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2319 Luther St
B Composite 70.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,999

2319 Luther St · Tyler, TX 75701
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,909 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 274 Days on market
Built 1948 Poor condition 9,147 sqft lot $52/sqft · 63% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

BRICK HOME! Explore this charming brick home nestled in Tyler, Texas that offer tranquility within a quiet neighborhood. With convenient access to major highways, navigating the city is effortless, allowing you to explore all that this growing Texas town has to offer. Tyler offers numerous parks, museums, and is home to the prestigious University of Texas at Tyler. Plus, with Dallas just under 2 hours away, you'll have easy access to city amenities while enjoying the peaceful ambiance of Tyler. Don't miss out on the opportunity to call this vibrant community home! WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream home.

Key facts

  • Convenient access
  • Brick home
  • Quiet neighborhood

Tags

BRICK HOMEQUIET NEIGHBORHOODCONVENIENT ACCESSMAJOR HIGHWAYSNUMEROUS PARKSEASY ACCESS TO CITY AMENITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $839 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.4% vs local median 3.5% in Tyler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#147 in TX, #4,181 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, commute F.
  • Tyler ISD (urban): math 39% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #449 of 826 in TX (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Woods El (math 54% / reading 51%, grade C-, #720 of 4,322 statewide, top 17%, 756 students, 48% FRL); Hogg Middle (math 39% / reading 25%); Tyler Legacy H S (math 34% / reading 49%, grade F, #767 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 2,594 students, 58% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 433 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 71d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 595 units permitted in Smith County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Smith County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 274 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,999 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 274 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.05%
Cap rate
16.36%
Cash-on-cash
35.97%
DSCR
2.60
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$272,437
List price
$99,999
Delta
-63.29%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3206 Old Jacksonville 0.84mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,889 (-1%) 12mo $239,000 $127 44
3902 Darrell Ln 0.89mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,916 (+0%) 16mo $299,500 $156 42
1624 Crockett Dr 0.45mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,576 (-17%) 14mo $279,900 $178 34
3505 Cloverdale Dr 0.84mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,667 (-13%) 2mo $269,900 $162 34
3107 Brookside Dr 1.06mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,259 (+18%) 21mo $350,000 $155 14

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.66% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.5%
Equity multiple
2.38×
Total profit
$38,711
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
40.0%
Equity multiple
4.88×
Total profit
$108,599
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
19 active · 10 under contract
Months of supply
38.0 mo (3%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$294,900 ($178/sqft)
Median days on market
68 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
-19.9% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 75701

Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
433
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,052 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$216 /mo · $2,587/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$431
Net cashflow
$839

Break-even live

Break-even rent $989
Max offer price $99,999
Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $896 -5% $868 +0% $839 +5% $811 +10% $783
Rent -10% $677 -5% $758 +0% $839 +5% $920 +10% $1,001
Rate -1.0pp $890 -0.5pp $865 base $839 +0.5pp $813 +1.0pp $787

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1692 Alamo Xing Tyler, TX 4.0 2.0 1610 $2,300 $1.43 62d 1 0.31mi
2302 Walton Rd Tyler, TX 3.0 2.0 1248 $1,600 $1.28 70d 1 0.35mi
1224 S Azalea Dr Tyler, TX 3.0 1.0 1276 $1,300 $1.02 62d 1 0.92mi
3301 Brookside Dr Tyler, TX 4.0 2.0 2328 $2,250 $0.97 62d 1 1.04mi
1107 Dogwood St Tyler, TX 3.0 1.5 1620 $1,475 $0.91 70d 1 1.06mi
401 Woodland Hills Dr Tyler, TX 3.0 2.5 2612 $3,200 $1.23 93d 1 1.40mi
2002 S Robertson Ave Tyler, TX 3.0 2.5 1992 $1,800 $0.90 93d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $99,999 Active 274 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $99,999 Active 273 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $99,999 Active 272 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $99,999 Active 271 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $99,999 Active 270 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $99,999 Active 269 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $99,999 Active 266 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $99,999 Active 265 DOM
  9. 2026-07-29
    days on market $99,999 Active 264 DOM
  10. 2026-07-27
    days on market $99,999 Active 262 DOM
  11. 2026-07-25
    days on market $99,999 Active 260 DOM
  12. 2026-07-23
    days on market $99,999 Active 258 DOM
  13. 2026-07-22
    days on market $99,999 Active 257 DOM
  14. 2026-07-21
    days on market $99,999 Active 256 DOM
  15. 2026-07-18
    days on market $99,999 Active 253 DOM
  16. 2026-07-16
    days on market $99,999 Active 251 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $99,999 Active 250 DOM
  18. 2026-07-14
    days on market $99,999 Active 249 DOM
  19. 2026-07-13
    days on market $99,999 Active 248 DOM
  20. 2026-07-12
    days on market $99,999 Active 247 DOM
  21. 2026-07-11
    days on market $99,999 Active 246 DOM
  22. 2026-07-10
    days on market $99,999 Active 245 DOM
  23. 2026-07-09
    days on market $99,999 Active 244 DOM
  24. 2026-07-08
    days on market $99,999 Active 243 DOM
  25. 2026-07-07
    days on market $99,999 Active 242 DOM
  26. 2026-07-06
    days on market $99,999 Active 241 DOM
  27. 2026-07-05
    days on market $99,999 Active 240 DOM
  28. 2026-07-04
    days on market $99,999 Active 239 DOM
  29. 2026-07-03
    days on market $99,999 Active 238 DOM
  30. 2026-07-02
    days on market $99,999 Active 237 DOM
  31. 2026-07-01
    days on market $99,999 Active 236 DOM
  32. 2026-06-30
    days on market $99,999 Active 235 DOM
  33. 2026-06-29
    days on market $99,999 Active 234 DOM
  34. 2026-06-28
    days on market $99,999 Active 233 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $99,999 Active 232 DOM
  36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $99,999 Active 231 DOM
  37. 2026-06-25
    days on market $99,999 Active 229 DOM
  38. 2026-06-23
    days on market $99,999 Active 227 DOM
  39. 2026-06-22
    days on market $99,999 Active 226 DOM
  40. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,999 Active 224 DOM
  41. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,999 Active 223 DOM
  42. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,999 Active 222 DOM
  43. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,999 Active 221 DOM
  44. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,999 Active 220 DOM
  45. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,999 Active 218 DOM
  46. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,999 Active 217 DOM
  47. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,999 Active 215 DOM
  48. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,999 Active 214 DOM
  49. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,999 Active 213 DOM
  50. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,999 Active 212 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,587 · $216/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,587 · $216/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,623
− Mortgage interest
−$5,601
− Property taxes
−$2,587
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,970
− Management
−$1,970
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$9,085
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,180
After-tax cash flow
$7,891/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab Est. rehab $95,450–$171,810 screening

This home requires extensive repairs and updates to bring it up to a livable condition. Significant structural and aesthetic improvements are needed to increase its resale and rental value.

Deferred maintenance Est. $50,000–$150,000 screening

  • Major Roof (roof) — Significant damage to the roof structure is visible.
  • Major Windows (windows) — Windows appear to be broken or missing, indicating severe damage.
  • Major Electrical (electrical) — Exposed wiring and missing fixtures suggest significant electrical damage.
  • Major Plumbing (plumbing) — Significant water damage is evident, with visible mold and structural damage.
  • Major Exterior (exterior) — The exterior walls show extensive damage, with missing siding and structural issues.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Exposed subfloor — Structural damage
  • Major Debris — Obstructs view and functionality

Value-add opportunities

  • Both New flooring — Enhances appearance and functionality
  • Both New cabinets and countertops — Improves kitchen functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Paint interior walls — Enhances appearance and creates a fresh, inviting space
  • Both Replace roof — Ensures structural integrity and protects home
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances home's curb appeal and adds value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Extensive scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 44/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Woods El C- TX #720/4,322 Nat'l #11,114/41,679 Middle Three Lakes Middle F TX #704/1,662 Nat'l #6,453/14,009 High Tyler Legacy H S F TX #767/1,632 Nat'l #7,907/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tyler ISD
NCES district ID
4843470
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,090
Composite
32.69/100
National rank
#5650
State rank
#449 of 826 in TX
B Composite livability gradescore 75/100

Livability — Tyler

Score
75/100
State rank
#147
US rank
#4181

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tyler, TX
County
Smith County · 248,890 people
City population
127,842
Metro
Tyler, TX
Population (ZIP)
36,344
Household income
$66,401
Rent vs Own
40.0% rent · 60.0% own
Severe rent burden
12% of renters

Population outlook (Smith County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,890 people
By 2030
261,665 · +5.1%
By 2040
286,114 · +15.0%
By 2050
308,006 · +23.8%
By 2075
354,171 · +42.3%
By 2100
372,828 · +49.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Smith

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.6pp toward R · 2008: -39.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.1 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+39.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-11-07 Listed $99,999 HARMLS

Property tax history

+9.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,587 · +17.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…