2021-08-17soldstatus
Show marketing remark (783 chars)
Seller has made some repairs to this remarkable brick home. It will now qualify for VA and FHA loans. Located in the desirable school districts of Anniston Elementary school as well as Bayou View Middle school. Walking in, you are in awe of the gorgeous hardwood flooring throughout the living and dining room. The kitchen comes with all stainless steel appliances. The home has a split floorplan with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom on one side of the house and a master suite on the other side. The master suite includes double closets, powder room, and a separate shower with custom tile work. The 5th bedroom is located on the backside of the home with access to the backyard. There is also a massive bonus room on the back of the house. Perfect for play room, man cave, or craft room.
-
2021-06-18$165,000
Show marketing remark (783 chars)
Seller has made some repairs to this remarkable brick home. It will now qualify for VA and FHA loans. Located in the desirable school districts of Anniston Elementary school as well as Bayou View Middle school. Walking in, you are in awe of the gorgeous hardwood flooring throughout the living and dining room. The kitchen comes with all stainless steel appliances. The home has a split floorplan with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom on one side of the house and a master suite on the other side. The master suite includes double closets, powder room, and a separate shower with custom tile work. The 5th bedroom is located on the backside of the home with access to the backyard. There is also a massive bonus room on the back of the house. Perfect for play room, man cave, or craft room.
-
2012-04-27soldstatus
-
2012-04-27soldstatus
-
2011-12-19$110,000
-
2011-10-14soldstatus
-
2011-09-12$45,000
-
2004-12-30soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,072 · $173/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,072 · $173/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,806
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$2,072
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,064
- − Management
- −$2,064
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable income
- $3,385
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$812
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,274/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gulfport School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801710
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,712
- Composite
- 34.38/100
- National rank
- #5213
- State rank
- #37 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gulfport
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #5010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gulfport, MS
- County
- Harrison County · 178,171 people
- City population
- 96,188
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,564
- Household income
- $54,657
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1059.0
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.48%
- Current HPI
- 181.6606
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.26%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+300.0% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2026-05-26 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2026-05-06 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-05-01 Listed $180,000 MLSU
- 2025-01-07 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2024-12-24 Price Changed $245,000 MLSU
- 2024-12-02 Listed $253,000 MLSU
- 2021-08-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-08-17 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2021-06-18 Listed $165,000 MLSU
- 2012-04-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2012-04-27 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2011-12-19 Listed $110,000 MLSU
- 2011-10-14 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2011-09-12 Listed $45,000 MLSU
- 2004-12-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,072 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…